𝐹_𝑡=(∑_(𝑡=𝑡−

𝑛)^(𝑡−1)▒𝐷_𝑡
)/𝑛
MA(2) MA(3) MA(4)
t DIA PRECIO(t) N 2N 3N 4
MAD 72.87 MAD 80.13 MAD 88.73
PRONOSTICO ERROR PRONOSTICO ERROR PRONOSTICO ERROR
1 1/2/2019 8,607.52
2 1/3/2019 8,601.69
3 1/4/2019 8,773.57 8,604.61 168.97
4 1/5/2019 8,740.59 8,687.63 52.96 8,660.93 79.66
5 1/6/2019 8,595.31 8,757.08 -161.77 8,705.28 -109.97 8,680.84 -85.53
6 1/7/2019 8,776.18 8,667.95 108.23 8,703.16 73.02 8,677.79 98.39
7 1/8/2019 8,784.89 8,685.74 99.15 8,704.03 80.86 8,721.41 63.48
8 1/9/2019 8,785.98 8,780.54 5.44 8,718.79 67.19 8,724.24 61.74
9 1/10/2019 8,842.62 8,785.44 57.19 8,782.35 60.27 8,735.59 107.03
10 1/11/2019 8,723.18 8,814.30 -91.12 8,804.50 -81.32 8,797.42 -74.24
11 1/12/2019 8,697.87 8,782.90 -85.03 8,783.93 -86.06 8,784.17 -86.30
12 1/13/2019 8,586.74 8,710.53 -123.79 8,754.56 -167.82 8,762.41 -175.67
13 1/14/2019 8,442.90 8,642.31 -199.41 8,669.26 -226.36 8,712.60 -269.70
14 1/15/2019 8,318.73 8,514.82 -196.09 8,575.84 -257.11 8,612.67 -293.94
15 1/16/2019 8,369.47 8,380.81 -11.34 8,449.46 -79.99 8,511.56 -142.09
16 1/17/2019 8,131.01 8,344.10 -213.09 8,377.03 -246.02 8,429.46 -298.45
17 1/18/2019 7,989.56 8,250.24 -260.68 8,273.07 -283.51 8,315.53 -325.97
18 1/19/2019 8,088.84 8,060.29 28.56 8,163.35 -74.51 8,202.19 -113.35
19 1/20/2019 8,110.71 8,039.20 71.51 8,069.80 40.91 8,144.72 -34.01
20 1/21/2019 7,945.13 8,099.78 -154.64 8,063.04 -117.91 8,080.03 -134.90
21 1/22/2019 8,053.81 8,027.92 25.89 8,048.23 5.58 8,033.56 20.25
22 1/23/2019 8,109.82 7,999.47 110.35 8,036.55 73.27 8,049.62 60.20
23 1/24/2019 8,013.29 8,081.82 -68.53 8,036.25 -22.96 8,054.87 -41.58
24 1/25/2019 7,985.18 8,061.56 -76.38 8,058.97 -73.79 8,030.51 -45.33
25 1/26/2019 7,929.30 7,999.24 -69.94 8,036.10 -106.80 8,040.53 -111.22
26 1/27/2019 7,864.23 7,957.24 -93.01 7,975.92 -111.69 8,009.40 -145.17
27 1/28/2019 7,920.11 7,896.76 23.35 7,926.24 -6.13 7,948.00 -27.89
28 1/29/2019 7,843.11 7,892.17 -49.06 7,904.55 -61.44 7,924.71 -81.60
29 1/30/2019 7,758.17 7,881.61 -123.44 7,875.82 -117.65 7,889.19 -131.02
30 1/31/2019 7,749.87 7,800.64 -50.77 7,840.46 -90.59 7,846.41 -96.53
31 2/1/2019 7,908.80 7,754.02 154.78 7,783.72 125.08 7,817.82 90.99
32 2/2/2019 8,041.15 7,829.34 211.81 7,805.61 235.54 7,814.99 226.16
33 2/3/2019 8,000.60 7,974.98 25.63 7,899.94 100.66 7,864.50 136.10
34 2/4/2019 7,914.96 8,020.88 -105.91 7,983.52 -68.56 7,925.11 -10.14
35 2/5/2019 8,018.11 7,957.78 60.33 7,985.57 32.54 7,966.38 51.73
36 2/6/2019 7,858.24 7,966.54 -108.30 7,977.89 -119.65 7,993.71 -135.47
37 2/7/2019 7,909.50 7,938.17 -28.67 7,930.44 -20.94 7,947.98 -38.48
38 2/8/2019 7,806.98 7,883.87 -76.89 7,928.62 -121.64 7,925.20 -118.22
39 2/9/2019 7,884.99 7,858.24 26.75 7,858.24 26.75 7,898.21 -13.22
40 2/10/2019 7,891.08 7,845.99 45.10 7,867.16 23.92 7,864.93 26.15
41 2/11/2019 7,837.86 7,888.04 -50.18 7,861.02 -23.16 7,873.14 -35.28
