Vous êtes sur la page 1sur 44

Date Vedanta L&T Rel Infra Jaypee Lanco

1/1/2016 91.65 859.08 591.45 12.97 6.76


1/4/2016 88.9 836.94 600 12.79 6.96
1/5/2016 92.5 838.28 612.95 13.12 7.48 Log Returns
1/6/2016 88.85 826.47 592.25 12.96 7.22
1/7/2016 81.1 804.24 564.85 12.47 6.78
1/8/2016 81.05 786.61 581.7 12.68 6.99
1/11/2016 85.05 783.24 583.65 12.53 7.23
1/12/2016 84.25 786.44 572.5 12.31 7.1 Frequency
1/13/2016 80.95 771.91 544.65 11.88 6.78 309
1/14/2016 79.35 756.64 532.2 11.62 6.57
1/15/2016 72.9 737.4 493.25 11 6.25
1/18/2016 68.85 721.97 471 10.84 5.75
1/19/2016 69.45 748.5 474.35 10.83 6.11
1/20/2016 63.9 742.1 454.75 9.94 5.9
1/21/2016 62.5 734.9 456.35 10.03 5.9
1/22/2016 64.75 761.37 459.5 10.31 6.05
1/25/2016 64.45 742.6 437.85 10.46 6.17
1/27/2016 63.85 738.24 452.3 10.45 6.1
1/28/2016 67.25 718.14 456.8 10.61 6.06
1/29/2016 71.7 734.84 469.65 10.64 6.06
2/1/2016 70.4 748.14 460.65 10.56 6.05
2/2/2016 64.9 747.77 449.3 10.41 5.94
2/3/2016 61.65 738.34 435.3 10.11 5.67
2/4/2016 67.75 757.4 409.85 9.8 5.65
2/5/2016 73.85 759.8 437.5 9.95 5.63
2/8/2016 71.7 753.54 432.15 10.37 6.17
2/9/2016 69.75 743 423.5 10.43 6.48
2/10/2016 67.4 748.44 440.2 9.92 6.28
2/11/2016 62.35 728.24 402.8 9.43 5.64
2/12/2016 63.3 702.5 402.6 8.92 5.83
2/15/2016 74.85 766.14 424.75 9.43 5.98
2/16/2016 71.25 738.64 404.8 9.3 5.68
2/17/2016 74.4 748.14 417.95 9.12 5.47
2/18/2016 75.8 766.2 413.7 9.51 5.25
2/19/2016 74.65 767.54 418.1 9.27 5.24
2/22/2016 74.1 767.01 421.95 9.58 5.33
2/23/2016 72.85 753.44 413.4 9.49 5.16
2/24/2016 70.95 742.2 411.1 9.44 5.41
2/25/2016 69.6 724.64 408.2 9.5 5.32
2/26/2016 71.8 740.5 410.15 9.22 5.33
2/29/2016 70.85 719.54 409.55 9.36 5.19
3/1/2016 75 749.2 428.9 9.28 5.16
3/2/2016 78 758.57 437.45 9.65 5.42
3/3/2016 83.7 804.14 458.4 9.71 5.4
3/4/2016 87.25 795.87 469.6 9.77 5.44
3/8/2016 90.3 791.57 482.15 9.7 5.51
3/9/2016 87.85 808.67 515.6 9.77 5.55
3/10/2016 88.2 790.71 506.95 9.76 5.46
3/11/2016 87.35 790.57 503.75 9.42 5.3
3/14/2016 89 789.21 500.8 8.88 5.18
3/15/2016 88 787.44 500.55 8.94 5.07
3/16/2016 86.35 788.61 497 8.82 5.19
3/17/2016 86.35 795.91 508.25 8.72 5.2
3/18/2016 91.9 799.54 509.85 8.54 5.09
3/21/2016 94.05 818.57 511.55 8.76 4.97
3/22/2016 96.15 824.77 535.9 8.69 5.04
3/23/2016 96.8 827.87 536.8 8.68 5.02
3/28/2016 88.05 803.97 522.75 8.25 4.88
3/29/2016 87.65 795.51 521.1 8.19 4.95
3/30/2016 91.7 817.87 534.05 8.23 4.97
3/31/2016 89.9 810.84 533.6 8.4 4.97
4/1/2016 90.2 825.57 555.4 8.85 5.13
4/4/2016 90.6 823.87 554.25 8.65 5.06
4/5/2016 85.85 796.67 535.95 8.24 4.86
4/6/2016 87.5 806.41 544.4 8.44 4.89
4/7/2016 85.85 788.37 536.55 8.16 4.85
4/8/2016 87.45 793.81 540.9 8.1 4.88
4/11/2016 90.25 808.57 576.2 7.9 4.87
4/12/2016 90.6 815.07 574 7.86 5.06
4/13/2016 93.85 823.74 573.3 7.65 5.03
4/18/2016 97.25 832.91 562 7.71 4.97
4/20/2016 106.15 842.78 562.8 7.98 5.34
4/21/2016 105.05 834.48 550.45 7.89 5.18
4/22/2016 104.85 842.11 554.15 7.84 5.14
4/25/2016 102.05 843.68 546.6 7.68 5.02
4/26/2016 106.2 854.04 552.9 7.67 5.02
4/27/2016 104.85 851.58 550.1 7.58 4.97
4/28/2016 100 839.78 536.25 7.53 4.9
4/29/2016 103.75 835.74 538.55 7.31 4.94
5/2/2016 110.8 832.11 542.2 7.2 4.78
5/3/2016 110.05 833.94 536.2 7.27 4.76
5/4/2016 104.6 830.74 516.8 7.09 4.67
5/5/2016 104.75 849.01 520.05 7.08 4.6
5/6/2016 103.7 840.08 520.35 6.84 4.37
5/9/2016 103.75 862.94 542.6 6.93 4.28
5/10/2016 100.75 879.11 548 6.67 4.25
5/11/2016 99.85 882.71 540.55 6.55 4.44
5/12/2016 102.75 878.48 538.45 6.46 4.47
5/13/2016 98 858.14 511.4 6.32 4.43
5/16/2016 99.9 855.51 512.95 6.16 4.38
5/17/2016 100.05 862.31 510.2 6.16 4.3
5/18/2016 99.25 872.98 513.35 6.16 4.26
5/19/2016 95 844.71 502.2 6.05 4.37
5/20/2016 96.9 838.44 505 5.99 4.37
5/23/2016 97.4 827.27 504.5 5.86 4.23
5/24/2016 96.9 827.64 498.5 5.79 4.17
5/25/2016 99.3 860.91 513.15 5.79 4.4
5/26/2016 103.95 981.78 516.75 5.74 4.52
5/27/2016 102.8 983.08 541.6 5.68 4.71
5/30/2016 106.25 991.02 545.6 5.8 4.39
5/31/2016 108.3 982.92 538.05 5.58 4.28
6/1/2016 105.05 977.88 524.9 5.6 4.31
6/2/2016 106.55 985.62 532.65 5.61 4.22
6/3/2016 104.6 974.05 523.1 5.69 4.15
6/6/2016 106.35 978.78 530.45 5.51 4.17
6/7/2016 109.85 992.08 530.95 5.49 4.2
6/8/2016 111.8 1007.15 540.95 5.44 4.36
6/9/2016 113 994.92 545 6.13 4.39
6/10/2016 116.7 991.45 548.6 7.35 4.92
6/13/2016 113.95 976.65 536.15 7.6 4.99
6/14/2016 114.7 973.75 543.45 8.43 5.17
6/15/2016 119.75 1006.68 539.35 8.51 4.83
6/16/2016 122.35 994.62 533.5 8.38 4.73
6/17/2016 122.4 985.52 535.7 8.73 4.96
6/20/2016 128.1 1003.82 544.15 8.67 4.87
6/21/2016 125.5 996.52 543.15 9.02 4.87
6/22/2016 126.45 993.75 541 8.79 4.8
6/23/2016 126.5 998.28 536.9 8.76 4.69
6/24/2016 117.9 955.78 505.6 8.36 4.53
6/27/2016 122.2 978.38 513.15 8.32 4.62
6/28/2016 123 982.12 522.3 8.5 4.73
6/29/2016 127.05 987.92 532.35 8.6 4.83
6/30/2016 131.8 997.52 546.35 8.88 4.84
7/1/2016 135.2 1027.15 543.75 8.93 4.66
7/4/2016 138.65 1043.52 548.05 9.15 4.7
7/5/2016 137.05 1049.82 567.1 10.6 5.1
7/7/2016 143.25 1036.09 567.95 11.06 5.18
7/8/2016 143.05 1021.22 561.75 10.33 5.01
7/11/2016 148.6 1039.62 576.6 9.99 5.05
7/12/2016 159.5 1045.39 574 10.33 5.2
