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Electrical Power and Energy Systems 29 (2007) 397–407

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The impacts of price responsiveness on strategic equilibrium


in competitive electricity markets q
a,*
Ettore Bompard , Yuchao Ma a, Roberto Napoli a, Graziano Abrate b, Elena Ragazzi b

a
Department of Electrical Engineering, Politecnico di Torino, C.so Duca degli Abruzzi, 24, 10129 Torino, Italy
b
Ceris-CNR, Via Real Collegio, 30, 10024 Moncalieri (TO), Italy

Received 12 October 2005; accepted 17 October 2006

Abstract

One of the most important aspects that may affect market welfare is that related to the low demand responsiveness to price. This
situation may greatly impact the market performance causing low efficiency, high prices and a disproportional allocation of surpluses.
The structure of electricity markets is usually oligopolistic; producers may bid prices higher than their marginal costs to the short run
wholesale market, inducing outcome deviations from the perfect competitive benchmark. The possibility of gaming the market is amplified
in the presence of low demand responsiveness to price. This paper proposes a model to assess the role of demand elasticity in mitigating the
effects of supply side strategic bidding behavior. We model the supply side in a conjectural supply function (CSF) framework, which allows
incorporation of exogenous changes in demand elasticity and different levels of competition in a given market. The impacts of demand
responsiveness on the market performances are assessed through a set of proposed indices that are applied to a model of the Italian market.
 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Keywords: Competitive wholesale market; Demand elasticity; Strategic bidding

1. Introduction However, a common feature of electricity wholesale mar-


kets is a lack of price responsiveness measured by the value
In Italy, as in many other EU countries, electricity mar- of demand elasticity. This is due not only to the peculiar
kets have been recently involved in serious restructuring characteristics of the commodity, such as non-storability,
aimed at promoting competition among market partici- lack of good substitutes and the relatively small proportion
pants. One typical market designs often requires electricity of the typical consumer’s budget but also to the relation
to be sold in a spot wholesale market, where potential buy- between wholesale and retail market. In fact, only a small
ers (retailers or final consumers) and sellers (generators) number of customers are able to submit the hourly bids into
submit their bids for each period, generally each hour, of the power exchange; on the contrary, most of them are
the day. The demand and the supply meet in the electricity worked through retailers that charge retail prices indepen-
power exchange (EPX). The resulting auction yields the dent from the spot price fluctuations [2]. Since end users
equilibrium prices, which vary over time and space, consid- simply do not see the ‘‘true’’ spot price, they cannot use this
ering network constraints and supply/demand balance. price when making decisions regarding power withdrawal;
Theoretical foundations of this design can be found in [1]. this ‘‘inelastic’’ behaviour is transmitted to retailers, which
have legal obligations to serve their customers, and there-
fore on the wholesale demand. In [3], Taylor shows a funda-
q
This research has been supported by the LAGRANGE project of mental study of the demand elasticity.
Turin (supported by Institute for Scientific Interchange – ISI Foundation From the perspective of mitigating market power abuses
and CRT Foundation), in addition to HERMES – Higher Education and
Research on Mobility regulation and Economics of local Services – Turin.
by supply side, some approaches have been put forward,
*
Corresponding author. Tel.: +39 011 564 7154; fax: +39 011 564 7199. such as encouraging bilateral contracts between suppliers
E-mail address: ettore.bompard@polito.it (E. Bompard). and large consumers, risk management, price caps, rebate

0142-0615/$ - see front matter  2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.ijepes.2006.10.003
398 E. Bompard et al. / Electrical Power and Energy Systems 29 (2007) 397–407

Nomenclature

q/D demand price ($/MW)/quantity (MW) af/bf intercept ($/MW)/slope ($/MW2) parameters of
d1/d2 intercept ($/MW)/slope (negative, $/MW2) the strategic offer curve of the producer f
parameters of the demand curve pf output of the supplier f, MW
qr0 =Dr0 reference point, a typical price/quantity pair P f =P f minimum/maximum output for producer f
Dmax maximum demand quantity (without the hydro units)
e demand elasticity Cf production cost of the producer f
k*/D* price ($/MW)/quantity (MW) at perfect compe- Hf output by hydro units of producer f
tition equilibrium rf conjecture of producer f about his competitors’
k0/D0 price ($/MW)/quantity(MW) under oligopoly output with respect to the price
competition equilibrium SS social surplus
c1f /c2f intercept ($/MW)/slope ($/MW2) param- SG
f surplus of the producer f
eters of the marginal cost curve of the producer SD/SG total consumer and total producer surplus
f respectively

