Appartenance a l’UE (1-Non UE; 2- UE)

Produit National Net (mille $)

Pays
Algeria 1.0 3.1737
Australia 1.0 19.5226
Brazil 1.0 8.7856
China 1.0 5.6503
Egypt 1.0 3.8063
Ethiopia 1.0 1.1043
Haiti 1.0 1.5848
India 1.0 5.9989
Indonesia 1.0 15.9859
Japan 1.0 22.2563
Kenia 1.0 2.4207
Korea 1.0 17.2206
Malaysia 1.0 11.2083
Mexico 1.0 10.2787
Norway 1.0 19.8312
Peru 1.0 4.6715
South Africa 1.0 4.6351
Sri Lanka 1.0 3.5612
Switzerland 2.0 24.3439
Taiwan 1.0 13.3313
Thailand 1.0 12.2625
USA 1.0 21.0384
Total 232.6720

23.3191 -0.9352
10.5760 13.4284

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9279
R Square 0.8610
Adjusted R Square 0.8540
Standard Error 2.8998
Observations 22

ANOVA
df
Regression 1
Residual 20
Total 21

Coefficients
Intercept 23.3191
X Variable 1 -0.9352
RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Y
1 20.3511
2 5.0616
3 15.1028
4 18.0349
5 19.7595
6 22.2864
7 21.8370
8 17.7089
9 8.3691
10 2.5050
11 21.0553
12 7.2144
13 12.8371
14 13.7064
15 4.7730
16 18.9504
17 18.9844
18 19.9887
19 0.5527
20 10.8517
21 11.8513
22 3.6440
Total 295.4257
Dette publique (mille $)

19.8883
4.7295
16.8190
12.7271
22.5571 30.0000
20.5867
23.5825 25.0000
18.9731
f(x) = − 0.935198373143326 x + 23.3191017960776
11.1149 20.0000 R² = 0.860984139089327
1.4557
23.7098 15.0000
8.4026
13.5258 10.0000
12.7339
3.3975 5.0000
25.7550
14.5775 0.0000
17.7501 0.0000 5.0000 10.0000 15.0000 20.0000 25.0000
3.1154
9.1467
7.2959
3.5816
295.4257

SS MS F Significance F
1041.6088 1041.6088 123.8685 0.0000
168.1798 8.4090
1209.7886

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95,0%

Upper 95,0%
1.0826 21.5403 0.0000 21.0609 25.5773 21.0609 25.5773
0.0840 -11.1296 0.0000 -1.1105 -0.7599 -1.1105 -0.7599
 La prévision pour la valeur de la variable dépendante pour la Roumanie

Residuals x= 10.3000
-0.4628 y/x=10,3= 13.6866
-0.3322 ecart de prévision 3.0415
1.7162
-5.3078
2.7976
-1.6997
1.7455
1.2642
2.7458
-1.0493
2.6546
1.1882
0.6887
-0.9726
-1.3755
6.8047
-4.4069
-2.2386
2.5627
-1.7050
-4.5554
-0.0624
0.0000
91017960776

00 20.0000 25.0000 30.0000

Upper 95,0%
épendante pour la Roumanie

intervalles de prévision
7.3421 20.0310 95%
5.0336 22.3395 99%
 Produit National Net (mille $) Dette publique (mille $)
1 3.1737 19.8883
2 19.5226 4.7295
3 8.7856 16.8190
4 5.6503 12.7271
5 3.8063 22.5571
6 1.1043 20.5867
7 1.5848 23.5825
8 5.9989 18.9731
9 15.9859 11.1149
10 22.2563 1.4557
11 2.4207 23.7098
12 17.2206 8.4026
13 11.2083 13.5258
14 10.2787 12.7339
15 19.8312 3.3975
16 4.6715 25.7550
17 4.6351 14.5775
18 3.5612 17.7501
19 24.3439 3.1154
20 13.3313 9.1467
21 12.2625 7.2959
22 21.0384 3.5816
Total 232.6720 295.4257