7/13/2016 164.2 1032.82 560.2 10.37 5.13
7/14/2016 164.05 1042.62 563.85 10.76 5.17
7/15/2016 163.25 1057.39 552.2 10.6 5.07
7/18/2016 160.3 1050.02 554 10.44 5.07
7/19/2016 160.15 1048.89 555.7 10.84 5.07
7/20/2016 161.75 1047.65 562.45 10.88 5.35
7/21/2016 157.25 1037.55 550.6 10.89 5.28
7/22/2016 168.95 1049.35 561.25 10.91 5.25
7/25/2016 171.9 1057.02 570.45 10.56 5.22
7/26/2016 169.7 1060.99 563.2 10.5 5.08
7/27/2016 168.45 1067.52 560.6 10.38 5.05
7/28/2016 169.15 1051.35 573.25 10.61 5.08
7/29/2016 164.6 1038.72 606.8 10.29 5.02
8/1/2016 165.95 995.92 598.85 9.94 4.93
8/2/2016 156.25 1002.78 582.95 9.25 4.83
8/3/2016 157.25 985.28 571.8 9.15 4.69
8/4/2016 161.8 980.28 581.65 9.13 4.63
8/5/2016 169.05 1008.48 598.65 9.17 4.68
8/8/2016 169.5 1004.95 593.5 9.11 4.57
8/9/2016 165.05 998.45 589.45 8.9 4.65
8/10/2016 164.25 988.38 569.85 8.52 4.53
8/11/2016 161.4 982.85 575.25 8.94 4.51
8/12/2016 166 992.32 578.55 8.76 4.45
8/16/2016 169.5 1003.68 591.35 8.38 4.41
8/17/2016 170.7 1001.38 585 7.78 4.43
8/18/2016 172.7 988.48 591.75 8.47 4.45
8/19/2016 179.05 993.65 593.95 8.48 4.44
8/22/2016 176.45 994.78 590.4 8.43 4.44
8/23/2016 174.15 983.78 599.75 9.49 4.54
8/24/2016 175.9 982.05 603.55 9.79 4.37
8/25/2016 170.3 971.62 597.95 9.67 4.4
8/26/2016 169.3 951.95 584.25 9.21 4.36
8/29/2016 173.2 970.85 599.05 9 4.33
8/30/2016 174.85 982.62 596.35 8.9 4.31
8/31/2016 170.05 1009.28 595.9 9.49 4.63
9/1/2016 170.2 1005.15 586.25 9.49 4.48
9/2/2016 172.15 1001.65 614.15 9.51 4.55
9/6/2016 174.1 1010.65 618.25 9.6 4.96
9/7/2016 174.1 1012.85 616.05 9.83 4.89
9/8/2016 175.3 1025.98 616.2 9.89 4.88
9/9/2016 171.65 1012.98 617.35 9.86 4.82
9/12/2016 161.55 975.72 577.45 9.15 4.51
9/14/2016 165.65 983.45 597.2 9.27 4.61
9/15/2016 165.7 980.45 582.2 9.29 4.56
9/16/2016 162.3 983.72 590 9.14 4.48
9/19/2016 164.7 986.85 595.2 9.35 4.53
9/20/2016 164.1 983.38 593.8 9.22 4.54
9/21/2016 164.9 980.95 588.45 9.21 4.48
9/22/2016 168.15 999.38 610.1 9.22 4.47
9/23/2016 170 997.92 608.7 9.15 4.43
9/26/2016 168.65 979.18 594.75 9.05 4.42
9/27/2016 166.4 959.71 590.35 8.98 4.33
9/28/2016 174.65 970.25 593.4 9.03 4.34
9/29/2016 168.1 957.71 542.4 8.5 4.11
9/30/2016 172.05 954.48 551.9 8.7 4.11
10/3/2016 178.8 979.95 595.95 8.93 4.2
10/4/2016 187.15 965.98 589.75 8.91 4.22
10/5/2016 191.5 968.82 591.05 8.89 4.24
10/6/2016 197.3 969.75 583.35 9.06 4.18
10/7/2016 194.8 969.95 585.25 8.99 4.18
10/10/2016 199.4 967.52 583.4 8.91 4.2
10/13/2016 195.5 957.65 563.65 8.74 4.16
10/14/2016 195.5 981.72 570.85 8.82 4.17
10/17/2016 192.5 964.91 557.05 8.81 4.26
10/18/2016 195.9 992.38 573 8.97 4.22
10/19/2016 198.4 990.58 570.2 8.93 4.2
10/20/2016 207.05 1002.75 578 9.31 4.28
10/21/2016 203.35 1007.05 575.35 9.16 4.27
10/24/2016 202.3 996.42 579.65 8.93 4.3
10/25/2016 203.8 989.65 574.55 8.74 4.28
10/26/2016 201.25 988.52 556.1 8.97 4.22
10/27/2016 199.35 982.32 543.65 8.87 4.23
10/28/2016 202.05 985.32 543.65 9.19 4.19
10/30/2016 202.45 984.48 542.15 9.23 4.19
11/1/2016 219.65 976.45 538.5 9.01 4.2
11/2/2016 218.25 964.28 519.2 8.91 4.13
11/3/2016 217.9 963.08 516.75 8.72 4.06
11/4/2016 212.8 945.98 495.15 8.56 3.98
11/7/2016 215.55 933.28 500.7 8.52 4.01
11/8/2016 219.35 930.88 501.65 8.5 4.01
11/9/2016 217.6 927.11 483.15 7.57 3.89
11/10/2016 228.6 942.48 508.75 7.83 3.98
11/11/2016 229.6 926.55 489.5 7.49 3.87
11/15/2016 209.8 913.28 457.3 7.16 3.65
11/16/2016 207.15 914.78 450.8 7.09 3.68
11/17/2016 213.75 914.01 454.65 7.4 3.68
11/18/2016 204.2 912.65 456.55 7.34 3.68
11/21/2016 197.05 898.88 450.1 6.99 3.5
11/22/2016 206.7 886.18 449.85 6.99 3.53
11/23/2016 217.1 905.28 478.35 7.18 3.63
11/24/2016 221.8 901.75 452.35 7.09 3.59
11/25/2016 223.2 913.18 458.2 7.34 3.71
11/28/2016 228.45 904.15 461.35 7.45 3.74
11/29/2016 228.05 903.08 465.6 7.65 3.87
11/30/2016 229.75 921.75 478.65 7.58 3.93
12/1/2016 226.9 923.65 468.65 7.34 3.86
12/2/2016 222.9 906.88 459.2 7.17 3.87
12/5/2016 226.65 905.45 472.8 7.6 3.86
12/6/2016 229 908.28 477.05 7.66 3.81
12/7/2016 230.9 902.35 472.55 7.52 3.84
12/8/2016 242.8 911.31 481.95 7.61 4
12/9/2016 244.75 907.68 492.7 7.91 4
12/12/2016 246.2 910.05 483.2 7.67 3.81
12/13/2016 240.45 916.98 482.05 7.57 3.77
12/14/2016 235.85 906.91 491 7.51 3.65
12/15/2016 236.05 905.55 495.7 7.42 3.66
12/16/2016 230.45 905.98 487 7.38 3.62
12/19/2016 227.35 896.78 503.7 7.31 3.7
12/20/2016 224.55 902.08 497.95 7.26 3.65
12/21/2016 226.05 894.94 500.25 7.24 3.6
12/22/2016 216.6 877.64 482.4 7.14 3.62
12/23/2016 216.6 891.34 477.1 7.13 3.56
12/26/2016 208.55 891.78 446.25 6.99 3.5
12/27/2016 214.7 903.01 456.1 7 3.53
12/28/2016 211.75 900.48 450.8 7 3.56
12/29/2016 216.6 894.28 459.15 7.02 3.51
12/30/2016 216.3 899.64 467.05 7.4 3.59
1/2/2017 220.85 907.25 478.35 7.53 3.66
1/3/2017 219.75 912.05 478.6 7.47 3.8
1/4/2017 216.95 917.38 483.05 8.17 3.9
1/5/2017 227.1 929.35 490.5 8.53 3.86
1/6/2017 230.35 927.48 491.9 8.22 3.82
1/9/2017 232.55 920.48 492.55 8.31 3.76
1/10/2017 232.55 924.28 501.4 8.33 3.75
1/11/2017 237.35 941.91 506.5 8.36 3.76
1/12/2017 240.35 966.11 509.9 8.24 3.82
1/13/2017 238.25 958.98 506.25 8.12 3.76