mechanisms and divestiture of large portfolios that have an rics and the application of the method to a real market
unreasonably large share of the market [4,5]. model will be presented in Sections 6 and 7. In the last sec-
However, these approaches usually ignore the possibility tion some policy indications and suggestions for future
of a price-responsive demand and its potential benefits. research will be presented.
Fig. 1 shows this effect on the market clearing price. Up
to now, most of researches on the strategic bidding behav- 2. Key factors in the evaluation and improvement of demand
iours have been concentrated on the supply side, whereas side elasticity in electricity market
the demand side is modelled using linear functions fixed
at load buses [6–8]. Only a few have considered the influ- A wide range of literature has focused on the measure-
ence of the demand-side price responsiveness and most of ment of load elasticity, stating that industrial, residential
them focused mainly on the effects of strategically changing and commercial consumers will respond to price signals.
the consumers’ load profile, which is characterized by the However, results vary over a wide range; Borenstein and
cross-price elasticity of the demand side [9–11]. Bushnell [13] has run simulations showing how market
In this paper, we want to investigate the mitigating effect power is impacted by varying elasticities from 0.1 to
of demand-side behaviour on imperfect competition in an 0.4 and 1.0, pretending to cover most current estimates
oligopoly electricity market with reference both to the mar- of short-run and long-run price elasticity. In 1999, NIEIR
ket performances, as measured by prices and efficiency, and [14] undertook a review of the long run own-price elasticity
to surplus allocation. This will be done by adjusting differ- of electricity demand and recommended the values of
ent values of own-price elasticity in the context of a conjec- 0.25, 0.35, 0.38 for residential, commercial and indus-
tural supply function (CSF) model [12], which will allow us trial customers respectively. Stoft [15] argued that the abso-
to assess the impact of demand price responsiveness on the lute value of elasticity is much lower than 0.1 when
market performance. considering one-day demand elasticity.
This paper is organised as follows. The next section pre- For our purposes, more relevant results are found in
sents a survey of elasticity values found in literature and [16], during the summer 2002, under Emergency Demand
will discuss the factors which affect those values. In Section Response Program, the average calculated demand price
4 we will introduce how the demand side responsiveness to elasticities in the various NYISO pricing zones ranged from
price while in Section 5 we will present the CSF model used 0.02 to 0.16.
to represent the supply side bidding behaviour. Some met- Using a sample of British industrial customers, Patrick
and Wolak [17] estimated the customer level price elasticity
($/MW) under real time pricing. They found substantial heterogene-
r Lowly elastic Aggregate supply curve
demand (strategic bidding) ity in own price elasticities across industries and across
r1
Highly elastic Aggregate supply curve hours: the maximum value was 0.27, registered between
demand (marginal cost) 9.30 am to 10.00 am for water industry customers. How-
r2
Aggregate demand ever, the average values were substantially lower, and in
curve in EPX
many cases between 0 and 0.05.
In this section, we want to briefly summarise several fac-
o p2 p1 p (MW) tors which can affect the values presented above.
Fig. 1. Effect of low load elasticity on the price spikes due to strategic The unavailability of substitutes: Electricity is indispens-
bidding. able in manufacturing and is regarded as essential for the
E. Bompard et al. / Electrical Power and Energy Systems 29 (2007) 397–407 399

quality of life by most individuals in industrialized societies. a two-way communication networks would necessitate a
It is easy to transmit and distribute and can be effectively capital investment of about $70–$90 per residential site
converted into other types of energy, therefore, at present, and $350–$1650 per commercial site to build electricity
there are no good energy substitutes. metering and network technologies [21].
Time frame (short run and long run elasticity): Irrelevant • installing distributed self back-up generators on the
to customer class, since energy involves usage of durable demand side to give customers the ability to make deci-
goods, there is a substantial difference between short run sions based on the spot price.
and long run elasticity. In the short run, given the lack of • rescheduling customers’ load profile and switching on/
good substitutes for electricity, consumers have limited off the discretionary loads [9–11].
options for responding to price changes, and elasticity is • constructing a price sensitive market platform by evolv-
usually assumed to be relatively low, at around 0.1. In ing the customer’s tariff structure from fixed price (FP)
the long run, progress in technology and the possibility to demand response price (DRP) and then to real time
of switching to other kinds of energy will offer more oppor- price (RTP) [22–25].
tunities for price responsiveness, and elasticity is usually
estimated in a range from 0.4 to 0.7 [18]. 3. Demand representation in the electricity power exchange
Customers type, consumers’ income, climate: Customers
have proved to be widely heterogeneous in their ability to In the EPX, electricity is usually traded with a double-
respond to price changes. Different industry characteristics side auction, in which both sellers and buyers submit their
lead to different elasticities [17]. Aubin et al. [19] ran a vol- own bids. The elasticity at the consumer level is not neces-
untary dynamic pricing experiment suggesting that high- sarily the same as the elasticity measured in the EPX, even
income and high-electricity consumers are the most elastic. if the values are clearly interrelated. Programs which try to
Load profile: Estimates for demand elasticity in the Cal- enhance demand participation in the wholesale market typ-
ifornia Power Exchange Day-Ahead Market indicate that ically involve methods to make the economic incentives of
the percentage of cases with elasticity greater than 1.0 is customers more accurately reflect the time-varying whole-
higher in the off peak hours than on-peak hours [20].This sale price of electricity. Understanding the link between
is what might be expected because the exigencies of buying wholesale and retail market is very important, as underlined
power on-peak are more severe than during off-peak hours. by Ilic et al. [26]. Given the heterogeneity of customers, the
In this context, the demand is higher, the ability to predict retailers, or load serving entities (LSE), may play a role as
demand is lower, the network is more constrained, and ‘‘intelligent’’ load aggregators, in a way to produce demand
therefore supply resources are more strained. bids more effectively into the wholesale market. In this
Own-price and cross-price elasticity: Consuming electric- respect the demand curve in the EPX is an aggregate bid
ity during a certain hour of the day or night usually has dif- curve from all the customers that are eligible for presenting
ferent intrinsic values for the consumers (this speaks to the bid to the EPX. The price responsiveness of the ineligible
origin of the peak load problem). Since wholesale prices customers that purchase electricity at fixed rates cannot
vary each hour of the day, it is useful to distinguish between be explicitly modeled; however, if they face time-varying
own-price and cross-price elasticity: (a) the own-price elas- rates, their behavior in terms of price responsiveness, in
ticity, which indicates demand variation during a certain some way, can be incorporated in the bids of brokers and
hour to a change in the price in the same hour (for example, distributors that are purchasing electricity in the EPX to
the variation in a peak hour consumption induced by a supply them. Patrick and Wolak [17] showed how the price
change in the peak price), which is the one discussed in this responsiveness of final customer subject to dynamic price
paper. (b) the cross-price elasticity, shows demand sensitiv- schedules can be incorporated in the bids on the EPX by
ity to prices charged in the other time-period (for example, the distributor units. Different authors have studied the crit-
the sensitivity of the peak demand to a change in an off-peak ical link between the price responsiveness of final customers
price). In this instance, relative prices matter. The own-price and the demand elasticity on the EPX [24,26].
elasticity represents the consumer’s willingness to curtail or We represent the demand side in the EPX with a linear
increase consumption in response to higher or lower prices. demand curve that is expressed as:
On the other hand, the cross-price elasticity corresponds to
the willingness to shift load from peak hours to off-peak q ¼ d 1 þ d 2D ð1Þ
hours in response to price, while keeping overall consump- The demand elasticity is
tion constant. According to [17], the magnitude of cross-
price elasticity is much lower than own-price elasticity. dD q q
Some research work has been done to increase the e¼  ¼ ð2Þ
dq D d 2 D
demand elasticity for electricity:
The parameters d1 and d2 may depend on the various
• advanced and affordable interval meters and automatic factors described in Section 3, but they can be assumed
meter reading to establish effective communication links constant when considering the typical time frame for an
between customer and marketplace. The introduction of EPX auction. With other words, the demand side behavior
400 E. Bompard et al. / Electrical Power and Energy Systems 29 (2007) 397–407