Moyenne 10.5760 13.4284

VARIANCE 54.1345 54.9904
ECART-TYPE 7.3576 7.4156
Coef. Correl -0.9279
covariance -50.6265
xi  x 2 1190.9600
d= 0.5940
xi2 xi y i y = -0,9352x + 23,319 x  x 2 ui = yi-y
i
10.0721 63.1185 97.3259 54.7947 -77.4376
381.1301 92.3310 478.5675 80.0408 -473.8381
77.1874 147.7655 228.1923 3.2054 -211.3733
31.9261 71.9123 155.0794 24.2624 -142.3523
14.4878 85.8589 112.0784 45.8290 -89.5213
1.2194 22.7335 49.0699 89.7135 -28.4832
2.5117 37.3745 60.2762 80.8410 -36.6937
35.9873 113.8185 163.2091 20.9495 -144.2360
255.5479 177.6817 396.0951 29.2666 -384.9802
495.3443 32.3988 542.3168 136.4301 -540.8611
5.8597 57.3942 79.7674 66.5091 -56.0576
296.5502 144.6982 424.8888 44.1511 -416.4862
125.6256 151.6013 284.6861 0.3998 -271.1603
105.6526 130.8883 263.0102 0.0884 -250.2763
393.2758 67.3774 485.7645 85.6584 -482.3669
21.8226 120.3136 132.2534 34.8636 -106.4984
21.4841 67.5680 131.4053 35.2944 -116.8279
12.6818 63.2107 106.3619 49.2081 -88.6118
592.6269 75.8408 590.9977 189.5559 -587.8823
177.7223 121.9372 334.1919 7.5914 -325.0452
150.3677 89.4655 309.2685 2.8441 -301.9726
442.6162 75.3509 513.9167 109.4627 -510.3352
3651.6996 2010.6392 5938.7230 1190.9600 -5643.2972
 ui2 yi  y y i  y 2 xi  x 
ui xi  x  ui-1 (ui - ui-1)2 ui21
5996.5770 6.4598 41.7296 -7.4023 573.2198
224522.5053 -8.6990 75.6725 8.9466 -4239.2168 -77.4376 157133.3485 5996.5770
44678.6741 3.3905 11.4958 -1.7904 378.4350 -473.8381 68887.7465 224522.5053
20264.1671 -0.7013 0.4918 -4.9257 701.1825 -211.3733 4763.9041 44678.6741
8014.0566 9.1287 83.3324 -6.7697 606.0331 -142.3523 2791.1146 20264.1671
811.2935 7.1583 51.2407 -9.4717 269.7851 -89.5213 3725.6434 8014.0566
1346.4252 10.1540 103.1046 -8.9912 329.9187 -28.4832 67.4115 811.2935
20804.0104 5.5447 30.7432 -4.5771 660.1764 -36.6937 11565.3434 1346.4252
148209.7329 -2.3135 5.3524 5.4099 -2082.6899 -144.2360 57957.7786 20804.0104
292530.6831 -11.9727 143.3463 11.6803 -6317.4359 -384.9802 24298.8503 148209.7329
3142.4535 10.2814 105.7070 -8.1553 457.1671 -540.8611 235034.4012 292530.6831
173460.7586 -5.0258 25.2590 6.6446 -2767.3977 -56.0576 129908.7858 3142.4535
73527.9090 0.0974 0.0095 0.6323 -171.4490 -416.4862 21119.6182 173460.7586
62638.2438 -0.6946 0.4824 -0.2973 74.3961 -271.1603 436.1401 73527.9090
232677.8678 -10.0309 100.6189 9.2552 -4464.3940 -250.2763 53866.0504 62638.2438
11341.9083 12.3266 151.9445 -5.9045 628.8239 -482.3669 141277.1647 232677.8678
13648.7495 1.1490 1.3203 -5.9409 694.0634 -106.4984 106.6979 11341.9083
7852.0580 4.3216 18.6766 -7.0149 621.5988 -116.8279 796.1440 13648.7495
345605.5938 -10.3131 106.3591 13.7679 -8093.9216 -88.6118 249270.9891 7852.0580
105654.3698 -4.2817 18.3331 2.7552 -895.5806 -587.8823 69083.3489 345605.5938
91187.4395 -6.1326 37.6082 1.6865 -509.2619 -325.0452 532.3449 105654.3698
260441.9829 -9.8469 96.9607 10.4624 -5339.3531 -301.9726 43414.9674 91187.4395
2148357.4595 0.0000 1209.7886 0.0000 -28885.9005 1276037.7935 1887915.4766
uiui-1 x i  x  
y i  y 
-47.8180
36692.8669 -77.8260
100156.7165 -6.0703
30089.4686 3.4544
12743.5545 -61.7984
2549.8534 -67.8010
1045.1536 -91.2966
5292.5461 -25.3782
55527.9823 -12.5158
208220.7828 -139.8455
30319.3677 -83.8479
23347.2131 -33.3948
112934.5247 0.0616
67865.0063 0.2065
120725.0305 -92.8378
51371.3057 -72.7828
12441.9800 -6.8263
10352.3318 -30.3157
52093.3313 -141.9894
191088.3073 -11.7972
98154.7322 -10.3422
154107.2275 -103.0222
1377119.2828 -1113.7838