1/16/2017 243.25 961.78 510.6 8.09 3.75
1/17/2017 236.3 964.28 512.5 8.03 3.78
1/18/2017 243.85 967.22 510.9 8.27 3.76
1/19/2017 244.75 963.71 518.8 8.16 3.79
1/20/2017 238.5 943.08 505.75 7.95 3.74
1/23/2017 245.2 929.05 513.7 8.03 3.79
1/24/2017 252.05 946.48 515.7 8.03 3.77
1/25/2017 258.3 966.35 520.5 8.2 3.75
1/27/2017 257.7 959.81 527.65 8.16 3.78
1/30/2017 260.7 962.28 521.85 8.09 3.89
1/31/2017 253.15 963.21 514.9 8.48 3.82
2/1/2017 260.6 993.88 529.45 8.92 3.82
2/2/2017 259.65 982.25 528.35 9.18 3.74
2/3/2017 251.1 986.35 537.65 9.79 4.03
2/6/2017 250.6 990.02 539.5 11.24 4.11
2/7/2017 248.4 1000.08 527.05 10.86 4.38
2/8/2017 251.95 1001.95 537.25 10.93 4.36
2/9/2017 249.3 992.78 542.35 10.8 4.26
2/10/2017 247.9 1000.78 542.1 10.31 4.18
2/13/2017 256.05 998.22 535.45 9.86 4
2/14/2017 253.35 995.32 561.65 9.54 3.84
2/15/2017 247.6 986.78 541.55 8.82 3.75
2/16/2017 262.65 980.32 550.9 9.63 3.77
2/17/2017 263.4 985.38 558.95 11.1 3.86
2/20/2017 270.35 987.82 561.5 11.08 3.85
2/21/2017 268.8 988.68 560.8 10.68 3.93
2/22/2017 263.5 984.88 565.7 10.11 3.85
2/23/2017 262.35 990.75 557.6 10.29 3.83
2/27/2017 255.6 978.88 566.4 10.88 3.77
2/28/2017 259.1 980.22 567.35 11.17 3.97
3/1/2017 265.35 983.58 569.6 13.09 4.08
3/2/2017 270.55 983.38 552.25 12.23 3.95
3/3/2017 267.5 979.42 567.5 12.87 3.94
3/6/2017 266.45 988.12 583.85 12.69 3.94
3/7/2017 260.3 989.82 578.6 12.23 3.8
3/8/2017 252.2 983.52 569.2 11.8 3.77
3/9/2017 252.8 984.68 570.65 11.82 3.66
3/10/2017 248.45 994.68 565.15 11.65 3.62
3/14/2017 253.3 1038.42 574.6 10.59 3.61
3/15/2017 255.75 1031.58 575.9 11.27 3.61
3/16/2017 264.35 1045.59 594.25 11.01 3.58
3/17/2017 264.45 1033.85 581.65 10.7 3.56
3/20/2017 263.55 1025.55 578.6 10.15 3.52
3/21/2017 261.65 1033.08 575.45 10.21 3.53
3/22/2017 261.05 1020.02 560.95 10.73 3.5
3/23/2017 265.7 1030.78 571.7 10.39 3.47
3/24/2017 266.9 1034.29 571.2 10.42 3.49
3/27/2017 261.15 1031.15 563.45 10.25 3.47
3/28/2017 265.05 1030.55 566.8 10.16 3.4
3/29/2017 268.8 1037.42 566.5 10.54 3.36
3/30/2017 273.8 1038.49 564.25 10.62 3.3
3/31/2017 274.7 1051.79 568.45 10.5 3.33
Date Vedanta L&T Rel Infra Jaypee Lanco
1/1/2016
1/4/2016 -0.030465 -0.02611 0.0143525 -0.013975 0.0291566
1/5/2016 0.0396965 0.0015998 0.0213537 0.0254742 0.0720533 Total
1/6/2016 -0.040259 -0.014189 -0.034355 -0.01227 -0.035378 Last/First
1/7/2016 -0.091267 -0.027266 -0.047369 -0.038542 -0.062878
1/8/2016 -0.000617 -0.022165 0.0293946 0.0167002 0.0305035
1/11/2016 0.0481731 -0.004293 0.0033466 -0.0119 0.0337585 Std Dev
1/12/2016 -0.009451 0.0040773 -0.019289 -0.017714 -0.018144 Volatility
1/13/2016 -0.039957 -0.018648 -0.049869 -0.035556 -0.046118
1/14/2016 -0.019963 -0.01998 -0.023124 -0.022129 -0.031463
1/15/2016 -0.08478 -0.025757 -0.076003 -0.054832 -0.049932
1/18/2016 -0.057158 -0.021147 -0.046158 -0.014652 -0.083382
1/19/2016 0.0086768 0.0360876 0.0070874 -0.000923 0.0607269
1/20/2016 -0.083288 -0.008587 -0.042198 -0.085753 -0.034974 Mean
1/21/2016 -0.022153 -0.00975 0.0035122 0.0090136 0 Z score
1/22/2016 0.0353671 0.035385 0.0068789 0.0275337 0.0251059 X (Last Entry)
1/25/2016 -0.004644 -0.024962 -0.048263 0.0144442 0.0196406 Probability
1/27/2016 -0.009353 -0.005889 0.0324693 -0.000956 -0.01141 Exceeded Probability
1/28/2016 0.0518804 -0.027604 0.0099 0.015195 -0.006579
1/29/2016 0.0640737 0.0229883 0.0277421 0.0028235 0 Any exceeded probability that lies wit
2/1/2016 -0.018297 0.0179373 -0.019349 -0.007547 -0.001652
2/2/2016 -0.081346 -0.000495 -0.024948 -0.014306 -0.018349
2/3/2016 -0.051374 -0.012691 -0.031655 -0.029242 -0.04652
2/4/2016 0.0943512 0.0254871 -0.060244 -0.031143 -0.003534
2/5/2016 0.0862115 0.0031637 0.0652855 0.0151902 -0.003546
2/8/2016 -0.029545 -0.008273 -0.012304 0.0413445 0.0915894
2/9/2016 -0.027573 -0.014086 -0.020219 0.0057692 0.0490217
2/10/2016 -0.034272 0.007295 0.0386757 -0.050133 -0.031351
2/11/2016 -0.077881 -0.02736 -0.088789 -0.050657 -0.107486
2/12/2016 0.0151217 -0.035985 -0.000497 -0.0556 0.0331329
2/15/2016 0.1676008 0.0867195 0.0535572 0.0556002 0.0254036
2/16/2016 -0.049291 -0.036554 -0.048108 -0.013882 -0.051469
2/17/2016 0.0432611 0.0127795 0.0319687 -0.019545 -0.037673
2/18/2016 0.0186424 0.0238531 -0.010221 0.0418741 -0.041051
2/19/2016 -0.015288 0.0017474 0.0105796 -0.02556 -0.001907
2/22/2016 -0.007395 -0.000691 0.0091662 0.0328942 0.0170297
2/23/2016 -0.017013 -0.01785 -0.020471 -0.009439 -0.032415
2/24/2016 -0.026427 -0.015031 -0.005579 -0.005283 0.0473125
2/25/2016 -0.019211 -0.023944 -0.007079 0.0063358 -0.016776
2/26/2016 0.0311199 0.0216507 0.0047657 -0.029917 0.0018779
2/29/2016 -0.01332 -0.028714 -0.001464 0.0150703 -0.026618
3/1/2016 0.0569231 0.0403939 0.0461648 -0.008584 -0.005797
3/2/2016 0.0392207 0.0124291 0.0197386 0.0390964 0.0491592
3/3/2016 0.0705302 0.0583383 0.0467798 0.0061984 -0.003697
3/4/2016 0.0415386 -0.010338 0.0241391 0.0061602 0.0073801
3/8/2016 0.0343599 -0.005418 0.026374 -0.007191 0.0127856
3/9/2016 -0.027507 0.0213726 0.067076 0.0071906 0.0072333
3/10/2016 0.0039761 -0.02246 -0.016919 -0.001024 -0.016349
3/11/2016 -0.009684 -0.000177 -0.006332 -0.035457 -0.029742