is exogenous to our model, since we assume (1) to represent of perfect competition from which it may be rather far
the aggregate bid curve of a given market. However, differ- [27,28]. The oligopoly behavior of competitors may be
ent behavior in terms of price responsiveness can be simu- modeled using game theory to represent the strategic inter-
lated by varying the elasticity at a reference price-quantity actions among different players who are aware that their
point. In order to assess the impact of the demand respon- results depend on the decisions of other producers.
siveness to price on the performance for a given market, we We propose a strategic bidding model for the supply
argue that the maximum power demanded (Dmax), related side based on the CSF [12] and able to account for the
to the current level of electric appliances and devices, demand elasticity in the formulation of the producers’
should be considered as fixed in the short run, i.e. all pos- offers. The strategic behavior of producers is modeled with
sible demand curves must pass through this point, though a static game representing one-hour spot market, with sym-
they may have different degree of price responsiveness. metric information on the marginal costs of the producers
We choose as the reference point a typical price/quantity (i.e. all players know the marginal costs of their rivals).
pair qr0 and Dr0 of the market in a peak hour and attribute Though this is a strong assumption, it is widely used in lit-
to that point the reference value of elasticity (er0 Þ to formu- erature [7,8,29,30], because it helps the tractability of the
late the reference demand curve that is given by: model. The parameters of the production function are
qr qr asymmetric (i.e. marginal costs are different), thus the same
q ¼ qr0  r0 þ r 0 r D ð3Þ happens for the strategic offers.
e0 e0 D0
Let us consider the market clearing price k*(er) and
Then, we can calculate Dmax (4) and formulate different quantityD*(er), under perfect competition. The quantity
scenarios for demand responsiveness at the reference price pf ðer Þ produced by the competitors of producer f is
qr0 (Fig. 2). D ðer Þ  pf ðer Þ where pf ðer Þ is the quantity produced by f.
Dmax ¼ Dr0 ð1  er0 Þ ð4Þ Producer f will submit to the EPX a linear offer as:
To increase the demand responsiveness means to qf bf pf þ af ð6Þ
increase elasticity when the market price is qr0 ; at this price, CSF model describes, for each producer f, the assumed
the customer will not buy as much as they did in the former relationship between the price, qf, offered by producer f and
situation; they will only buy the quantity D1 (or D2), maybe the quantity, pf, offered by his competitors. pf is assumed
resorting to their reserve electricity sources to provide the to be a linear function defined by a reference point (pf ðer Þ,
quantity difference. On the other hand, the customer may k* (er)) – corresponding to the market equilibrium under
still buy the quantity Dr0 , but in this case they will be willing perfect competition – and a slope rf – representing the con-
to pay a price lower than qr0 . Thus, by adjusting the elastic- jecture of producer f about its competitors’ behavior
ity er at the fixed price qr0 , we introduce a set of downward (Fig. 3). In formulae:
linear curves which pass through the point (0, Dmax) and
that may be expressed as: pf ðqf ; er Þ ¼ pf ðer Þ þ rf ðqf  k ðer ÞÞ

qr ð1  er Þ qr0 ð1  er Þ ¼ D ðer Þ  pf ðer Þ þ rf ðqf  k ðer ÞÞ ð7Þ


r
qðe Þ ¼  0 r þ r r D ¼ d 1 ðer Þ þ d 2 ðer ÞD ð5Þ
e e D0 ð1  er0 Þ The parameter rf reflects the conjecture of player f on
how his competitors will change their produced quantity
We can observe that jer0 j < jer1 j < jer2 j: In fact
in response to a change in the price bid by producer f. Dif-
Dr0 Dmax Dr1 Dmax Dr2 Dmax ferent estimations of the parameter rf allow for modeling
j er0 j¼ ; j er1 j¼ ; j er2 j¼
ODr0 ODr1 ODr2 different levels of competition and concentration according
Dr0 Dmax < D1 Dmax < D2 Dmax and ODr0 > OD1 > OD2 to different oligopoly models (rf = 0 ) Cournot Model –
low competition/high concentration, rf = 1 ) Bertrand
Model – high competition/low concentration [12]).
4. Strategic model of supply side under elastic demand Each player faces the demand not satisfied by his com-
petitors (residual demand) that is
The supply side (electricity producers) in the electricity
pf ðqf ; er Þ ¼ Dðqf ; er Þ  pf ðqf ; er Þ ð8Þ
market may be better described in terms of oligopoly than

