Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
PIB Corriente
PIB Absoluto base 2008
M.N$
M.Dls
M.Dls Act
MM N$
PIB Corriente MN
Ernesto Zedil
1995
2,206,943
288,867
445,119
8,026.90
Ernesto Zedil
1996
3,020,033
384,228
573,023
8,498.46
Ernesto Zedil
1997
3,805,272
472,118
692,313
9,090.20
Ernesto Zedil
1998
4,586,366
461,405
665,870
9,517.60
Ernesto Zedil
1999
5,539,866
581,919
817,833
9,771.44
Ernesto Zedil
2000
6,464,302
675,476
918,220
10,288.98
Vicente Fox Q
2001
6,770,398
738,320
988,313
10,226.68
Vicente Fox
2002
7,160,499
691,168
903,714
10,240.17
Vicente Fox
2003
7,695,624
687,109
881,834
10,385.86
Vicente Fox
2004
8,693,240
774,799
963,022
10,832.00
Vicente Fox Quesada2005
9,441,350
881,545
1,059,512
11,160.49
Vicente Fox
2006 10,538,115
968,577
1,135,270
11,718.67
Felipe Calder
2007 11,403,263
1,046,171
1,178,135
12,087.60
Felipe Caldern Hinojosa
2008 12,256,863
890,114
1,001,477
12,256.86
Felipe Calder
2009 12,093,890
927,446
1,015,831
11,680.75
Felipe Calder
2010 13,282,061
1,072,864
1,157,791
12,277.66
Felipe Calder
2011 14,550,014
1,040,870
1,090,951
12,774.24
Felipe Calder
2012 15,627,712
1,203,057
1,239,369
13,287.53
Enrique Pea
2013 16,121,442
1,232,121
1,247,853
13,466.30
Enrique Pea
2014 17,251,612
1,170,807
1,179,374
13,769.33
Poblacin
M.Habit
Poblacin
89
90.63
92.3
94
95.72
97.48
98.87
100.29
101.72
103.17
104.64
106.13
107.65
109.18
110.74
112.34
113.74
115.16
116.6
118.06
3245.8
4239.38
5115.08
4908.78
6079.15
6929.13
7467.25
6892
6755.13
7510.06
8424.52
9126.01
9718.43
8152.39
8374.8
9550.49
9151.31
10446.74
10567.17
9917.47
Dls Act.
5001.49
6322.45
7500.75
7084.04
8543.67
9419.24
9995.63
9011.42
8669.52
9334.49
10125.27
10696.61
10944.31
9172.35
9172.92
10306.5
9591.62
10762.05
10702.09
9990.03
Var. %
-17.31
26.41
18.64
-5.56
20.6
10.25
6.12
-9.85
-3.79
7.67
8.47
5.64
2.32
-16.19
0.01
12.36
-6.94
12.2
-0.56
-6.65
Paridad
$/Dlr
Paridad
7.64
7.86
8.06
9.94
9.52
9.57
9.17
10.36
11.2
11.22
10.71
10.88
10.9
13.77
13.04
12.38
13.98
12.99
13.08
14.73
Inflacin en USA
% anual
IPC
Var. %
43.61
2.88
2.54
23.33
-4.23
0.53
-4.18
12.98
8.11
0.18
-4.55
1.59
0.18
26.33
-5.3
-5.06
12.91
-7.07
0.73
12.61
2.54
3.32
1.7
1.61
2.68
3.39
1.55
2.38
1.88
3.26
3.42
2.54
4.08
0.09
2.72
1.5
2.96
1.74
1.5
0.76
Inflacin en Mxico
% anual
INPC
INPC
153.5
51.97
29.977
158.6
27.7
38.2821
161.3
15.72
44.2995
163.9
18.61
52.5433
168.3
12.32
59.0159
174
8.96
64.3033
176.7
4.4
67.1349
180.9
5.7
70.9619
184.3
3.98
73.7837
190.3
5.19
77.6137
196.8
3.33
80.2004
201.8
4.05
83.4511
210.04
3.76
86.5881
210.23
6.53
92.2407
215.95
3.57
95.537
219.18
4.4
99.7421
225.67
3.82
103.551
229.6
3.57
107.246
233.55
3.97
111.508
234.81
4.08
116.059
Rend.