3/14/2016 0.0187133 -0.001722 -0.005873 -0.059034 -0.022902
3/15/2016 -0.0113 -0.002245 -0.000499 0.006734 -0.021464
3/16/2016 -0.018928 0.0014847 -0.007117 -0.013514 0.0233929
3/17/2016 0 0.0092142 0.0223834 -0.011403 0.0019249
3/18/2016 0.0622922 0.0045504 0.0031431 -0.020858 -0.021381
3/21/2016 0.0231255 0.0235224 0.0033288 0.0254349 -0.023858
3/22/2016 0.0220829 0.0075456 0.0465022 -0.008023 0.0139862
3/23/2016 0.0067375 0.0037516 0.001678 -0.001151 -0.003976
3/28/2016 -0.094742 -0.029294 -0.026522 -0.050808 -0.028285
3/29/2016 -0.004553 -0.010579 -0.003161 -0.007299 0.0142424
3/30/2016 0.0451708 0.02772 0.0245475 0.0048721 0.0040323
3/31/2016 -0.019824 -0.008633 -0.000843 0.0204457 0
4/1/2016 0.0033315 0.0180033 0.0400421 0.0521858 0.0316858
4/4/2016 0.0044248 -0.002061 -0.002073 -0.022858 -0.013739
4/5/2016 -0.053853 -0.033572 -0.033575 -0.048559 -0.040328
4/6/2016 0.0190372 0.0121518 0.0156434 0.023982 0.0061539
4/7/2016 -0.019037 -0.022625 -0.014525 -0.033738 -0.008214
4/8/2016 0.0184656 0.0068766 0.0080747 -0.00738 0.0061665
4/11/2016 0.0315164 0.0184231 0.0632204 -0.025001 -0.002051
4/12/2016 0.0038706 0.0080067 -0.003825 -0.005076 0.0382725
4/13/2016 0.0352435 0.0105809 -0.00122 -0.027081 -0.005946
4/18/2016 0.0355872 0.0110706 -0.019907 0.0078125 -0.012
4/20/2016 0.0875682 0.0117804 0.0014225 0.0344202 0.0718058
4/21/2016 -0.010417 -0.009897 -0.022188 -0.011342 -0.030421
4/22/2016 -0.001906 0.0091019 0.0066993 -0.006357 -0.007752
4/25/2016 -0.027068 0.0018626 -0.013718 -0.020619 -0.023623
4/26/2016 0.0398612 0.0122048 0.0114599 -0.001303 0
4/27/2016 -0.012793 -0.002885 -0.005077 -0.011803 -0.01001
4/28/2016 -0.047361 -0.013953 -0.0255 -0.006618 -0.014185
4/29/2016 0.036814 -0.004822 0.0042799 -0.029652 0.0081301
5/2/2016 0.0657426 -0.004353 0.0067546 -0.015162 -0.032925
5/3/2016 -0.006792 0.0021968 -0.011128 0.0096753 -0.004193
5/4/2016 -0.050791 -0.003845 -0.036851 -0.025071 -0.019089
5/5/2016 0.001433 0.0217541 0.006269 -0.001411 -0.015103
5/6/2016 -0.010074 -0.010574 0.0005767 -0.034486 -0.051293
5/9/2016 0.000482 0.026848 0.0418707 0.0130721 -0.02081
5/10/2016 -0.029342 0.0185649 0.0099029 -0.03824 -0.007034
5/11/2016 -0.008973 0.0040867 -0.013688 -0.018155 0.0437354
5/12/2016 0.0286298 -0.004804 -0.003892 -0.013836 0.006734
5/13/2016 -0.047331 -0.023426 -0.051543 -0.02191 -0.008989
5/16/2016 0.0192022 -0.003069 0.0030263 -0.025642 -0.011351
5/17/2016 0.0015004 0.0079171 -0.005376 0 -0.018434
5/18/2016 -0.008028 0.0122978 0.0061551 0 -0.009346
5/19/2016 -0.043765 -0.032919 -0.021959 -0.018019 0.0254938
5/20/2016 0.0198026 -0.00745 0.00556 -0.009967 0
5/23/2016 0.0051467 -0.013412 -0.000991 -0.021942 -0.032561
5/24/2016 -0.005147 0.0004472 -0.011964 -0.012017 -0.014286
5/25/2016 0.0244661 0.0394117 0.0289646 0 0.0536885
5/26/2016 0.0457644 0.1313773 0.006991 -0.008673 0.0269075
5/27/2016 -0.011125 0.0013232 0.0469685 -0.010508 0.0411759
5/30/2016 0.0330095 0.0080442 0.0073584 0.0209067 -0.070359
5/31/2016 0.0191103 -0.008207 -0.013935 -0.038669 -0.025376
6/1/2016 -0.030469 -0.005141 -0.024744 0.0035778 0.0069849
6/2/2016 0.0141779 0.0078839 0.0146568 0.0017841 -0.021103
6/3/2016 -0.018471 -0.011808 -0.018092 0.0141595 -0.016727
6/6/2016 0.016592 0.0048443 0.0139531 -0.032146 0.0048077
6/7/2016 0.0323803 0.0134969 0.0009422 -0.003636 0.0071685
6/8/2016 0.0175958 0.0150761 0.018659 -0.009149 0.0373875
6/9/2016 0.0106763 -0.012218 0.0074589 0.1194157 0.0068572
6/10/2016 0.0322187 -0.003494 0.0065838 0.1815056 0.1139793
6/13/2016 -0.023847 -0.01504 -0.022956 0.0334479 0.0141274
6/14/2016 0.0065603 -0.002974 0.0135237 0.1036485 0.0354368
6/15/2016 0.0430862 0.0332585 -0.007573 0.0094452 -0.068026
6/16/2016 0.0214796 -0.012052 -0.010906 -0.015394 -0.020921
6/17/2016 0.0004086 -0.009191 0.0041152 0.0409175 0.0474805
6/20/2016 0.0455168 0.0183986 0.0156506 -0.006897 -0.018312
6/21/2016 -0.020505 -0.007299 -0.001839 0.0395755 0
6/22/2016 0.0075412 -0.002784 -0.003966 -0.02583 -0.014478
6/23/2016 0.0003953 0.0045481 -0.007607 -0.003419 -0.023183
6/24/2016 -0.070406 -0.043506 -0.060066 -0.046737 -0.034711
6/27/2016 0.0358222 0.0233704 0.0148224 -0.004796 0.0196728
6/28/2016 0.0065253 0.0038154 0.0176739 0.0214039 0.0235305
6/29/2016 0.0323964 0.0058882 0.019059 0.011696 0.0209213
6/30/2016 0.0367049 0.0096705 0.0259586 0.0320394 0.0020683
7/1/2016 0.0254695 0.0292711 -0.00477 0.0056148 -0.037899
7/4/2016 0.0251976 0.0158116 0.0078769 0.0243375 0.0085471
7/5/2016 -0.011607 0.0060191 0.0341691 0.1471001 0.081678
7/7/2016 0.0442455 -0.013165 0.0014977 0.042481 0.0155645
7/8/2016 -0.001397 -0.014456 -0.010976 -0.068283 -0.033369
7/11/2016 0.0380639 0.0178573 0.0260919 -0.033468 0.0079523
7/12/2016 0.0707858 0.0055348 -0.004519 0.0334677 0.0292704
7/13/2016 0.0290413 -0.012097 -0.024336 0.0038647 -0.013553
7/14/2016 -0.000914 0.0094439 0.0064944 0.0369185 0.007767
7/15/2016 -0.004888 0.0140668 -0.020878 -0.014982 -0.019532
7/18/2016 -0.018236 -0.006994 0.0032544 -0.015209 0
7/19/2016 -0.000936 -0.001077 0.0030639 0.0375984 0
7/20/2016 0.0099411 -0.001183 0.0120737 0.0036832 0.0537557
7/21/2016 -0.028215 -0.009687 -0.021294 0.0009187 -0.01317