r $/MW p− f M
A W
|e 2r | rf 3 rf 2
|e 1r |
B * r
p− f (e ) rf 1
|e 0r |
C
r 0r
O λ*(ε r) f $/MW
r
O D2 D1 D0 Dmax D MW
Fig. 3. CSF curves with different conjecture parameters at reference pair
Fig. 2. Demand model for assessing price responsiveness impacts. based on current demand curve, r1f <r2f < r3f .
E. Bompard et al. / Electrical Power and Energy Systems 29 (2007) 397–407 401

and on this demand each player may act as a monopolist, r $/MW


A
defining the optimal intercept af of the offer curve that Aggregate demand curve
maximizes his profit.
Substituting (7) in (8) and use (5) we get Aggregate supply curve
  (strategic bidding)
d 1 ðer Þ 1 lo E
r  r  r
pf ðqf ; e Þ ¼   pf ðe Þ þ rf k ðe Þ þ  r f qf B G F Aggregate supply curve
d 2 ðer Þ d 2 ðer Þ l* (marginal cost)
H
¼ h1 ðer Þ  pf ðer Þ þ rf k ðer Þ þ ðh2 ðer Þ  rf Þqf C
o Do D* Dmax D MW
ð9Þ
Fig. 4. Market clearing without network constraints.
where h1(er) = d1(er)/d2(er); h2(er) = 1/d2(er); and, inver-
sely, we get sidered as a ‘‘surplus’’ and can be used to measure the wel-
h1 ðe r
Þ  pf ðer Þ þ rf k ðer Þ fare of the participants to the market. The social surplus, as
1
qf ðpf ;er Þ ¼  r
þ r
pf ð10Þ measured by the area ACF in Fig. 4, is maximized under
h2 ðe Þ  rf h2 ðe Þ  rf perfect competition, while under oligopoly strategic bid-
From (9) or (10) we see that, although the demand does not ding by the producers would reduce it to the area ABE
take active part in the game, its elasticity will serve as an in Fig. 4. The difference between the two areas above is
exogenous factor in the optimal offer calculation. called dead-weight loss (area EHF) and is commonly used
Each player will choose in (6) the intercept af that max- to measure the inefficiency of the market caused by strate-
imize its surplus while the slope bf is fixed and equal to the gic bidding. The producer surplus (i.e. the social surplus
slope of the marginal cost curve [7,29]. The related optimi- going to the supply side) is increased from the area k*FC
zation problem can be stated as follows: to the area k0 EHC while the consumer surplus (i.e. the
social surplus going to the demand side) is deceased from
max S Gf ¼ qf ðpf ; er Þpf  C f ðpf Þ þ qf ðpf ; er ÞH f ð11Þ the area Ak*F to area Ak0E [30,31].
s:t: pf 6 P f ð12Þ The market clearing without considering the network
 pf 6 P f ð13Þ constraints, based on the strategic offers of the producers,
can be expressed by the following optimization problem
In the definition of the producer surplus function (11) we X
separately take into account of hydropower units. In this max d 1 D þ 0:5d 2 D2  ðaf pf þ 0:5bf p2f Þ ð16Þ
f
paper we want to model the Italian market at a typical
peak load hour and in that period the hydro plants can s:t: pf 6 P f 8f ð17Þ
get the much higher price (set by thermal power plants)  pf 6 P f 8f ð18Þ
bidding zero marginal cost. Furthermore, we consider the X
D¼ pf ð19Þ
hydro power dispatched at least for the capacity features
f
of the Italian market. The Lagrange function of the above
From the optimization problem (16)–(19) we can derive the
optimization problem is
market clearing price k0(er) and quantity p0f (er) at the oli-
Lf ðpf ; lf ; lf Þ ¼ qðpf ; ef Þðpf þ H f Þ  C f ðpf Þ  lf ðpf  P f Þ gopoly competition equilibrium (OCE) under strategic of-
 lf ðP f  pf Þ ð14Þ fer curves of the producers.
P af þc0f c0f d 1 ðer Þ
where lf and lf are Lagrange multipliers for the inequali- 0 r f 2c
 d 2 ðer Þ
0 r
k0 ðer Þ  c0f þ c0f  af
ties (12) and (13). k ðe Þ ¼ P 12f 1
; p f ðe Þ ¼
f 2c2f  d 2 ðer Þ 2c2f
The optimization problem (11)–(13) is a strictly concave
quadratic model due to the negative second derivative ð20Þ
value with respect to the pf. By applying the first order con- where cf and cf are Lagrange multipliers for the inequality
þ r
dition, the price and quantity (qþ r
f ðe Þ; P f ðe Þ, the expres- constraints (17) and (18).
sions are shown in the Appendix) corresponding to the If we assume the offers of each player to be equal to the
maximum surplus can be used to formulate the optimal marginal cost curve, we can obtain, as a reference, market
offer for producer f. clearing price k*(er) and quantity pf ðer Þ at the perfect com-
qf ¼ bf pf þ a ð15Þ petition equilibrium (PCE):
P c1f þcf cf d 1 ðer Þ
where f c
 d 2 ðer Þ k ðer Þ  cf þ cf  c1f
k ðer Þ ¼ P 12f 1
; p  r
f ðe Þ ¼
af ¼ qþ f 2c2f  d 2 ðer Þ 2c2f
þ
f  2c2f P f ; bf ðer Þ ¼ 2c2f
In economic terms, for each quantity sold in the market, ð21Þ
the difference between the willingness to pay of consumers The k*(er)
and pf ðer )
are used to formulate the residual
for 1 unit of electricity (as measured by the demand curve) demand curve (10) and the optimal strategic offer through
and the marginal cost of producing such unit can be con- maximization problem (11)–(13). After then, the OCE
402 E. Bompard et al. / Electrical Power and Energy Systems 29 (2007) 397–407