Cetes %
48.44
31.39
19.8
24.76
21.41
15.24
11.31
7.09
6.23
6.82
9.2
7.19
7.19
7.68
5.43
4.41
4.24
4.24
3.75
3
AO
Desempleo/Empleo
Salario Mnimo
Tasa %
IMSS miles Salario/da $ Var. %
Tasa de desempleo
1995
6.1
9,459.80
20.15
31.96
1996
4.7
9,699.60
26.45
31.27
1997
3.11
10,411.20
26.45
0
1998
2.77
11,072.70
34.45
30.25
1999
2.2
11,714.80
34.45
0
2000
2.17
12,420.90
37.9
10.01
2001
2.64
12,441.70
40.35
6.46
2002
2.34
12,328.60
42.15
4.46
2003
2.94
12,315.60
43.65
3.56
2004
3.52
12,559.50
45.24
3.64
2005
2.83
12,965.80
46.8
3.45
2006
3.47
13,573.70
48.67
4
2007
3.4
14,144.60
50.57
3.9
2008
4.32
14,435.60
52.59
3.99
2009
4.8
14,006.40
54.8
4.2
2010
4.94
14,738.80
57.46
4.85
2011
4.51
15,350.30
59.82
4.11
2012
4.4
16,106.20
62.33
4.2
2013
4.27
16,525.10
64.76
3.9
2014
3.76
17,239.60
67.29
3.91
Reservas Internacionales.
Deuda Externa Pblica Bruta
Salario Act. M Dls Corr. Var. %
% PIB
M Dls Corr. Var. %
Reservas Internacionales.
79.67
15,741.00
156.03
5.45 100,933.70
18.14
81.9
17,509.00
11.23
4.56
98,284.50
-2.62
70.77
28,003.00
59.93
5.93
88,321.20
-10.14
77.72
30,235.48
7.97
6.55
92,294.50
4.5
69.19
30,689.21
1.5
5.27
92,289.50
-0.01
69.86
35,585.00
15.95
5.27
84,600.20
-8.33
71.24
44,814.00
25.94
6.07
80,339.00
-5.04
70.41
50,674.00
13.08
7.33
78,818.60
-1.89
70.12
59,028.00
16.49
8.59
79,023.50
0.26
69.09
64,198.00
8.76
8.29
79,225.80
0.26
69.17
68,669.00
6.96
7.79
71,675.00
-9.53
69.13
67,679.80
-1.44
6.99
54,766.00
-23.59
69.23
77,990.80
15.23
7.45
55,354.90
1.08
67.58
85,441.00
9.55
9.6
56,939.00
2.86
67.99
90,837.00
6.32
9.79
96,353.00 69.22#
68.28 113,596.50
25.06
10.59 110,428.00 14.61#
68.47 142,475.50
25.42
13.69 116,420.20 5.43#
62.33 163,515.39
14.77
13.59 125,726.00 7.99#
68.84 176,521.66
7.95
14.33 134,435.90
6.93%
68.72 193,238.84
9.47
16.5 147,665.80
9.84%
blica Bruta
% PIB
Riesgo Pas
34.94 nd
25.58 nd
18.71 nd
20 nd
15.86 nd
12.52
10.88
11.4
11.5
10.23
8.13
5.65
5.29
6.4
10.39
10.29
11.18
10.45
10.91
12.61
392
308
323
199
166
126
98
149
362
165
144
188
122
152
182
Balance Fiscal
M.N$
% Ingr.