7/22/2016 0.0717659 0.0113088 0.0191578 0.0018349 -0.005698
7/25/2016 0.0173101 0.0072827 0.0162591 -0.032607 -0.005731
7/26/2016 -0.012881 0.0037488 -0.012791 -0.005698 -0.027186
7/27/2016 -0.007393 0.0061358 -0.004627 -0.011494 -0.005923
7/28/2016 0.0041469 -0.015263 0.0223143 0.0219161 0.005923
7/29/2016 -0.027268 -0.012086 0.0568773 -0.030624 -0.011881
8/1/2016 0.0081682 -0.042078 -0.013188 -0.034606 -0.018091
8/2/2016 -0.060229 0.0068645 -0.02691 -0.071943 -0.020493
8/3/2016 0.0063796 -0.017606 -0.019312 -0.01087 -0.029414
8/4/2016 0.0285241 -0.005088 0.0170796 -0.002188 -0.012876
8/5/2016 0.0438335 0.0283613 0.0288082 0.0043716 0.0107412
8/8/2016 0.0026584 -0.003506 -0.00864 -0.006565 -0.023785
8/9/2016 -0.026604 -0.006489 -0.006847 -0.023321 0.017354
8/10/2016 -0.004859 -0.010137 -0.033817 -0.043635 -0.026145
8/11/2016 -0.017504 -0.005611 0.0094316 0.0481192 -0.004425
8/12/2016 0.028102 0.0095891 0.0057202 -0.02034 -0.013393
8/16/2016 0.0208651 0.0113829 0.0218831 -0.044348 -0.009029
8/17/2016 0.0070547 -0.002294 -0.010796 -0.074292 0.0045249
8/18/2016 0.0116484 -0.012966 0.0114724 0.0849742 0.0045045
8/19/2016 0.0361091 0.0052166 0.0037109 0.0011799 -0.00225
8/22/2016 -0.014628 0.0011366 -0.005995 -0.005914 0
8/23/2016 -0.013121 -0.011119 0.0157126 0.1184418 0.0222726
8/24/2016 0.0099987 -0.00176 0.006316 0.0311228 -0.038164
8/25/2016 -0.032354 -0.010677 -0.009322 -0.012333 0.0068415
8/26/2016 -0.005889 -0.020452 -0.023178 -0.048738 -0.009132
8/29/2016 0.0227747 0.0196595 0.0250161 -0.023065 -0.006905
8/30/2016 0.0094815 0.0120505 -0.004517 -0.011173 -0.00463
8/31/2016 -0.027836 0.02677 -0.000755 0.0641873 0.071619
9/1/2016 0.0008817 -0.0041 -0.016327 0 -0.032934
9/2/2016 0.011392 -0.003488 0.0464929 0.0021053 0.0155042
9/6/2016 0.0112637 0.008945 0.0066537 0.0094192 0.0862785
9/7/2016 0 0.0021745 -0.003565 0.0236758 -0.014213
9/8/2016 0.0068689 0.0128801 0.0002435 0.0060852 -0.002047
9/9/2016 -0.021041 -0.012752 0.0018645 -0.003038 -0.012371
9/12/2016 -0.060643 -0.037476 -0.066814 -0.074732 -0.066477
9/14/2016 0.0250624 0.0078911 0.0336302 0.0130295 0.0219307
9/15/2016 0.0003018 -0.003055 -0.025438 0.0021552 -0.010905
9/16/2016 -0.020732 0.0033297 0.0133085 -0.016278 -0.0177
9/19/2016 0.0146792 0.0031767 0.0087749 0.022716 0.0110989
9/20/2016 -0.00365 -0.003522 -0.002355 -0.014001 0.0022051
9/21/2016 0.0048632 -0.002474 -0.009051 -0.001085 -0.013304
9/22/2016 0.0195172 0.0186136 0.0361309 0.0010852 -0.002235
9/23/2016 0.010942 -0.001462 -0.002297 -0.007621 -0.008989
9/26/2016 -0.007973 -0.018958 -0.023184 -0.010989 -0.00226
9/27/2016 -0.013431 -0.020084 -0.007426 -0.007765 -0.020572
9/28/2016 0.0483894 0.0109226 0.0051531 0.0055525 0.0023068
9/29/2016 -0.038225 -0.013009 -0.089865 -0.060486 -0.054451
9/30/2016 0.0232261 -0.003378 0.0173631 0.0232569 0
10/3/2016 0.0384827 0.0263349 0.0767899 0.0260934 0.0216615
10/4/2016 0.0456426 -0.014358 -0.010458 -0.002242 0.0047506
10/5/2016 0.0229774 0.0029357 0.0022019 -0.002247 0.0047281
10/6/2016 0.0298376 0.0009595 -0.013113 0.0189421 -0.014252
10/7/2016 -0.012752 0.0002062 0.0032518 -0.007756 0
10/10/2016 0.0233395 -0.002508 -0.003166 -0.008939 0.0047733
10/13/2016 -0.019752 -0.010254 -0.03444 -0.019264 -0.009569
10/14/2016 0 0.0248238 0.012693 0.0091117 0.002401
10/17/2016 -0.015464 -0.017271 -0.024471 -0.001134 0.0213531
10/18/2016 0.0175082 0.0280713 0.0282307 0.0179982 -0.009434
10/19/2016 0.0126809 -0.001815 -0.004899 -0.004469 -0.004751
10/20/2016 0.0426751 0.0122109 0.0135867 0.0416727 0.0188685
10/21/2016 -0.018032 0.004279 -0.004595 -0.016243 -0.002339
10/24/2016 -0.005177 -0.010612 0.0074459 -0.02543 0.0070012
10/25/2016 0.0073874 -0.006818 -0.008837 -0.021506 -0.004662
10/26/2016 -0.012591 -0.001142 -0.032639 0.0259755 -0.014118
10/27/2016 -0.009486 -0.006292 -0.022642 -0.011211 0.0023669
10/28/2016 0.0134531 0.0030493 0 0.0354411 -0.009501
10/30/2016 0.0019778 -0.000853 -0.002763 0.0043431 0
11/1/2016 0.0815424 -0.00819 -0.006755 -0.024124 0.0023838
11/2/2016 -0.006394 -0.012542 -0.036498 -0.011161 -0.016807
11/3/2016 -0.001605 -0.001245 -0.00473 -0.021555 -0.017094
11/4/2016 -0.023683 -0.017915 -0.042698 -0.018519 -0.019901
11/7/2016 0.0128401 -0.013516 0.0111464 -0.004684 0.0075094
11/8/2016 0.0174757 -0.002575 0.0018955 -0.00235 0
11/9/2016 -0.00801 -0.004058 -0.037576 -0.115873 -0.030382
11/10/2016 0.0493152 0.0164425 0.0516296 0.0337694 0.0228727
11/11/2016 0.0043649 -0.017047 -0.038572 -0.044394 -0.028027
11/15/2016 -0.090184 -0.014425 -0.068045 -0.045059 -0.058527
11/16/2016 -0.012712 0.0016411 -0.014316 -0.009825 0.0081856
11/17/2016 0.0313639 -0.000842 0.0085041 0.0427947 0
11/18/2016 -0.045707 -0.001489 0.0041703 -0.008141 0
11/21/2016 -0.035642 -0.015203 -0.014228 -0.048858 -0.05015
11/22/2016 0.047811 -0.014229 -0.000556 0 0.0085349
11/23/2016 0.0490896 0.0213242 0.0614285 0.0268188 0.0279348
11/24/2016 0.021418 -0.003907 -0.055886 -0.012614 -0.01108
11/25/2016 0.0062922 0.0125957 0.0128496 0.0346535 0.0328797
11/28/2016 0.0232491 -0.009938 0.0068512 0.0148752 0.0080537
11/29/2016 -0.001752 -0.001184 0.0091699 0.0264916 0.0341689