42 2/12/2019 7,704.87 7,864.47 -159.60 7,871.31 -166.44 7,855.23 -150.36
43 2/13/2019 7,775.60 7,771.37 4.24 7,811.27 -35.67 7,829.70 -54.10
44 2/14/2019 7,673.99 7,740.24 -66.25 7,772.78 -98.79 7,802.35 -128.36
45 2/15/2019 7,740.03 7,724.80 15.23 7,718.15 21.88 7,748.08 -8.05
46 2/16/2019 7,568.18 7,707.01 -138.83 7,729.87 -161.69 7,723.62 -155.44
47 2/17/2019 7,524.06 7,654.11 -130.04 7,660.73 -136.67 7,689.45 -165.39
 48 2/18/2019 7,552.07 7,546.12 5.95 7,610.76 -58.69 7,626.57 -74.50
49 2/19/2019 7,821.75 7,538.07 283.68 7,548.10 273.65 7,596.09 225.66
50 2/20/2019 7,859.71 7,686.91 172.80 7,632.63 227.08 7,616.52 243.19
51 2/21/2019 8,141.92 7,840.73 301.19 7,744.51 397.41 7,689.40 452.52
52 2/22/2019 8,194.23 8,000.82 193.41 7,941.13 253.10 7,843.86 350.37
53 2/23/2019 8,265.45 8,168.08 97.38 8,065.29 200.16 8,004.40 261.05
54 2/24/2019 8,286.60 8,229.84 56.76 8,200.53 86.07 8,115.33 171.27
55 2/25/2019 8,521.97 8,276.03 245.94 8,248.76 273.21 8,222.05 299.92
56 2/26/2019 8,214.68 8,404.29 -189.60 8,358.01 -143.33 8,317.06 -102.38
57 2/27/2019 8,280.23 8,368.33 -88.10 8,341.08 -60.85 8,322.18 -41.94
58 2/28/2019 8,229.88 8,247.46 -17.58 8,338.96 -109.08 8,325.87 -95.99
59 3/1/2019 8,201.45 8,255.06 -53.60 8,241.60 -40.15 8,311.69 -110.24
60 3/2/2019 8,145.77 8,215.67 -69.90 8,237.19 -91.42 8,231.56 -85.79
61 3/3/2019 7,992.13 8,173.61 -181.48 8,192.37 -200.24 8,214.33 -222.20
62 3/4/2019 8,069.86 8,068.95 0.91 8,113.12 -43.26 8,142.31 -72.45
63 3/5/2019 8,285.06 8,031.00 254.06 8,069.25 215.81 8,102.30 182.76
64 3/6/2019 8,240.38 8,177.46 62.92 8,115.68 124.70 8,123.21 117.17
65 3/7/2019 8,277.15 8,262.72 14.43 8,198.43 78.72 8,146.86 130.29
66 3/8/2019 8,300.41 8,258.77 41.65 8,267.53 32.88 8,218.11 82.30
67 3/9/2019 8,298.92 8,288.78 10.14 8,272.65 26.27 8,275.75 23.17
68 3/10/2019 8,197.94 8,299.67 -101.73 8,292.16 -94.22 8,279.22 -81.27
69 3/11/2019 8,221.33 8,248.43 -27.10 8,265.76 -44.43 8,268.61 -47.27
70 3/12/2019 8,203.41 8,209.64 -6.23 8,239.40 -35.99 8,254.65 -51.24
71 3/13/2019 8,351.10 8,212.37 138.73 8,207.56 143.54 8,230.40 120.70
72 3/14/2019 8,402.36 8,277.26 125.10 8,258.61 143.75 8,243.45 158.92
73 3/15/2019 8,257.61 8,376.73 -119.12 8,318.96 -61.35 8,294.55 -36.94
74 3/16/2019 8,337.65 8,329.99 7.66 8,337.02 0.63 8,303.62 34.03
75 3/17/2019 8,328.90 8,297.63 31.27 8,332.54 -3.64 8,337.18 -8.28
76 3/18/2019 8,484.99 8,333.28 151.72 8,308.05 176.94 8,331.63 153.36
77 3/19/2019 8,515.66 8,406.95 108.72 8,383.85 131.81 8,352.29 163.37
78 3/20/2019 8,440.04 8,500.33 -60.28 8,443.18 -3.14 8,416.80 23.24
79 3/21/2019 8,306.35 8,477.85 -171.50 8,480.23 -173.88 8,442.40 -136.05
80 3/22/2019 8,471.61 8,373.20 98.42 8,420.68 50.93 8,436.76 34.85
81 3/23/2019 8,502.99 8,388.98 114.01 8,406.00 96.99 8,433.42 69.57