-201
283
-23,011
-47,919
-51,988
-60,597
-42,196
-75,606
-42,465
-19,209
-10,125
9,934
4809.8
-7945.6
-273,486
-370,580
-353,458
-403,209
-374,231
-543,076
% PIB
Petroleo (M.Dls)
Export.
-0.05
-0.01
0.05
0.01
-3.13
-0.6
-6.13
-1.04
-5.44
-0.94
-5.14
-0.94
-3.32
-0.62
-5.45
-1.06
-2.65
-0.55
-1.08
-0.22
-0.52
-0.11
0.44
0.09
0.19
0.04
-0.28
-0.06
-9.71 -2.29#
-12.52 -2.83#
-10.81 -2.46#
-11.47 -2.60#
-9.84
-2.32
-13.68
-3.15
8,140.90
11,375.70
10,985.40
6,992.60
9,691.50
16,005.80
12,448.40
14,577.00
18,290.20
23,204.90
31,302.40
38,299.10
41,998.20
48,886.30
30,364.20
40,751.40
55,534.60
51,727.50
48,420.10
41,328.20
oleo (M.Dls)
Import
1,074.90
1,550.00
2,506.30
2,089.50
2,511.50
4,233.40
3,656.20
2,495.20
2,423.30
3,791.60
7,858.70
10,028.80
15,797.50
21,886.90
13,309.80
20,335.40
29,403.60
29,630.90
25,706.20
25,458.70
Balance
7,066.00
9,825.60
8,479.20
4,903.10
7,180.00
11,772.40
8,792.30
12,081.90
15,866.90
19,413.30
23,443.70
28,270.20
26,200.70
26,999.50
17,054.40
20,415.90
26,131.00
22,096.60
22,713.90
15,869.50
Exportaciones
M Dls Corr. Var. %
79,541.60
95,999.70
110,432.00
117,539.00
136,361.00
166,120.00
158,780.00
161,046.00
164,766.00
187,999.00
214,233.00
249,925.00
271,875.30
291,342.60
229,783.03
298,473.09
349,375.04
370,769.89
380,015.05
397,128.66
Turismo
M N$ Corr.
% PIB
30.65
20.69
15.03
6.44
16.01
21.82
-4.42
1.43
2.31
14.1
13.95
16.66
8.78
7.16
-21.13
29.89
17.05
6.17
2.5
4.5
27.54
24.99
23.39
25.47
23.43
24.59
21.51
23.3
23.98
24.26
24.3
25.8
25.99
32.73
25.1
28.27
33.93
31.08
30.84
33.92
47,211.38
53,103.50
59,452.09
74,481.71
68,762.01
79,383.44
77,033.50
91,768.78
104,851.38
121,126.07
126,414.95
132,481.19
140,086.04
182,989.53
150,125.24
148,457.48
165,910.52
165,235.05
182,512.66
238,827.41
M Dls Corr.
6,179.50
6,756.17
7,376.19
7,493.13
7,222.90
8,295.03
8,400.60
8,857.99
9,361.73
10,795.55
11,803.45
12,176.58
12,851.93
13,289.00
11,512.67
11,991.72
11,868.81
12,720.17
13,948.98
16,208.39
Remesas
M Dls Corr.
% PIB
2.14
1.76
1.56
1.62
1.24
1.23
1.14
1.28
1.36
1.39
1.34
1.26
1.23
1.49
1.26
1.14
1.15
1.07
1.13
1.38
3,672.72
4,223.68
4,864.85
5,626.84
5,909.63
6,572.54
8,895.26
9,814.45
15,138.69
18,331.30
21,688.70
25,566.90
26,068.70
25,144.99
21,306.33
21,303.88
22,802.97
22,438.32
22,302.75
23,647.28
% PIB
Indices INEGI
ICC
IPSP
1.27 nd
1.1 nd
1.03 nd
1.22 nd
1.02 nd
0.97 nd
1.2
1.42
2.2
2.37
2.46
2.64
2.49
2.82
2.33
2.02
2.21
1.88
1.81
2.02
nd
nd
nd
nd
nd
nd
106.5 nd
107.6 nd
95.6 nd
101.7 nd
108.2 nd
109.7 nd
105.6 ND
84.1 ND
80.1 ND
91.2 ND
90.84
99
89.66
93.55
69.5
66.6
72.3
73.3
IGAE
Competitiv.