results are obtained through the maximization problem shed lights on the efficient allocation of the market
(16)–(19). resources.
The conjectural parameter rf need to be defined a priori Producer surplus comparison index:
and its value impacts on the surplus of producer f. Accord- 0 

ing to the formulation (9) S Gf ðer Þ  S Gf ðer Þ


K Cf ðer Þ ¼  ð25Þ
S G ðer Þ
@S Gf @qf
¼ ðH f þ pf Þ This index should be decreased as elasticity increases to
@rf @rf
 reflect the market power mitigation in terms of the alloca-
k h2 ðer Þ  h1 ðer Þ þ pf ðer Þ þ pf tion of producer surplus.
¼ ðH f þ pf Þ 2
ðhðer Þ  rf Þ Market inefficiency index:
D ðer Þ þ pf ðer Þ þ pf  0
S S ðer Þ  S S ðer Þ S  ðer Þ
¼ ðH f þ pf Þ 2 K S ðer Þ ¼  ¼ S ð26Þ
ðhðer Þ  rf Þ S S ðer Þ S ðer Þ
pf  pf ðer Þ The overall efficiency of the market is generally mea-
¼ ðH f þ pf Þ 2
60 ð22Þ
ðhðer Þ  rf Þ sured by the social surplus SS and by the dead-weight loss
S, area EHF in Fig. 4, which shows the reduction in the
where D*(er) = h1(er) + k*(er) h2(er).
SS with respect to perfect competition.
Note that pf , the output of producer f maximizing his
Production inefficiency index:
surplus, is smaller than pf ðer Þ that is the dispatched quan-
tity at the PCE due to the fact that the strategic offer P 0 P 
f Cf  Cf 
curve is higher than the marginal cost curve in the f 
K C ðer Þ ¼ P  ð27Þ
price-quantity coordinates. The above inequality shows C
f f

 0 r
that the surplus of producer f is a downward curve in D¼D ðe Þ
terms of rf , which means that pf will be decreased when 0 r
where D (e ) is the demand at the oligopoly competition
rf is increased reflecting that the competition level in the
equilibrium, C0 is the actually cost incurred to serve the de-
market is enhanced.
mand D0 due to the strategic behavior of the producers
while Cm is the cost that would be incurred if all the pro-
5. Metrics for the assessment of the impacts of the demand ducers would bid their marginal costs. Thus this index de-
side elasticity scribes, for the same demands, the relative difference
between the total cost based on market power behavior
The elasticity plays a major role in reducing the effects of and total cost derived from least cost dispatch.
the strategic biddings of the producers in many respects. Surplus transfer index:
An elastic load may reduce the market clearing price and
mitigate the market power of the producers. To quantify DS T ðer Þ ¼ ½k0 ðer Þ  k ðer ÞD0 ð28Þ
the strategic bidding impacts under different load respon-
This proposed index can give a quantitative represen-
siveness we use a set of metrics that are summarized in
tation of the surplus amount which is grasped by supply
the following (Perfect competition case is indicated by the
side at the expense of demand side due to market power,
superscript ‘‘*’’ while the oligopoly competition by the
area Ek0 k G in Fig. 4. This amount can partially be
superscript ‘‘0’’):
transferred back to demand side by improving price
Lerner index:
responsiveness.
k0 ðer Þ  k ðer Þ Surplus variation indices:
K k ðer Þ ¼ ð23Þ The dead weight loss S can be split into two parts. The
k0 ðer Þ G r
S (e ), area FGH in the Fig. 4, is referred to the suppliers’
The Lerner index is commonly used as a measure of part while the SD(er), area FGE in the Fig. 4, is referred to
market power and its values can vary between 0 (perfect the consumers. Then, we can define two further indicators,
competition) and 1 (monopoly). When increasing demand KD(er) and KG(er), to represent the variation in consumers’
elasticity, the k0 will be decreased down to the k* mitigating surplus (DSD(er)) and in producers’ surplus (DSG(er)),
the effect on the market clearing price induced by strategic respectively:
bidding behavior from supply side.
Producer surplus share index: DS D ðer Þ ¼ ½DS T ðer Þ þ S D ðer Þ; ð29Þ
G r T r G r
0
S Gf ðer Þ DS ðe Þ ¼ DS ðe Þ  S ðe Þ; ð30Þ
K Sf ðer Þ ¼ 0 ð24Þ D
DS ðer Þ
S G ðer Þ K D ðer Þ ¼ ð31Þ
S S ðer Þ
The total producer surplus will be redistributed among
DS G ðer Þ
producers with the increasing of the demand price respon- K G ðer Þ ¼ ð32Þ
siveness. The analysis of the individual surplus share may S S ðer Þ
E. Bompard et al. / Electrical Power and Energy Systems 29 (2007) 397–407 403