11/30/2016 0.0074269 0.0204629 0.0276427 -0.009192 0.0153849
12/1/2016 -0.012482 0.0020592 -0.021113 -0.032174 -0.017972
12/2/2016 -0.017786 -0.018323 -0.02037 -0.023433 0.0025873
12/5/2016 0.0166837 -0.001578 0.0291866 0.0582426 -0.002587
12/6/2016 0.010315 0.0031206 0.0089488 0.0078637 -0.013038
12/7/2016 0.0082627 -0.00655 -0.009478 -0.018446 0.0078432
12/8/2016 0.0502533 0.0098807 0.0196968 0.011897 0.040822
12/9/2016 0.0079992 -0.003991 0.0220601 0.0386646 0
12/12/2016 0.0059069 0.0026076 -0.01947 -0.030811 -0.048665
12/13/2016 -0.023632 0.0075861 -0.002383 -0.013124 -0.010554
12/14/2016 -0.019316 -0.011042 0.0183963 -0.007958 -0.032348
12/15/2016 0.0008476 -0.001501 0.0095268 -0.012056 0.002736
12/16/2016 -0.02401 0.0004747 -0.017707 -0.005405 -0.010989
12/19/2016 -0.013543 -0.010207 0.0337167 -0.00953 0.0218588
12/20/2016 -0.012392 0.0058926 -0.011481 -0.006863 -0.013606
12/21/2016 0.0066578 -0.007947 0.0046083 -0.002759 -0.013793
12/22/2016 -0.042704 -0.01952 -0.036334 -0.013908 0.0055402
12/23/2016 0 0.0154895 -0.011048 -0.001402 -0.016713
12/26/2016 -0.037874 0.0004935 -0.066847 -0.019831 -0.016998
12/27/2016 0.0290629 0.0125142 0.0218328 0.0014296 0.0085349
12/28/2016 -0.013835 -0.002806 -0.011688 0 0.0084627
12/29/2016 0.022646 -0.006909 0.0183532 0.0028531 -0.014145
12/30/2016 -0.001386 0.0059758 0.0170594 0.0527168 0.0225362
1/2/2017 0.0208174 0.0084234 0.0239064 0.017415 0.0193109
1/3/2017 -0.004993 0.0052768 0.0005225 -0.008 0.0375379
1/4/2017 -0.012824 0.005827 0.009255 0.0895739 0.0259755
1/5/2017 0.0457235 0.0129636 0.0153051 0.0431205 -0.010309
1/6/2017 0.0142094 -0.002014 0.0028502 -0.037019 -0.010417
1/9/2017 0.0095054 -0.007576 0.0013205 0.0108894 -0.015831
1/10/2017 0 0.0041198 0.0178082 0.0024038 -0.002663
1/11/2017 0.0204306 0.0188947 0.0101201 0.003595 0.0026631
1/12/2017 0.0125603 0.025368 0.0066903 -0.014458 0.0158315
1/13/2017 -0.008776 -0.007407 -0.007184 -0.01467 -0.015831
1/16/2017 0.0207692 0.0029155 0.0085559 -0.003701 -0.002663
1/17/2017 -0.028988 0.002596 0.0037142 -0.007444 0.0079682
1/18/2017 0.0314511 0.0030443 -0.003127 0.02945 -0.005305
1/19/2017 0.003684 -0.003636 0.0153446 -0.01339 0.0079471
1/20/2017 -0.025868 -0.021639 -0.025476 -0.026072 -0.01328
1/23/2017 0.0277049 -0.014989 0.015597 0.0100126 0.0132804
1/24/2017 0.0275533 0.0185873 0.0038858 0 -0.005291
1/25/2017 0.0244942 0.0207762 0.0092647 0.0209496 -0.005319
1/27/2017 -0.002326 -0.006791 0.0136433 -0.00489 0.0079682
1/30/2017 0.0115742 0.0025701 -0.011053 -0.008615 0.0286851
1/31/2017 -0.029388 0.000966 -0.013407 0.0470817 -0.018159
2/1/2017 0.0290045 0.031345 0.027866 0.0505855 0
2/2/2017 -0.003652 -0.011771 -0.00208 0.0287313 -0.021165
2/3/2017 -0.033483 0.0041654 0.0174488 0.0643343 0.0746808
2/6/2017 -0.001993 0.0037139 0.003435 0.1381174 0.0196567
2/7/2017 -0.008818 0.0101101 -0.023347 -0.034393 0.0636257
2/8/2017 0.0141903 0.0018681 0.0191681 0.006425 -0.004577
2/9/2017 -0.010574 -0.009194 0.009448 -0.011965 -0.023203
2/10/2017 -0.005632 0.0080259 -0.000461 -0.046432 -0.018958
2/13/2017 0.0323473 -0.002561 -0.012343 -0.044628 -0.044017
2/14/2017 -0.010601 -0.002909 0.0477714 -0.032993 -0.040822
2/15/2017 -0.022957 -0.008617 -0.036443 -0.078472 -0.023717
2/16/2017 0.0590078 -0.006568 0.0171179 0.0878614 0.0053192
2/17/2017 0.0028514 0.0051483 0.0145067 0.1420619 0.0235922
2/20/2017 0.0260436 0.0024731 0.0045518 -0.001803 -0.002594
2/21/2017 -0.00575 0.0008702 -0.001247 -0.036769 0.0205663
2/22/2017 -0.019914 -0.003851 0.0086996 -0.054848 -0.020566
2/23/2017 -0.004374 0.0059424 -0.014422 0.0176475 -0.005208
2/27/2017 -0.026066 -0.012053 0.0156587 0.0557537 -0.01579
2/28/2017 0.0136004 0.001368 0.0016759 0.0263054 0.0516911
3/1/2017 0.0238356 0.0034219 0.003958 0.158617 0.0273309
3/2/2017 0.0194072 -0.000203 -0.030934 -0.067957 -0.032381
3/3/2017 -0.011337 -0.004035 0.0272399 0.0510071 -0.002535
3/6/2017 -0.003933 0.0088436 0.0284034 -0.014085 0
3/7/2017 -0.023352 0.001719 -0.009033 -0.036922 -0.03618
3/8/2017 -0.031612 -0.006385 -0.01638 -0.035792 -0.007926
3/9/2017 0.0023762 0.0011787 0.0025442 0.0016935 -0.029612
3/10/2017 -0.017357 0.0101044 -0.009685 -0.014487 -0.010989
3/14/2017 0.0193329 0.0430345 0.016583 -0.095396 -0.002766
3/15/2017 0.0096258 -0.006609 0.0022599 0.0622342 0
3/16/2017 0.0330736 0.0134897 0.0313661 -0.02334 -0.008345
3/17/2017 0.0003782 -0.011292 -0.021431 -0.02856 -0.005602
3/20/2017 -0.003409 -0.008061 -0.005257 -0.05277 -0.0113
3/21/2017 -0.007235 0.0073156 -0.005459 0.0058939 0.0028369
3/22/2017 -0.002296 -0.012722 -0.025521 0.0496759 -0.008535
3/23/2017 0.0176559 0.0104936 0.0189826 -0.0322 -0.008608
3/24/2017 0.0045062 0.0033994 -0.000875 0.0028832 0.0057471
3/27/2017 -0.021779 -0.003041 -0.013661 -0.016449 -0.005747
3/28/2017 0.0148235 -0.000582 0.0059279 -0.008819 -0.020379
3/29/2017 0.0140491 0.0066442 -0.000529 0.0367191 -0.011834
3/30/2017 0.0184303 0.0010309 -0.00398 0.0075615 -0.018019
3/31/2017 0.0032817 0.0127257 0.0074159 -0.011364 0.0090498
Vedanta L&T Rel Infra Jaypee Lanco
1.0977026 0.2023867 -0.039664 -0.211264 -0.708051
1.0977026 0.2023867 -0.039664 -0.211264 -0.708051