82 3/24/2019 8,480.09 8,487.30 -7.21 8,426.98 53.11 8,430.25 49.84
83 3/25/2019 8,454.25 8,491.54 -37.29 8,484.90 -30.65 8,440.26 13.99
84 3/26/2019 8,582.68 8,467.17 115.51 8,479.11 103.57 8,477.24 105.44
85 3/27/2019 8,531.57 8,518.47 13.10 8,505.67 25.90 8,505.00 26.57
86 3/28/2019 8,588.36 8,557.13 31.24 8,522.83 65.53 8,512.15 76.21
87 3/29/2019 8,560.63 8,559.97 0.66 8,567.54 -6.91 8,539.22 21.41
88 3/30/2019 8,491.22 8,574.49 -83.27 8,560.19 -68.97 8,565.81 -74.59
89 3/31/2019 8,604.60 8,525.93 78.68 8,546.74 57.86 8,542.95 61.66
90 4/1/2019 8,726.73 8,547.91 178.82 8,552.15 174.58 8,561.20 165.53
91 4/2/2019 8,679.25 8,665.67 13.58 8,607.52 71.73 8,595.80 83.45
92 4/3/2019 8,647.82 8,702.99 -55.17 8,670.19 -22.37 8,625.45 22.37
93 4/4/2019 8,713.14 8,663.54 49.60 8,684.60 28.54 8,664.60 48.54
94 4/5/2019 8,678.97 8,680.48 -1.51 8,680.07 -1.10 8,691.74 -12.77
95 4/6/2019 8,493.39 8,696.06 -202.67 8,679.98 -186.59 8,679.80 -186.41
96 4/7/2019 8,491.36 8,586.18 -94.82 8,628.50 -137.14 8,633.33 -141.97
97 4/8/2019 8,516.43 8,492.38 24.06 8,554.57 -38.14 8,594.22 -77.78
98 4/9/2019 8,594.02 8,503.90 90.13 8,500.39 93.63 8,545.04 48.98
99 4/10/2019 8,601.38 8,555.23 46.15 8,533.94 67.44 8,523.80 77.58
100 4/11/2019 8,781.35 8,597.70 183.65 8,570.61 210.74 8,550.80 230.55
101 4/12/2019 8,793.12 8,691.37 101.76 8,658.92 134.20 8,623.30 169.83
102 4/13/2019 8,711.18 8,787.24 -76.06 8,725.28 -14.10 8,692.47 18.71
103 4/14/2019 8,850.26 8,752.15 98.11 8,761.88 88.38 8,721.76 128.50
104 4/15/2019 8,897.81 8,780.72 117.09 8,784.85 112.96 8,783.98 113.83
105 4/16/2019 8,922.95 8,874.04 48.92 8,819.75 103.20 8,813.09 109.86
106 4/17/2019 9,038.98 8,910.38 128.60 8,890.34 148.64 8,845.55 193.43
107 4/18/2019 9,041.30 8,980.97 60.33 8,953.25 88.05 8,927.50 113.80
108 4/19/2019 9,062.79 9,040.14 22.65 9,001.08 61.71 8,975.26 87.53
109 4/20/2019 8,980.00 9,052.05 -72.05 9,047.69 -67.69 9,016.51 -36.51
110 4/21/2019 9,054.89 9,021.40 33.49 9,028.03 26.86 9,030.77 24.12
111 4/22/2019 9,183.22 9,017.45 165.77 9,032.56 150.66 9,034.74 148.48
112 4/23/2019 9,196.55 9,119.06 77.49 9,072.70 123.85 9,070.23 126.32
113 4/24/2019 9,117.12 9,189.88 -72.76 9,144.89 -27.77 9,103.66 13.46
114 4/25/2019 9,318.96 9,156.84 162.13 9,165.63 153.33 9,137.95 181.01
115 4/26/2019 9,323.02 9,218.04 104.98 9,210.88 112.14 9,203.96 119.06
116 4/27/2019 9,293.80 9,320.99 -27.19 9,253.03 40.77 9,238.91 54.89
117 4/28/2019 9,179.53 9,308.41 -128.88 9,311.93 -132.40 9,263.23 -83.69
118 4/29/2019 9,200.75 9,236.67 -35.92 9,265.45 -64.70 9,278.83 -78.08
119 4/30/2019 9,072.95 9,190.14 -117.19 9,224.69 -151.74 9,249.28 -176.32
120 5/1/2019 9,109.85 9,136.85 -27.00 9,151.08 -41.23 9,186.76 -76.91
121 5/2/2019 9,011.53 9,091.40 -79.87 9,127.85 -116.32 9,140.77 -129.24
122 5/3/2019 9,079.04 9,060.69 18.35 9,064.78 14.26 9,098.77 -19.73