WEF Lugar
69.43 nd
73.42
78.2
80.2
82.97
84.49
83.93
85.26
88.19
91.79
95.34
98.18
101.06
99.46
100.34
104.66
108.78
111.27
113.22
116.84
33
33
32
31
43
42
45
47
48
59
58
52
60
60
66
58
53
55
61
IED
M Dls
9,526.30
9,185.45
12,829.56
12,756.76
13,935.63
18,301.60
30,028.20
24,025.70
18,886.90
25,095.70
24,707.90
20,955.86
32,320.06
28,793.31
17,756.28
26,168.23
23,328.27
19,491.66
44,885.84
24,154.17
AO
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
PIB Corriente MN
Poblacin
Paridad
INPC
Tasa de desempleo
Reservas Internacionales.
PIB Corriente MN
1
0.9963034696
0.9399915656
0.9881485943
0.2511950351
0.9582958794
Poblacin
Paridad
INPC
1
0.94501129
1
0.99431249 0.94674308
1
0.24189214 0.22970949 0.14800598
0.94151026 0.88361581 0.92352091
Tasa de
desempleo
1
0.30980428
Reservas
Internacionales.
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
Error tpico
Observaciones
0.99943495
0.99887022
0.93190228
404322.782
20
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertadSuma de cuadrados
5
2168015965700900
15
2452153681451
20
2170468119382350
Regresin
Residuos
Total
Intercepcin
Poblacin
Paridad
INPC
Tasa de desempleo
Reservas Internacionales.
Coeficientes
Error tpico
0 Err:512
-48659.5539
11814.0192943056
-103172.556
141521.690673148
165060.845
16380.7698525392
331685.924
106464.851381392
20.3225117
5.0066815828
18 15540731.2
19 16386066.1
20 17066555.6
86980.8459897079
-264624.092118606
185056.402983077
Estadstico t
Err:512
Probabilidad
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
Err:512
Err:512
Err:512
-4.1187975631 0.00091089 -73840.53993603 -23478.567824
-0.7290229178 0.47721711 -404818.89913983 198473.787404
10.0765010763 4.5197E-008 130146.060590838 199975.629507
3.1154500251 0.00708986 104761.464816381 558610.383006
4.0590781265 0.00102817
9.6510225145 30.9940008832
Residuos estndares
0.0990189955
0.0210141409
0.6150788577
-0.0576122117
0.2431961096
0.3944112573
-0.971763764
-1.1696741887
-1.5785842175
-1.1770248281
0.1882609112
1.4964512472
2.1734414676
1.7010021957
-1.0844584796
-1.099112596
0.1237310325
0.248407545
-0.755736741
0.5285003409
10
0
INPC Grfico
20
10
Residuos
0
2
0
6 de dese
8
Tasa
20
Poblacin
10
Residuos
0
2
4
0
20
10Paridad
Residuos
0
2
0
0
de los residuales
20
Poblacin
10
2
4
0
20
6
8
10
12
Reservas
Internacionales.
Grfico de los residuales
10Paridad
Residuos
0
2
4
0
0
Residuos
2
20 6
8
10
12
Poblacin
Curva
de
regresin ajustada
INPC
10
8
10
12 regresin ajustad
Paridad
Curva
de
6 20
0
Tasa de desempleo
10
PIB 0Corriente2 MN
4
PIB Corriente MN
12
Pronstico
PIB Corriente MN
20
8
10
INPC
Curva
de regresin aj
0
Reservas
Internacionales.
