AÑO Q(m3/s)

1969 35
1970 56
1971 55
1972 84
1973 67
1974 58
1975 65
1976 67
1977 74
1978 71
1979 74
1980 77
1981 71
1982 82
1983 80
1984 80
1985 65
1986 79
1987 79
1988 95
1989 77
1990 67
1991 77
1992 71
1993 60
1994 66
1995 70
1996 66
1997 59
1998 73
1999 65
2000 72
2001 65
2002 70
2003 73
2004 73
2005 86
2006 60
2007 62
2008 48
2009 72
2010 55
 2011 55
2012 73
2013 64
2014 55
2015 52
med= 68.0851063829787
des:es= 10.9243043500223

1.20
K COE.DE CORR FRANJA DE CONFIANZA 1.00
0 1 0.29 -0.29 0.80
1 0.35 0.29 -0.29 0.60
2 0.26 0.29 -0.29 0.40
3 0.07 0.29 -0.29 0.20
0.00
4 0.32 0.29 -0.29 0 0.5 1 1.5 2
-0.20
-0.40
FRANJA DE CONFIANZA FRANJA D

a= 3
c= 5
m= 88

U1 15 15
U2 50 50
U3 155 67
U4 206 30
U5 95 7
U6 26 26
U7 83 83
U8 254 78 ti=
U9 239 63 SIGMA=
U10 194 18 Zt=
U11 59 59 Q=
U12 182 6 502
U1 23 23
U2 74 74
U3 227 51
U4 158 70
U5 215 39
U6 122 34
U7 107 19
U8 62 62 ti=
U9 191 15 SIGMA=
U10 50 50 Zt=
U11 155 67 Q=
U12 206 30 534
U1 95 7
U2 26 26
U3 83 83
U4 254 78
U5 239 63
U6 194 18
U7 59 59
U8 182 6 ti=
U9 23 23 SIGMA=
U10 74 74 Zt=
U11 227 51 Q=
U12 158 70 558

CAUDALES SINTETICOS AÑO Q(m3/s)

2016 59.366 1969 35
2017 66.570 1970 56
2018 71.701 1971 55
1972 84
1973 67
1974 58
1975 65
1976 67
1977 74
1978 71
1979 74
1980 77
1981 71
1982 82
1983 80
1984 80
1985 65
1986 79
1987 79
1988 95
1989 77
1990 67
1991 77
1992 71
1993 60
1994 66
1995 70
1996 66
1997 59
1998 73
1999 65
2000 72
2001 65
2002 70
2003 73
2004 73
2005 86
2006 60
2007 62
2008 48
2009 72
2010 55
2011 55
2012 73
2013 64
2014 55
2015 52
2016 59.366
2017 66.570
2018 71.701
 CALACULAR Y GRAFICAR LA FACP PARA K HASTA EL VALOR 4
Q k1 k2 k3 k4
35 SERIE D
56 35
100
55 56 35
84 55 56 35 90
67 84 55 56 35
80
58 67 84 55 56
65 58 67 84 55 70
67 65 58 67 84
60
74 67 65 58 67
71 74 67 65 58 50
74 71 74 67 65
40
77 74 71 74 67
71 77 74 71 74 30
82 71 77 74 71
80 82 71 77 74 20

80 80 82 71 77 10
65 80 80 82 71
79 65 80 80 82 0
1960 1970 1980
79 79 65 80 80
95 79 79 65 80
77 95 79 79 65
67 77 95 79 79
77 67 77 95 79
71 77 67 77 95
60 71 77 67 77
66 60 71 77 67
70 66 60 71 77
66 70 66 60 71
59 66 70 66 60
73 59 66 70 66
65 73 59 66 70
72 65 73 59 66
65 72 65 73 59
70 65 72 65 73
73 70 65 72 65
73 73 70 65 72
86 73 73 70 65
60 86 73 73 70
62 60 86 73 73
48 62 60 86 73
72 48 62 60 86
55 72 48 62 60
 55 55 72 48 62
73 55 55 72 48
64 73 55 55 72
55 64 73 55 55
52 55 64 73 55

rh1= rh2= rh3= rh4=

0.35 0.26 0.07 0.32

FRANJA DE CONFIANZA= 0.29

0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5

FRANJA DE CONFIANZA FRANJA DE CONFIANZA COEF.CORRELACION

-0.295
10.215
-3.018
59.366

0.068
10.559
0.720
66.570

0.341
10.900
3.716
71.701

Chart Title
100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
 SERIE DE TIEMPO

1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

 PRACTICA POR GUMBEL

N Q(m^3/s) F(X) T QMAX

1 7 0.9000 10 77.442
2 8 0.9800 50 121.509
3 11 0.9950 200 158.699
4 14 0.9990 1000 201.695
5 14 0.9999 10000 263.143
6 15
7 17
8 18
9 23
10 29 Xo= 17.3995006
11 37
12 44 ALFA= 0.0374793
13 48
14 67
15 140
xmedia= 32.800
Sx= 34.220
PROB% GUMBEL(Z) X(CM)
0.1 -1.933 0.00
AZ
10 -0.834 1.77
20 -0.476 2.35 L=
30 -0.186 2.82
40 0.087 3.26
50 0.367 3.71
60 0.672 4.21
70 1.031 4.79
80 1.500 5.54
88 2.057 6.44
90 2.250 6.76
97 3.491 8.76
98 3.902 9.43
99 4.600 10.55
99.9 6.907 14.28
99.99 9.210 18.00
Zf= 9.21029037
zi= -1.93264473
18
 PRACTICA POR GUMBEL