66.252054 94.497356 51.516148 1.5937552 0.8138552


1164.6048 1661.1119 905.57124 28.015659 14.306269

Since the volatility of Lanco is very less this will be the preferred stock option and is more stable

163.6644 919.95175 529.53819 8.9339159 4.5650809


1.6759571 1.3951528 0.7553323 0.9826378 -1.517568
274.7 1051.79 568.45 10.5 3.33
0.9531267 0.9185151 0.7749752 0.8371071 0.0645616
0.0468733 0.0814849 0.2250248 0.1628929 0.9354384

ded probability that lies within 5-20 percent is good but since Lanco here is showing 93% it can be concluded that it is not a good stock
it is not a good stock
Sales 200

Equity
450 Fixed Assets
350
CA (Prepaid Expenses) Total Assets
100 Current Assets 810
460
Inventory EBIT
120 Operating Expenses 150
150
Average Receivables C Tax @ 30 %
90 Opeating Income 45
50
Cash EAT
150 Non Operating Income 105
100

Sales 268.571429

Equity
450 Fixed Assets
350
CA (Prepaid Expenses) Total Assets
100 Current Assets 810
460
Inventory EBIT
120 Operating Expenses 167.142857
201.428571428571
Average Receivables C Tax @ 30 %
90 Opeating Income 50.1428571
67.1428571428571
Cash EAT
150 Non Operating Income 117
100
Profit Margin 0.525

Asset Turnover 0.246914 ROE 0.233333

C Tax @ 30 % Financial Leverage 1.8

Profit Margin 0.435638

Asset Turnover 0.33157 ROE 0.26 Target 0.26

C Tax @ 30 % Financial Leverage 1.8


Sales

Equity
450 Fixed Assets
350
CA (Prepaid Expenses)
0.2 Current Assets
0.8
Inventory
0.25 Operating Expenses
0.55
Average Receivables
0.2 Opeating Income
199.45
Cash
0.15 Non Operating Income
100

Sales

Equity
450 Fixed Assets
350
CA (Prepaid Expenses)
0.2 Current Assets
0.8
Inventory
0.25 Operating Expenses
0.55
Average Receivables
0.2 Opeating Income
199.45
Cash
0.15 Non Operating Income
100
200

Total Assets
350.8
Profit Margin 1.048075
EBIT
299.45 Asset Turnover 0.570125 ROE 0.465811

C Tax @ 30 % Financial Leverage 0.779556


89.835

EAT
209.615

200

Total Assets
350.8
Profit Margin 1.048075
EBIT
299.45 Asset Turnover 0.570125 ROE 0.465811

C Tax @ 30 % Financial Leverage 0.779556


89.835

EAT
209.615
Market Size 12395
Sales 3718.5

Market Share 0.3


Target 0.3
Difference 0
Current and Fixed Assets 1000
Current Liabilities 650

Current Sales 900


New Sales 1000

delta S 100

EBIT 120

Interest 50

EBT 70

Tax @ 34% 23.8

m 0.12
d 0.35

EAT 46.2

Target EAT 150

A/S 1.6
L/S 0.4

m 0.1
d 0.45 A/S * delta S 160
L/S * delta S 40
Sales 100
New Sales 200 m*S1*(1-d) 11

delta S 100
EFR 109

A/S 1.6
L/S 0.4

m 0.1
d 0.45 A/S * delta S 7.68559

L/S * delta S 1.921397


Sales 100
New Sales 104.8035 m*S1*(1-d) 5.764192

delta S 4.803493
EFR 0

Percentage Growth 5%
Current and Fixed Assets 1000
Current Liabilities 650

Current Sales 900


New Sales 2310.606
A/S 1.111111

delta S 1410.606 L/S 0.722222

EBIT 277.2727
A/S * delta S 1567.34
Interest 50 L/S * delta S 1018.771

EBT 227.2727 m*S1*(1-d) 180.2273

Tax @ 34% 77.27273 EFR 368.3418

m 0.12
d 0.35

EAT 150

Target EAT 150


SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.495492
R Square 0.245512
Adjusted R 0.223955
Standard E 0.443141
Observatio 73

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 4.473027 2.236514 11.38908 5.222E-05
Residual 70 13.74615 0.196374
Total 72 18.21918