6. Market simulation around those values by an improvement in demand respon-


siveness. In other words, the marginal effect of an increase
We considered a simulation based on data representing in elasticity value is decreasing. Since electricity wholesale
the Italian electricity market. We assumed that the Italian market usually shows very low values of demand elasticity,
supply side can be described by seven generation firms with 0.02 to 0.2, this indicates a positive role for enhancing
different types of power plants (see Table A.1 in the Appen- demand responsiveness programs.
dix). The reference price/quantity pair ðqr0 =Dr0 Þ comes from Table 2 shows the performance indices when the conjec-
the actual trade outcome during a peak hour in Italian elec- tural parameters are set to rf = 135; this value can be some-
tricity market (6 April 2004, h. 10: qr0 ¼ 85:42 $/MW, how interpreted as the one describing the actual level of
Dr0 ¼ 44450 MW, er0 ¼ 0:05Þ. In addition, we assumed competition in the Italian market. In fact, this is the value
6000 MW of import contract and so, the net hourly that in our simulation model yields the reference outcome
demand is derived by subtracting the total hydro power registered in the market, by assuming rf to be the same
and the import electricity from the actual demand quantity for all firms (comparing row 1 in Table 2 to the reference
of the hour. data provided above: price = 85.87  85.42 $/MW; quan-
Tables 1 and 2 report the market performance under dif- tity = 25.444 MW + 19.000 MW, the latter comes from
ferent levels of demand price responsiveness with different hydro and import, 44.450). Also note that the elasticity
assumptions on the competition of the market. The high value computed at the equilibrium point corresponds to
prices are due to the highly concentrated structure of the the reference elasticity (0.05); assuming slightly different
market with two dominant producers. reference elasticities (e.g., 0.01; 0.1) does not signifi-
In Table 1, the results are computed on the base of a cantly affect the results.
Cournot model, i.e. all the conjectural parameters are From Table 2, the benefits from increasing demand elas-
zeros. As expected, when increasing the elasticity erat the ticity appears mild. From one hand, it has still great impact
given price qr0 (and consequently the elasticity of the on the price level, as reflected in the decreasing Lerner
OCE point, e0), the Lerner index Kk is decreasing (from index. Slightly increasing the demand elasticity from
86.89% to 33.64%), because of the lower market price at 0.05 to 0.2 makes the market clearing price to decrease,
the OCE. The market inefficiency index KS varies from from 85.87 $/MW to 73.42 $/MW. From the other hand,
14.29% to 8.7%, indicating that overall system opera- the surplus indices show the expected trend only in abso-
tion efficiency is improved. The surplus transfer index lute values, while KD, KG and KS show an opposite trend.
DST(er) gives a better idea of the economic value for con- This is due to the fact that the impact on consumption
sumers in terms of the price elasticity increasing. Raising (which affects the computation of surplus) results to be
the elasticity from 0.05 to 0.1, the amount of surplus higher in oligopoly than under perfect competition (com-
transferred from demand side to the supply side due to pare column 5 and 6 of Table 2). In other words, the effect
the market power decreases by 50%. The same behavior on quantity due to the increased demand slope is higher
can be found for producers’ and consumers’ surplus varia- than the effect on the strategic behavior of the supply side
tions, expressed by DSD(e0) and DSG(er). The indices of KD (lower intercept for supply curve).
and KG, that express these variations as percentage of the It is also useful to compare the results in Tables 1 and 2
perfect competition surplus, decrease at a slower rate that correspond to a similar level in oligopoly price (e.g.,
because the total surplus under perfect competition also roughly, row 6 in Table 1, corresponding to an elasticity
varies with different demand slopes. of 0.4, and row 1 in Table 2, where elasticity is 0.05).
In general, it can be stated that the lower the elasticity, Basically, an increase in competition has the same effect
the higher the mitigating effect on market power attainable on price with respect to an increase in elasticity, which

Table 1
Market performance indices (Cournot model) r1 = r2 = r3 = r4 = r5 = r6 = r7 = 0)
er e0 k* k0 D*MW D0 MW Kk KS(%) DST(106) DSD(106 DSG(106$) KD(%) KG(%) KC(%)
0.05 0.28 51.5 392.73 25955 20872 0.869 14.29 7.122 7.989 11.385 33.61 47.9 25.54
0.1 0.3 50.5 218.83 25290 20499 0.769 13.00 3.45 3.854 5.46 31.18 44.18 27.47
0.15 0.32 49.7 159.96 24695 20195 0.689 11.71 2.227 2.475 3.714 28.92 40.62 29.31
0.2 0.34 48.9 131.1 24172 19887 0.627 10.82 1.634 1.81 3.477 27.17 38.0 28.13
0.3 0.39 47.6 103.18 23283 19274 0.538 9.80 1.070 1.182 2.531 24.79 34.59 24.57
0.4 0.42 46.6 88.78 22558 18787 0.475 8.81 0.793 0.872 1.649 22.83 31.64 23.61
0.5 0.46 45.7 80.9 21955 18287 0.435 8.72 0.643 0.708 1.209 21.74 30.47 19.96
0.6 0.5 45 75.6 21445 17855 0.405 8.69 0.546 0.601 0.992 20.89 29.58 17.45
0.7 0.53 44.3 71.8 21009 17472 0.382 8.74 0.480 0.528 0.851 20.25 28.98 15.4
0.8 0.56 43.8 68.9 20632 17143 0.364 8.75 0.430 0.474 0.756 19.67 28.42 13.96
0.9 0.59 43.3 66.6 20302 16858 0.349 8.73 0.392 0.432 0.685 19.17 27.90 12.92
1.0 0.61 42.9 64.7 20011 16608 0.336 8.7 0.361 0.398 0.628 18.71 27.41 12.14
404 E. Bompard et al. / Electrical Power and Energy Systems 29 (2007) 397–407