123 5/4/2019 8,989.05 9,045.29 -56.24 9,066.81 -77.76 9,068.34 -79.29
124 5/5/2019 8,985.44 9,034.05 -48.60 9,026.54 -41.10 9,047.37 -61.93
125 5/6/2019 9,040.95 8,987.24 53.71 9,017.84 23.11 9,016.27 24.69
126 5/7/2019 9,142.84 9,013.20 129.65 9,005.15 137.69 9,023.62 119.22
127 5/8/2019 9,070.21 9,091.90 -21.69 9,056.41 13.80 9,039.57 30.64
128 5/9/2019 9,216.79 9,106.53 110.27 9,084.67 132.12 9,059.86 156.93
129 5/10/2019 9,223.09 9,143.50 79.59 9,143.28 79.81 9,117.70 105.39
130 5/11/2019 9,156.21 9,219.94 -63.73 9,170.03 -13.82 9,163.23 -7.02
131 5/12/2019 9,036.04 9,189.65 -153.61 9,198.70 -162.66 9,166.58 -130.53
132 5/13/2019 9,119.59 9,096.13 23.47 9,138.45 -18.86 9,158.03 -38.44
133 5/14/2019 9,177.15 9,077.82 99.33 9,103.95 73.20 9,133.73 43.42
134 5/15/2019 9,128.97 9,148.37 -19.40 9,110.93 18.04 9,122.25 6.72
135 5/16/2019 9,094.59 9,153.06 -58.47 9,141.90 -47.31 9,115.44 -20.85
136 5/17/2019 9,050.82 9,111.78 -60.96 9,133.57 -82.75 9,130.08 -79.26
137 5/18/2019 9,188.15 9,072.71 115.44 9,091.46 96.69 9,112.88 75.27
138 5/19/2019 9,096.69 9,119.49 -22.80 9,111.19 -14.50 9,115.63 -18.94
139 5/20/2019 9,158.45 9,142.42 16.03 9,111.89 46.56 9,107.56 50.89
140 5/21/2019 9,194.24 9,127.57 66.67 9,147.76 46.48 9,123.53 70.71
141 5/22/2019 9,112.51 9,176.35 -63.84 9,149.79 -37.28 9,159.38 -46.87
142 5/23/2019 9,284.57 9,153.38 131.19 9,155.07 129.50 9,140.47 144.10
143 5/24/2019 9,266.51 9,198.54 67.97 9,197.11 69.40 9,187.44 79.07
144 5/25/2019 9,204.46 9,275.54 -71.08 9,221.20 -16.74 9,214.46 -10.00
145 5/26/2019 9,200.05 9,235.49 -35.44 9,251.85 -51.80 9,217.01 -16.96
146 5/27/2019 9,233.80 9,202.26 31.55 9,223.67 10.13 9,238.90 -5.10
147 5/28/2019 9,153.97 9,216.93 -62.95 9,212.77 -58.80 9,226.21 -72.24
148 5/29/2019 9,186.04 9,193.88 -7.84 9,195.94 -9.90 9,198.07 -12.03
149 5/30/2019 9,036.32 9,170.01 -133.69 9,191.27 -154.95 9,193.47 -157.15
150 5/31/2019 9,061.74 9,111.18 -49.44 9,125.44 -63.70 9,152.53 -90.79
151 6/1/2019 9,126.45 9,049.03 77.42 9,094.70 31.75 9,109.52 16.93
152 6/2/2019 9,191.09 9,094.10 96.99 9,074.84 116.25 9,102.64 88.45
153 6/3/2019 9,217.35 9,158.77 58.58 9,126.43 90.92 9,103.90 113.45
154 6/4/2019 9,310.06 9,204.22 105.84 9,178.30 131.76 9,149.16 160.90
155 6/5/2019 9,271.76 9,263.71 8.06 9,239.50 32.26 9,211.24 60.52
156 6/6/2019 9,310.56 9,290.91 19.65 9,266.39 44.17 9,247.57 62.99
157 6/7/2019 9,321.69 9,291.16 30.53 9,297.46 24.23 9,277.43 44.26
158 6/8/2019 9,412.45 9,316.13 96.33 9,301.34 111.11 9,303.52 108.93
159 6/9/2019 9,428.90 9,367.07 61.83 9,348.23 80.67 9,329.12 99.78
160 6/10/2019 9,397.51 9,420.68 -23.16 9,387.68 9.83 9,368.40 29.11
161 6/11/2019 9,423.68 9,413.21 10.48 9,412.95 10.73 9,390.14 33.54
162 6/12/2019 9,348.87 9,410.60 -61.73 9,416.70 -67.83 9,415.64 -66.76
163 6/13/2019 9,317.64 9,386.28 -68.64 9,390.02 -72.38 9,399.74 -82.10