10
PIB Corriente
0
2MN4
6
8
PIB Corriente MN
10 20
12
Pronstico
PIB Corri
Tasa de desempleo
Curva
d
0
Poblacin
10
PIB Corriente
0
2MN4
6
PIB
8 10
Pron
Reservas
Internacion
20
12
0
Paridad
10
PIB Corriente
0
2 MN
4
6
10
12 20
0
INPC
10
PIB0Corriente
2
4 MN6
8
0
Tasa de desempleo
0
Reser
siduales
in ajustada
regresin ajustada
PIB Corriente MN
12
Pronstico
PIB Corriente MN
va de regresin ajustada
PIB Corriente MN
Pronstico
PIB Corriente
MN
desempleo
Curva
de regresin
ajustada
PIB Corriente MN
8 10
Pronstico PIB
Corrientede
MN regresin ajustada
Reservas
Internacionales.
Curva
20
12
ente
2 MN
4
10
6
10
PIB Corriente MN
12 20
0
INPC
10
PIB0Corriente
2
4 MN6 8
0
Tasa de desempleo
0 2
10 12
Reservas Internacionales.
RICO GARCA
MARIOY CONTROL DE LA POLTICA MONETARIA
DINERO,
CREACIN
x1
x2
x3
Ao
PIB Corriente MN
Poblacin
Paridad
INPC
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2,206,943
3,020,033
3,805,272
4,586,366
5,539,866
6,464,302
6,770,398
7,160,499
7,695,624
8,693,240
9,441,350
10,538,115
11,403,263
12,256,863
12,093,890
13,282,061
14,550,014
15,627,712
16,121,442
17,251,612
89
90.63
92.3
94
95.72
97.48
98.87
100.29
101.72
103.17
104.64
106.13
107.65
109.18
110.74
112.34
113.74
115.16
116.6
118.06
7.64
7.86
8.06
9.94
9.52
9.57
9.17
10.36
11.2
11.22
10.71
10.88
10.9
13.77
13.04
12.38
13.98
12.99
13.08
14.73
29.977
38.2821
44.2995
52.5433
59.0159
64.3033
67.1349
70.9619
73.7837
77.6137
80.2004
83.4511
86.5881
92.2407
95.537
99.7421
103.551
107.246
111.508
116.059
0
16,064,969
3. Cules son los componentes de la base monetaria y del circulante monetario? Haga la dist
La base monetaria (BM) tambin es llamada dinero primario o dinero de alto poder. Es la base a par
crear dinero bancario (DCC), e influir sobre el medio circulante (MC). Los componentes de la base m
por uso.
Los modelos economtricos son aquellos que estudian la relacin entre los movimientos de la macro
empresas y familias. Estn basados en regresiones lineales y en su fmula: y= + x1 + x2 + x
comportamiento de una variable con otra, pero que no necesariamente tienen
En el ejercicio se analiz el grado de correlacin que existe entre algunas de las variables macroeco
Bruto de Mxico PIB, (poblacin del pas, la paridad del peso, INPC, la tasa de desempleo, reservas in
resultado para aos futuros, tomando como base datos histricos, que nos sirvan para una buen tom
existe una fuerte correlacin en trminos generales entre las variables totalment
x4
x5
Tasa de
desempleo
6.1
4.7
3.11
2.77
2.2
2.17
2.64
2.34
2.94
3.52
2.83
3.47
3.4
4.32
4.8
4.94
4.51
4.4
4.27
3.76
Reservas
Internacionales.
15,741.00
17,509.00
28,003.00
30,235.48
30,689.21
35,585.00
44,814.00
50,674.00
59,028.00
64,198.00
68,669.00
67,679.80
77,990.80
85,441.00
90,837.00
113,596.50
142,475.50
163,515.39
176,521.66
193,238.84
331685.92391134
2.5
20.32
170,000.00