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 0.242522 0.103103 2.352221 0.021479 0.036889 0.448154 0.036889 0.448154
Credit car 0.000157 0.000251 0.62655 0.532992 -0.000343 0.000658 -0.000343 0.000658
Savings Ac 0.000206 4.343E-05 4.735438 1.107E-05 0.000119 0.000292 0.000119 0.000292
Customer Credit Card payment default in past
Credit card Spend
1 0 229
2 1 131
3 1 296
4 1 340
5 0 717
6 0 74
7 1 378
8 0 345
9 1 728
10 1 149
11 1 71
12 0 174
13 0 115
14 1 56
15 1 172
16 0 208
17 0 109
18 0 171
19 0 394
20 0 272
21 0 310
22 0 206
23 1 91
24 0 224
25 1 131
26 1 597
27 0 525
28 1 231
29 1 314
30 1 396
31 1 323
32 0 783
33 0 252
34 1 540
35 1 542
36 1 309
37 0 354
38 0 517
39 1 25
40 0 239
41 0 182
42 0 258
43 0 866
44 1 696
45 1 703
46 1 332
47 1 186
48 0 164
49 1 342
50 0 148
51 0 41
52 1 656
53 1 395
54 0 26
55 0 114
56 0 102
57 1 323
58 1 124
59 0 214
60 1 47
61 1 250
62 1 282
63 1 258
64 0 110
65 0 836
66 1 240
67 1 133
68 1 227
69 1 248
70 0 118
71 1 437
72 0 39
73 0 445
Savings Account Balance Model Prediction ESS Default Will Default
345 0.34947757108268 0.122134573 0 0
780 0.423543379579142 0.332302235 0 0
510 0.393946425013473 0.367300936 0 0
610 0.421430741023605 0.334742387 0 0
187 0.393689267635382 0.154991239 0 0
404 0.337248102483489 0.113736283 0 0
555 0.416091623936697 0.340948992 0 0
115 0.320405447463459 0.102659651 0 0
921 0.546386960558842 0.20576479 1 0
890 0.448997532266696 0.303603719 0 0
2416 0.750603254464978 0.062198737 1 0
186 0.308129080338969 0.09494353 0 0
194 0.30050026790192 0.090300411 0 0
2262 0.716570785051766 0.08033212 1 0
1151 0.506295210283974 0.243744419 0 0
442 0.366127458772564 0.134049316 0 0
246 0.310252447049777 0.096256581 0 0
295 0.330076550668098 0.108950529 0 0
468 0.400712575996453 0.160570569 0 0
389 0.365286656442721 0.133434341 0 0
221 0.336705780014396 0.113370782 0 0
155 0.306783122386115 0.094115884 0 0
700 0.400801411783101 0.359038948 0 0
318 0.343138277242652 0.117743877 0 0
557 0.37767689875493 0.387286042 0 0
598 0.459360579568166 0.292290983 0 0
341 0.395183278193875 0.156169823 0 0
336 0.347940838751788 0.42518115 0 0
287 0.350909375394019 0.421318639 0 0
520 0.411722280124202 0.346070676 0 0
2900 0.889764065855892 0.012151961 1 0
360 0.439646365233346 0.193288926 0 0
447 0.374072242593009 0.139930043 0 0
890 0.510459065658943 0.239650326 0 0
1717 0.680870216597296 0.101843819 1 0
920 0.480318410450763 0.270068955 0 0
4000 1.12088418998093 1.256381367 1 0
3500 1.04366661834262 1.08924001 1 0
2555 0.771961906613401 0.052001372 1 0
380 0.358248252324799 0.12834181 0 0
420 0.357515558291354 0.127817374 0 0
418 0.369050687027919 0.13619841 0 0
162 0.4119686882307 0.1697182 0 0
1782 0.718446726063697 0.079272246 1 0
249 0.404240714665418 0.354929126 0 0
378 0.372455621643635 0.393811947 0 0
278 0.328937862139874 0.450324393 0 0
396 0.349749824217622 0.12232494 0 0
1420 0.588345344096435 0.169459556 1 0
411 0.350319963550946 0.122724077 0 0
233 0.296889653999996 0.088143467 0 0
2221 0.802452307809209 0.039025091 1 0
4407 1.21104047498922 0.044538082 1 0
183 0.284247830352336 0.080796829 0 0
273 0.316591740889805 0.10023033 0 0
455 0.352139083509682 0.124001934 0 0
3170 0.945297473131845 0.002992366 1 0
1150 0.498544381118412 0.251457738 0 0
415 0.361517261779888 0.130694731 0 0
3363 0.941608963563548 0.003409513 1 0
2600 0.816585364552204 0.033640928 1 0
3407 0.987598648441009 0.000153794 1 0
1989 0.692172845659478 0.094757557 1 0
395 0.341055851317141 0.116319094 0 0
269 0.429260653180276 0.184264708 0 0
1744 0.638951989333949 0.130355666 1 0
3252 0.93229695632839 0.004583702 1 0
4259 1.15419191605281 0.023775147 1 0
3841 1.0715189774904 0.005114964 1 0
279 0.318454579096994 0.101413319 0 0
2588 0.843511859522705 0.024488538 1 0
224 0.294724159179158 0.08686233 0 0
486 0.412431524894998 0.170099763 0 0
Intercept 0.242522
Credit card Spend 0.000157
Savings Account Balance 0.000206

Model Average 0.520548

Confusion Matrix
Predicted
0 1
Actual 0 33 18
1 2 20

Model Accuracy 53 TP + TN
73 Sum of All
73%
Using Euclidean Method
Group 1 Group2
Buyers Speed Length Speed Length Distance Speed
1 6 2 16 2.25 18.25 4
2 3 5 1 2.25 3.25 1
3 1 3 1 0.25 1.25 9
4 2 3 0 0.25 0.25 4
5 1 1 1 6.25 7.25 9
6 4 3 4 0.25 4.25 0
7 7 5 25 2.25 27.25 9
8 5 2 9 2.25 11.25 1
9 6 1 16 6.25 22.25 4
10 7 1 25 6.25 31.25 9
11 6 5 16 2.25 18.25 4
12 2 4 0 0.25 0.25 4
13 2 3 0 0.25 0.25 4
14 1 2 1 2.25 3.25 9
15 4 0 4 12.25 16.25 0

Speed Length
2 3.5
4 5
4.5 3.5
Group 3
Length Distance Speed Length Distance Minimum Group
9 13 2.25 2.25 4.5 4.5 3
0 1 2.25 2.25 4.5 1 2
4 13 12.25 0.25 12.5 1.25 1
4 8 6.25 0.25 6.5 0.25 1
16 25 12.25 6.25 18.5 7.25 1
4 4 0.25 0.25 0.5 0.5 3
0 9 6.25 2.25 8.5 8.5 3
9 10 0.25 2.25 2.5 2.5 3
16 20 2.25 6.25 8.5 8.5 3
16 25 6.25 6.25 12.5 12.5 3
0 4 2.25 2.25 4.5 4 2
1 5 6.25 0.25 6.5 0.25 1
4 8 6.25 0.25 6.5 0.25 1
9 18 12.25 2.25 14.5 3.25 1
25 25 0.25 12.25 12.5 12.5 3

1
2
3
Segmentation
Buyers Debit Card Spend Credit card Spend Group 1 Group 2
1 2.89 3.21 0 0
2 3.60 5.84 0 0
3 4.42 0.57 0 0
4 3.52 6.40 0 1
5 6.44 4.08 0 1
6 4.75 4.86 0 1
7 2.03 1.30 0 0
8 3.01 3.93 0 0
9 2.65 1.45 0 0
10 6.41 0.69 0 1
11 5.50 4.43 0 1
12 3.80 3.00 1 0
13 1.83 2.28 1 0
14 0.16 4.39 1 0
15 6.34 4.99 1 0
4 5

X Y Z
3.33416562 5.49372076735051 2.89615308160449
3.1827896 4.4308109736636 3.18868873942997
Distance Inertia
Group 3 Allocation Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 Group 1
1 1 0.445 2.878 0.018 0
1 1 2.674 2.366 2.746 0
1 1 2.835 4.012 3.035 0
0 1 3.218 2.787 3.267 0
0 1 3.230 1.004 3.651 0
0 1 2.193 0.863 2.494 0
1 1 2.290 4.669 2.077 0
1 1 0.811 2.532 0.748 0
1 1 1.859 4.116 1.753 0
0 1 3.964 3.856 4.317 0
0 1 2.497 0.003 2.882 0
0 1 0.504 2.215 0.927 0.5039886
0 1 1.753 4.247 1.399 1.7528855
0 1 3.399 5.335 2.991 3.3987152
0 1 3.507 1.014 3.886 3.5069217
6
The bank wants to have three clusters with 5 buyers in each
Group 2 Group 3
What should be the combination of debit and credit spend so that the b
0 0.0184077 can cluster 5 buyers to each segment?
0 2.7457613
0 3.0352165 (Hint: Use Eculidean distance and solver to derive values)
2.7872534 0
1.0039059 0
0.8631561 0
0 2.0769029
0 0.7475953
0 1.7528038
3.8562064 0
0.0031179 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
28.052838 Minimize
yers in each

dit spend so that the bank

ve values)
Segmentation
Buyers Debit Card Spend Credit card Spend Group 1 Group 2
1 2.89 3.21 1 1
2 3.60 5.84 1 1
3 4.42 0.57 1 1
4 3.52 6.40 1 1
5 6.44 4.08 1 1
6 4.75 4.86 1 1
7 2.03 1.30 1 1
8 3.01 3.93 1 1
9 2.65 1.45 1 1
10 6.41 0.69 1 1
11 5.50 4.43 1 1
12 3.80 3.00 1 1
13 1.83 2.28 1 1
14 0.16 4.39 1 1
15 6.34 4.99 1 1

X Y Z
1 2 3
4 5 6
Distance Inertia
Group 3 Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 Group 1 Group 2 Group 3
1 2.04950327
1 3.18423678
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

Vous aimerez peut-être aussi