164 6/14/2019 9,340.45 9,333.26 7.19 9,363.40 -22.95 9,371.93 -31.47
165 6/15/2019 9,333.79 9,329.05 4.75 9,335.65 -1.86 9,357.66 -23.87
166 6/16/2019 9,374.21 9,337.12 37.09 9,330.63 43.58 9,335.19 39.02
167 6/17/2019 9,415.82 9,354.00 61.82 9,349.48 66.34 9,341.52 74.30
168 6/18/2019 9,523.27 9,395.02 128.26 9,374.61 148.66 9,366.07 157.20
169 6/19/2019 9,568.46 9,469.55 98.91 9,437.77 130.69 9,411.77 156.69
170 6/20/2019 9,587.90 9,545.87 42.03 9,502.52 85.38 9,470.44 117.46
171 6/21/2019 9,503.34 9,578.18 -74.84 9,559.88 -56.54 9,523.86 -20.52
172 6/22/2019 9,586.29 9,545.62 40.67 9,553.23 33.06 9,545.74 40.55
173 6/23/2019 9,507.20 9,544.82 -37.61 9,559.18 -51.98 9,561.50 -54.30
174 6/24/2019 9,420.46 9,546.75 -126.29 9,532.28 -111.82 9,546.18 -125.72
175 6/25/2019 9,459.76 9,463.83 -4.07 9,504.65 -44.89 9,504.32 -44.56
176 6/26/2019 9,471.55 9,440.11 31.44 9,462.47 9.08 9,493.43 -21.88
177 6/27/2019 9,448.81 9,465.65 -16.84 9,450.59 -1.78 9,464.74 -15.93
178 6/28/2019 9,567.34 9,460.18 107.16 9,460.04 107.30 9,450.15 117.19
179 6/29/2019 9,545.65 9,508.08 37.57 9,495.90 49.75 9,486.87 58.78
180 6/30/2019 9,659.13 9,556.49 102.64 9,520.60 138.53 9,508.34 150.79
181 7/1/2019 9,644.82 9,602.39 42.43 9,590.71 54.11 9,555.23 89.59
182 7/2/2019 9,535.41 9,651.97 -116.56 9,616.53 -81.12 9,604.24 -68.83
183 7/3/2019 9,576.04 9,590.12 -14.07 9,613.12 -37.08 9,596.25 -20.21
184 7/4/2019 9,425.51 9,555.73 -130.22 9,585.42 -159.91 9,603.85 -178.34
185 7/5/2019 9,343.96 9,500.78 -156.82 9,512.32 -168.36 9,545.45 -201.49
186 7/6/2019 9,313.08 9,384.74 -71.66 9,448.50 -135.42 9,470.23 -157.15
187 7/7/2019 9,380.24 9,328.52 51.72 9,360.85 19.39 9,414.65 -34.41
188 7/8/2019 9,275.06 9,346.66 -71.60 9,345.76 -70.70 9,365.70 -90.64
189 7/9/2019 9,469.20 9,327.65 141.55 9,322.79 146.41 9,328.09 141.12
190 7/10/2019 9,487.80 9,372.13 115.67 9,374.83 112.97 9,359.40 128.40
191 7/11/2019 9,572.31 9,478.50 93.81 9,410.69 161.62 9,403.08 169.23
192 7/12/2019 9,594.98 9,530.06 64.92 9,509.77 85.21 9,451.09 143.89
193 7/13/2019 9,654.61 9,583.65 70.97 9,551.70 102.91 9,531.07 123.54
194 7/14/2019 9,630.90 9,624.80 6.10 9,607.30 23.60 9,577.43 53.48
195 7/15/2019 9,680.01 9,642.76 37.25 9,626.83 53.18 9,613.20 66.81
196 7/16/2019 9,674.68 9,655.46 19.23 9,655.17 19.51 9,640.13 34.56
197 7/17/2019 9,764.38 9,677.35 87.03 9,661.86 102.52 9,660.05 104.33
198 7/18/2019 9,812.98 9,719.53 93.45 9,706.36 106.62 9,687.49 125.49
199 7/19/2019 9,803.05 9,788.68 14.37 9,750.68 52.37 9,733.01 70.04
200 7/20/2019 9,791.72 9,808.02 -16.30 9,793.47 -1.75 9,763.77 27.95
201 7/21/2019 9,721.79 9,797.38 -75.59 9,802.58 -80.79 9,793.03 -71.24
202 7/22/2019 9,777.94 9,756.76 21.18 9,772.19 5.75 9,782.39 -4.44
203 7/23/2019 9,747.64 9,749.87 -2.23 9,763.82 -16.18 9,773.63 -25.99
204 7/24/2019 9,598.24 9,762.79 -164.55 9,749.12 -150.88 9,759.77 -161.53