Table 2
Market performance indices (r1 = r2 = r3 = r4 = r5 = r6 = r7 = 135)
er e0 k* k0 D* MW D0 MW Kk KS (%) DST(106) DSD(106) DSG (106 $) KD (%) KG (%) KC (%)
0.05 0.05 51.5 85.87 25955 25444 0.4 1.65 0.87 0.88 1.28 3.72 5.37 5.45
0.1 0.09 50.5 80.42 25290 24435 0.37 2.67 0.73 0.74 1.07 6.01 8.68 5.93
0.15 0.13 49.7 76.58 24695 23598 0.35 3.41 0.63 0.65 0.94 7.59 11 5.79
0.2 0.17 48.9 73.42 24172 22894 0.33 3.93 0.56 0.58 0.84 8.65 12.6 5.74
0.3 0.23 47.6 68.87 23283 21750 0.31 4.7 0.46 0.48 0.7 10 14.7 5.28
0.4 0.28 46.6 65.54 22558 20865 0.29 5.19 0.395 0.41 0.61 10.76 15.95 4.95
0.5 0.33 45.7 62.96 21955 20157 0.27 5.5 0.35 0.36 0.54 11.1 16.65 4.74
0.6 0.36 45 60.9 21445 19578 0.26 5.71 0.31 0.33 0.49 11.3 17.05 4.59
0.7 0.4 44.3 59.21 21009 19094 0.25 5.85 0.28 0.3 0.45 11.4 17.27 4.49
0.8 0.43 43.8 57.87 20632 18677 0.24 5.98 0.26 0.28 0.42 11.5 17.45 4.33
0.9 0.46 43.3 56.73 20302 18315 0.24 6.09 0.245 0.26 0.4 11.5 17.58 4.18
1.0 0.48 42.9 55.76 20011 18000 0.23 6.18 0.23 0.24 0.37 11.5 17.66 4.05

has been confirmed in [12,32]. However, if a lower price is solution and the largest firms see their share of profits fall
obtained by an increase in competition, consumers need as the elasticity decreases.
not to ‘‘pay’’ this savings with a reduction of their con- With the increasing of the demand price responsiveness,
sumption level. the surplus share of firm 1 and 2 are increased while the
The production inefficiency index generally decreases surplus share of other small and expensive firms are
when elasticity is improved, but this trend is not clear for decreasing, showing that larger percentage of the total sur-
very low elasticity values, both in Tables 1 and 2. This is plus goes to the more efficient firms. Therefore, the
due to the fact that when elasticity is low, the most expen- improvement of demand price responsiveness contributes
sive firms produce up to their maximum capacity, while to a reallocation of total producer surplus, providing the
dominant firms with lower cost exert market power by proper incentives to efficiency. Similar trend but with mild
withholding capacity. As elasticity slightly improves (up effect can be found under the second case with higher con-
to 0.10, 0.15), the most expensive firms still produce jecture parameters.
their maximum quantity, because dominant firms still find Fig. 6 shows the surplus comparison index K Cf for an
it convenient to withhold capacity. Only when elasticity increase of er up to 0.15. When the elasticity is low, com-
further increases, dominants firms change their strategic pared with other firms, the comparison indices for firm 1
behavior and most expensive firms are dispatched to a and firm 2 are low indicating that they do not have a signif-
lower extent. icant improvement of their surplus with respect to perfect
Fig. 5 shows the variation of the surplus share distribu- competition. This is due to the fact that in order to make
tion among players under Cournot model. The surplus of the market clearing price high enough (392.73 $/MW,
firm 1 and 2 are relatively small when there is low demand when the elasticity is 0.05) to earn higher surplus thanks
elasticity considering their relative high capacity shares to their large hydropower capacity, firm1 and firm2 inten-
(27.31%, 27.1% respectively) and cheap operation costs tionally withhold their output in the spot bidding market
since they have large hydropower plants share (34.62% (only 902.02 MW and 1769.9 MW respectively when the
for each). Smaller firms benefit disproportionably from elasticity is 0.05). On the other hand, under perfect com-
the exercise of market power relative to the competitive petition level, although the market price is low (51.505 $/

30
22
K3C K4C
25 K7S 20

20 K2S K5C
16

K1S
% 15 12
K3S K7C
K4 S %
10 8 K6C
K6S
K2C
5 4
K5S K1C
0 0
0.05 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.15
r
|e | |e r |
Fig. 5. Producer surplus share index under Cournot. Fig. 6. Producer surplus comparison index under Cournot model.
E. Bompard et al. / Electrical Power and Energy Systems 29 (2007) 397–407 405