N Q(m^3/s) F(X) T QMAX

1 7 0.9000 10 77.442
2 8 0.9800 50 121.509
3 11 0.9950 200 158.699
4 14 0.9990 1000 201.695
5 14 0.9999 10000 263.143
6 15
7 17
8 18
9 23
10 29 Xo= 17.3995006
11 37
12 44 ALFA= 0.0374793
13 48
14 67
15 140
xmedia= 32.800
Sx= 34.220
 k=1
Q(m3/s) Qi-1 Qi
1971 34.7 34.1 34.7
1972 34.1 37.5 34.1
1973 37.5 34.7 37.5
1974 34.7 38.1 34.7
1975 38.1 32.3 38.1
1976 32.3 37.9 32.3
1977 37.9 33.3 37.9
1978 33.3 40 33.3
1979 40 30.4 40
1980 30.4 30.4

CORRELACIONR(1)=
P(mm)
Pi Pi-1
1981 810 810 437
1982 437 437 504
1983 504 504 671
1984 671 671 417
1985 417 417 935
1986 935 935 442
1987 442 442 650
1988 650 650 410
1989 410 410 524
1990 524 524 283
1991 283 283 299
1992 299 299 790
1993 790 790 0

CORRELACION R(1)= -0.34983034

 Chart Title
45
40
R² = 0.804533208714954
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
30 32 34 36 38 40 42

-0.89695775

Chart Title
1000
900
800
700
600
R² = 0.122381269348347
500
400
300
200
100
0
200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
 k=2
Q(m3/s) Qi-1 Qi
1971 34.7 37.5 34.7
1972 34.1 34.7 34.1
1973 37.5 38.1 37.5
1974 34.7 32.3 34.7
1975 38.1 37.9 38.1
1976 32.3 33.3 32.3
1977 37.9 40 37.9
1978 33.3 33.3
1979 40 40
1980 30.4 30.4

CORRELACION R(2)=

P(mm)
Pi Pi-2
1981 810 810 504
1982 437 437 671
1983 504 504 417
1984 671 671 935
1985 417 417 442
1986 935 935 650
1987 442 442 410
1988 650 650 524
1989 410 410 283
1990 524 524 299
1991 283 283 790
1992 299 299 0
1993 790 790 0

CORRELACION R(2)= 0.18386846

0.80767995

Chart Title
1000
900
800
700
600
R² = 0.0338076106676911
500
400
300
200
100
0
200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
 k=3
Q(m3/s) Qi-1 Qi
1971 34.7 34.7 34.7
1972 34.1 38.1 34.1
1973 37.5 32.3 37.5
1974 34.7 37.9 34.7
1975 38.1 33.3 38.1
1976 32.3 40 32.3
1977 37.9 30.4 37.9
1978 33.3 33.3
1979 40 40
1980 30.4 30.4

CORRELACIONR(3)=
P(mm)
Pi Pi-3
1981 810 810 671
1982 437 437 417
1983 504 504 935
1984 671 671 442
1985 417 417 650
1986 935 935 410
1987 442 442 524
1988 650 650 283
1989 410 410 299
1990 524 524 790
1991 283 283 0
1992 299 299 0
1993 790 790 0

CORRELACION R(3)= -0.12604946

-0.92386772
Chart Title
1000
900
800
700
600
500 R² = 0.0158884668815021

400
300
200
100
0
300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
 CAUDAL Q(m3/s)
K 1
0 CORRELACION R(0)= Err:509 0.6198 -0.6198
1 CCORRELACION R1= -0.89695775 0.6198 -0.6198 0.5
2 CCORRELACION R2= 0.80767995 0.6198 -0.6198
3 CCORRELACION R3= -0.92386772 0.6198 -0.6198 0
0 0.5 1
RFANJA DE CONFIANZA= 0.6198
-0.5

-1

-1.5

1.2
PRECIPITACION 1
K
0.8
0 R(0) 1 0.54527029 -0.54527029
1 R(1) -0.34983034 0.54527029 -0.54527029 0.6
2 R(2) 0.18386846 0.54527029 -0.54527029 0.4
3 R(3) -0.12604946 0.54527029 -0.54527029
0.2

FRANJA DE CONFIANZA= 0.54527029 0

0 0.5 1
-0.2

-0.4

-0.6

-0.8
 Chart Title
1

0.5

0
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

-0.5

-1

-1.5

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

 25.00

TIEMPO DE RETORNO T=20 T=30 T=50 T=200 20.00

DURACIONES I I I I
0.5 16.67 18.710 19.22 28.51
15.00
1 13.16 14.320 15.19 21.39
1.5 10.87 11.840 12.55 17.11
2 9.26 10.097 10.70 14.25 10.00
3 7.14 7.790 8.26 10.69
4 5.81 6.350 6.73 8.55
5 4.90 5.360 5.67 7.13 5.00
6 4.24 4.630 4.91 6.11
12 2.33 2.550 2.71 3.29
0.00
0
25.00

20.00

15.00
T20
T=50
T=200
10.00 T=30

5.00

0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14