205 7/25/2019 9,613.13 9,672.94 -59.81 9,707.94 -94.81 9,711.40 -98.27
206 7/26/2019 9,582.46 9,605.69 -23.23 9,653.00 -70.54 9,684.24 -101.78
207 7/27/2019 9,608.16 9,597.79 10.37 9,597.94 10.22 9,635.37 -27.21
208 7/28/2019 9,748.31 9,595.31 153.00 9,601.25 147.06 9,600.50 147.81
209 7/29/2019 9,774.53 9,678.24 96.30 9,646.31 128.22 9,638.02 136.52
210 7/30/2019 9,786.61 9,761.42 25.19 9,710.33 76.28 9,678.37 108.25
211 7/31/2019 9,801.12 9,780.57 20.55 9,769.82 31.30 9,729.40 71.72
212 8/1/2019 9,858.46 9,793.87 64.59 9,787.42 71.04 9,777.64 80.82
213 8/2/2019 9,838.83 9,829.79 9.04 9,815.40 23.43 9,805.18 33.65
214 8/3/2019 9,820.83 9,848.65 -27.82 9,832.80 -11.97 9,821.26 -0.43
215 8/4/2019 9,856.97 9,829.83 27.14 9,839.37 17.60 9,829.81 27.16
216 8/5/2019 9,809.79 9,838.90 -29.11 9,838.88 -29.09 9,843.77 -33.98
217 8/6/2019 9,756.53 9,833.38 -76.85 9,829.20 -72.67 9,831.61 -75.07
218 8/7/2019 9,737.79 9,783.16 -45.37 9,807.76 -69.97 9,811.03 -73.24
219 8/8/2019 9,848.83 9,747.16 101.67 9,768.04 80.79 9,790.27 58.56
220 8/9/2019 9,837.94 9,793.31 44.63 9,781.05 56.89 9,788.24 49.70
221 8/10/2019 9,768.68 9,843.39 -74.70 9,808.19 -39.51 9,795.27 -26.59
222 8/11/2019 9,710.83 9,803.31 -92.48 9,818.48 -107.65 9,798.31 -87.48
223 8/12/2019 9,624.16 9,739.76 -115.60 9,772.48 -148.32 9,791.57 -167.41
224 8/13/2019 9,690.46 9,667.49 22.97 9,701.22 -10.76 9,735.40 -44.94
225 8/14/2019 9,619.42 9,657.31 -37.89 9,675.15 -55.73 9,698.53 -79.11
226 8/15/2019 9,628.53 9,654.94 -26.41 9,644.68 -16.15 9,661.22 -32.69
227 8/16/2019 9,747.79 9,623.98 123.82 9,646.14 101.65 9,640.64 107.15
228 8/17/2019 9,763.94 9,688.16 75.78 9,665.25 98.69 9,671.55 92.39
229 8/18/2019 9,779.57 9,755.87 23.70 9,713.42 66.15 9,689.92 89.65
230 8/19/2019 9,782.46 9,771.76 10.70 9,763.77 18.69 9,729.96 52.50
231 8/20/2019 9,899.05 9,781.02 118.03 9,775.32 123.73 9,768.44 130.61
232 8/21/2019 9,853.64 9,840.76 12.89 9,820.36 33.28 9,806.26 47.39
233 8/22/2019 9,873.42 9,876.35 -2.92 9,845.05 28.37 9,828.68 44.74
234 8/23/2019 9,930.82 9,863.53 67.29 9,875.37 55.45 9,852.14 78.68
235 8/24/2019 9,862.68 9,902.12 -39.44 9,885.96 -23.28 9,889.23 -26.55
236 8/25/2019 9,965.27 9,896.75 68.52 9,888.97 76.30 9,880.14 85.13
237 8/26/2019 9,923.42 9,913.98 9.44 9,919.59 3.83 9,908.05 15.37
238 8/27/2019 9,921.86 9,944.35 -22.49 9,917.12 4.74 9,920.55 1.31
239 8/28/2019 10,008.20 9,922.64 85.56 9,936.85 71.35 9,918.31 89.89
240 8/29/2019 10,042.20 9,965.03 77.17 9,951.16 91.04 9,954.69 87.51
241 8/30/2019 10,022.80 10,025.20 -2.40 9,990.75 32.05 9,973.92 48.88
242 8/31/2019 10,129.60 10,032.50 97.10 10,024.40 105.20 9,998.77 130.84
243 9/1/2019 10,145.30 10,076.20 69.10 10,064.87 80.43 10,050.70 94.60
244 9/2/2019 10,248.10 10,137.45 110.65 10,099.23 148.87 10,084.98 163.13
245 9/3/2019 10,278.20 10,196.70 81.50 10,174.33 103.87 10,136.45 141.75