MW when er is 0.05), their dispatched outputs in the spot operating efficiency and the share of social surplus of which
market are large (6177.4 MW and 5989.3 MW respec- the demand side can benefit. When the competition level is
tively), which also leads to large surpluses. Firm 3, 4, 5, 6 high, e.g., competition model with a high value of rf, elas-
and 7, when elasticity is low, with respect to perfect compe- ticity improvement also provides some positive effects such
tition, can earn large surplus because of the high market as decreasing the market clearing price and transfer the
clearing price and for their dispatched output that does part of the produce surplus grasped through suppliers’ stra-
not change too much (4500 MW, 3300 MW, 2000 MW, tegic behaviour back to the consumer side.
2600 MW, 5800 MW compared with 3286.4 MW, In addition, when elasticity increases, the most efficient
2588.5 MW, 1910.6 MW, 1730 MW, 4272.9 MW under plants earn higher surpluses than their competitors in a
perfect competition, respectively). With other words, we context in which the total producer surplus is decreased
could say that dominant firms 1 and 2 (with higher capacity due to an increase in elasticity. That helps in providing
shares and lower marginal costs) are the ones who drive the incentives towards a rise in efficiency and technological
market outcomes, but for low values of elasticity the other development of power plants.
firms are the ones who benefit more from dominant firms’ The potential benefits that can derive from an improve-
power withholding strategy. Also, similar trend with mild ment in the demand elasticity justify greater attention and
effect can be found under the second case with higher con- efforts by regulators and market designers to enhance cus-
jecture parameters. However, when the elasticity increases, tomers’ price responsiveness. Clearly, a demand side partic-
firm 1 and 2 are able to keep a higher part of their surplus ipation program should be evaluated in a comprehensive
with respect to the other firms and that induces redistribu- cost-benefits analysis, which requires three types of infor-
tion in surplus shares. mation. First, the effect of an increase in elasticity must
be measured, in terms of effects on prices and market
7. Conclusions power, on market efficiency and on welfare. This is the
issue addressed in this paper. The second step would be
In the competitive electricity markets demand side has to consider the effectiveness of a policy aiming at improv-
obtained less attention than supply side and its impacts ing demand elasticity. Since the market designer need to
are less studied. Nevertheless the demand and, particu- choose to which extent it makes sense to favor the imple-
larly, its price responsiveness may play a major role in mentation of time-varying retail prices or interruptible tar-
determining the performances of competitive electricity iffs, it is essential to predict how much these policies can
markets. produce a modification in the load response. As seen in
Due to the specific feature of electricity, the level of Section 2, different authors have focused on the measure-
demand price responsiveness, as measured by its elasticity, ment of price elasticity of different types of consumers,
is intrinsically low in the wholesale market. Some possible and this issue is also in our research agenda. By considering
strategies to increase demand elasticity have been devised together the first and the second point, the expected bene-
and may lead to an increase in the demand elasticity and fits of the proposed demand side policy can be properly
in this respect it is interesting to assess the impacts of the assessed. The last step would be to compare the expected
necessarily small increase of elasticity on the market benefits with the costs of the realization of such a policy,
outcomes. related for example to the installation of real time metering
Basically the distortion in the market outcomes with ref- or to the adoption of automatic energy management
erence to the perfect competition equilibrium is due to the systems.
rise of market power on the supply side that strives for An additional intriguing direction for future studies is
higher price, lower market efficiency and inefficient alloca- related to improving the model to incorporate the effects
tion of surpluses. In this paper we have proposed a model of network constraints, since price elasticity is expected
capable of capturing the demand elasticity under different to play an important role in the transmission congestion
levels of market competition along with a set of proper management. Furthermore, it would be relevant to model
metrics to assess the impact of different values of elasticity. the multiple-period game, to allow the study of more com-
The validity of the analysis made is conditioned by the plex strategic behavior of the producer, and to incorporate
degree of approximation of the model employed to the real explicitly the effect of cross-price elasticities.
market operation. Conclusions have been presented in con-
text on applications to the Italian market and on the Appendix
impact of elasticity that, although derived for a special
market, has a general applicability. For each generation firm, we define a cost function
When the competition level is low, e.g., Cournot model, based on the costs and capacity of the different types of
relatively small changes in elasticity have a great impact on units that are in its generation mix. The aggregate is based
market outcomes especially at the low level of elasticity on computing the marginal cost function by using the OLS
that characterize the electricity market; even small (the fit was always satisfactory with an R2 always greater
increases of elasticity produces remarkable decreases in than 87%) to approximate several types of power plants
the market clearing price and increases both the market within each generation firm: see Tables A.1 and A.2.
406 E. Bompard et al. / Electrical Power and Energy Systems 29 (2007) 397–407

Table A.1
Generation mix of the firms
Generation firms (MW)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Typolgy
Hydropower 4500 4500 400 500 1100 800 2200
Comb. cycle 500 0 0 0 0 900 2800
Oil 3000 3500 900 1100 0 0 300
Oil–gas 1600 1600 2400 1800 1100 1300 2200
Oil–coal 1800 1600 900 300 900 0 0
Oil–coal–gas 800 800 0 0 0 0 0
Diesel–oil 0 0 0 100 0 0 300
Turbo–gas 1100 1200 300 0 0 400 200

Table A.2
Marginal cost coefficients of generation firms
Coefficients Generation firms
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
3 2
c2f (10 ) $/MW 3.15 3.15 5.715 6.64 10.77 10.37 4.29
c1f $/MW 12.61 13.76 13.92 17.11 10.33 15.65 14.86
Capacity limit (MW) P f 8800 8700 4500 3300 2000 2600 5800
Pf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Capacity share in the hourly spot market (%) 24.65 24.37 12.61 9.24 5.6 7.28 16.25
Hydropower (MW) 4500 4500 400 500 100 800 2200
Hydropower share (%) 34.62 34.62 3.08 3.85 0.77 6.15 16.92
Total share (%) 27.31 27.1 10 7.8 4.31 6.98 16.43

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