246 9/4/2019 10,338.00 10,263.15 74.85 10,223.87 114.13 10,200.30 137.70
247 9/5/2019 10,341.30 10,308.10 33.20 10,288.10 53.20 10,252.40 88.90
248 9/6/2019 10,305.20 10,339.65 -34.45 10,319.17 -13.97 10,301.40 3.80
249 9/7/2019 10,324.70 10,323.25 1.45 10,328.17 -3.47 10,315.68 9.03
250 9/8/2019 10,450.00 10,314.95 135.05 10,323.73 126.27 10,327.30 122.70
251 9/9/2019 10,425.00 10,387.35 37.65 10,359.97 65.03 10,355.30 69.70
252 9/10/2019 10,453.90 10,437.50 16.40 10,399.90 54.00 10,376.23 77.67
253 9/11/2019 10,409.90 10,439.45 -29.55 10,442.97 -33.07 10,413.40 -3.50
254 9/12/2019 10,544.10 10,431.90 112.20 10,429.60 114.50 10,434.70 109.40
255 9/13/2019 10,538.70 10,477.00 61.70 10,469.30 69.40 10,458.23 80.48
256 9/14/2019 10,529.00 10,541.40 -12.40 10,497.57 31.43 10,486.65 42.35
257 9/15/2019 10,592.40 10,533.85 58.55 10,537.27 55.13 10,505.43 86.98
258 9/16/2019 10,458.90 10,560.70 -101.80 10,553.37 -94.47 10,551.05 -92.15
259 9/17/2019 10,485.20 10,525.65 -40.45 10,526.77 -41.57 10,529.75 -44.55
260 9/18/2019 10,427.20 10,472.05 -44.85 10,512.17 -84.97 10,516.38 -89.17
261 9/19/2019 10,538.40 10,456.20 82.20 10,457.10 81.30 10,490.93 47.48
262 9/20/2019 10,553.90 10,482.80 71.10 10,483.60 70.30 10,477.43 76.48
263 9/21/2019 10,600.50 10,546.15 54.35 10,506.50 94.00 10,501.18 99.33
264 9/22/2019 10,528.70 10,577.20 -48.50 10,564.27 -35.57 10,530.00 -1.30
265 9/23/2019 10,623.60 10,564.60 59.00 10,561.03 62.57 10,555.38 68.23
266 9/24/2019 10,623.20 10,576.15 47.05 10,584.27 38.93 10,576.68 46.53
267 9/25/2019 10,568.30 10,623.40 -55.10 10,591.83 -23.53 10,594.00 -25.70
268 9/26/2019 10,702.50 10,595.75 106.75 10,605.03 97.47 10,585.95 116.55
269 9/27/2019 10,609.90 10,635.40 -25.50 10,631.33 -21.43 10,629.40 -19.50
270 9/28/2019 10,468.40 10,656.20 -187.80 10,626.90 -158.50 10,625.98 -157.58
271 9/29/2019 10,510.30 10,539.15 -28.85 10,593.60 -83.30 10,587.28 -76.98
272 9/30/2019 10,488.10 10,489.35 -1.25 10,529.53 -41.43 10,572.78 -84.67
273 10/1/2019 10,499.20 10,499.20 0.00 10,488.93 10.27 10,519.18 -19.97
274 10/2/2019 10,505.20 10,493.65 11.55 10,499.20 6.00 10,491.50 13.70
275 10/3/2019 10,470.70 10,502.20 -31.50 10,497.50 -26.80 10,500.70 -30.00
276 10/4/2019 10,495.60 10,487.95 7.65 10,491.70 3.90 10,490.80 4.80
277 10/5/2019 10,593.00 10,483.15 109.85 10,490.50 102.50 10,492.68 100.32
278 10/6/2019 10,579.00 10,544.30 34.70 10,519.77 59.23 10,516.13 62.88
279 10/7/2019 10,613.90 10,586.00 27.90 10,555.87 58.03 10,534.58 79.32
280 10/8/2019 10,737.70 10,596.45 141.25 10,595.30 142.40 10,570.38 167.33
281 10/9/2019 10,694.10 10,675.80 18.30 10,643.53 50.57 10,630.90 63.20
282 10/10/2019 10,627.90 10,715.90 -88.00 10,681.90 -54.00 10,656.18 -28.27
283 10/11/2019 10,627.90 10,661.00 -33.10 10,686.57 -58.67 10,668.40 -40.50
 MA(2)
12,000.00

10,000.00

8,000.00

6,000.00

4,000.00

2,000.00

0.00
12/16/2018 2/4/2019 3/26/2019 5/15/2019 7/4/2019 8/23/2019 10/12/2019 12/1/2019

REAL MA(2)
 MA(2)
12,000.00

10,000.00

8,000.00

6,000.00

4,000.00

2,000.00

0.00
12/16/2018 2/4/2019 3/26/2019 5/15/2019 7/4/2019 8/23/2019 10/12/2019 12/1/2019

REAL MA(3)
 MA(2)
12,000.00

10,000.00

8,000.00

6,000.00

4,000.00

2,000.00

0.00
12/16/2018 2/4/2019 3/26/2019 5/15/2019 7/4/2019 8/23/2019 10/12/2019 12/1/2019

REAL MA(4)
𝐹_𝑡=(∑_(𝑗=𝑡−𝑛)
^(𝑡−1)▒ 〖𝑤 _𝑗
𝐷_𝑗 1.00 1.00

〗 )/(∑_(𝑗=𝑡−𝑛) WMA(2) WMA(3)

^(𝑡−1)▒𝑤_𝑗 ) N 2N 3
W1 0.20 W1 0.30
t DIA PRECIO(t) W2 0.80 W2 0.50
W3 0.20

MAD 67.74 MAD 84.32

PRONOSTICO ERROR PRONOSTICO ERROR
1 1/2/2019 8,607.52
2 1/3/2019 8,601.69
3 1/4/2019 8,773.57 8,602.86 170.71
4 1/5/2019 8,740.59 8,739.19 1.40 8,637.82 102.77
5 1/6/2019 8,595.31 8,747.19 -151.88 8,715.41 -120.10
6 1/7/2019 8,776.18 8,624.37 151.81 8,721.43 54.75
7 1/8/2019 8,784.89 8,740.01 44.88 8,675.07 109.82
8 1/9/2019 8,785.98 8,783.15 2.83 8,723.66 62.32
9 1/10/2019 8,842.62 8,785.76 56.86 8,782.49 60.13
10 1/11/2019 8,723.18 8,831.29 -108.11 8,796.98 -73.80
11 1/12/2019 8,697.87 8,747.07 -49.20 8,801.74 -103.87
12 1/13/2019 8,586.74 8,702.93 -116.19 8,753.95 -167.21
13 1/14/2019 8,442.90 8,608.97 -166.07 8,683.24 -240.34
14 1/15/2019 8,318.73 8,471.67 -152.94 8,591.31 -272.58
15 1/16/2019 8,369.47 8,343.56 25.91 8,461.22 -91.75
16 1/17/2019 8,131.01 8,359.32 -228.31 8,366.13 -235.12
17 1/18/2019 7,989.56 8,178.70 -189.14 8,306.56 -317.00
18 1/19/2019 8,088.84 8,017.85 70.99 8,174.26 -85.42
19 1/20/2019 8,110.71 8,068.98 41.73 8,051.85 58.86
20 1/21/2019 7,945.13 8,106.34 -161.21 8,063.43 -118.30
21 1/22/2019 8,053.81 7,978.25 75.56 8,071.03 -17.22
22 1/23/2019 8,109.82 8,032.07 77.75 8,016.54 93.28
23 1/24/2019 8,013.29 8,098.62 -85.33 8,032.41 -19.12
24 1/25/2019 7,985.18 8,032.60 -47.42 8,073.71 -88.53
25 1/26/2019 7,929.30 7,990.80 -61.50 8,036.63 -107.33
26 1/27/2019 7,864.23 7,940.48 -76.25 7,982.44 -118.21
27 1/28/2019 7,920.11 7,877.24 42.87 7,933.05 -12.94
28 1/29/2019 7,843.11 7,908.93 -65.82 7,894.93 -51.82
29 1/30/2019 7,758.17 7,858.51 -100.34 7,887.95 -129.78
30 1/31/2019 7,749.87 7,775.16 -25.29 7,849.22 -99.35
31 2/1/2019 7,908.80 7,751.53 157.27 7,781.99 126.81
32 2/2/2019 8,041.15 7,877.01 164.14 7,784.15 257.00
33 2/3/2019 8,000.60 8,014.68 -14.08 7,887.59 113.01
34 2/4/2019 7,914.96 8,008.71 -93.75 7,993.34 -78.38
35 2/5/2019 8,018.11 7,932.09 86.02 7,995.64 22.47
36 2/6/2019 7,858.24 7,997.48 -139.24 7,961.28 -103.04
37 2/7/2019 7,909.50 7,890.21 19.29 7,955.19 -45.69
38 2/8/2019 7,806.98 7,899.25 -92.27 7,916.45 -109.47
39 2/9/2019 7,884.99 7,827.48 57.51 7,873.62 11.37
40 2/10/2019 7,891.08 7,869.39 21.69 7,853.34 37.74
41 2/11/2019 7,837.86 7,889.86 -52.00 7,862.81 -24.95
42 2/12/2019 7,704.87 7,848.50 -143.63 7,878.61 -173.74
43 2/13/2019 7,775.60 7,731.47 44.13 7,827.23 -51.63
44 2/14/2019 7,673.99 7,761.45 -87.46 7,758.91 -84.92
45 2/15/2019 7,740.03 7,694.31 45.72 7,734.06 5.97
46 2/16/2019 7,568.18 7,726.82 -158.64 7,717.68 -149.50
47 2/17/2019 7,524.06 7,602.55 -78.49 7,685.85 -161.79
48 2/18/2019 7,552.07 7,532.88 19.19 7,610.91 -58.84
49 2/19/2019 7,821.75 7,546.47 275.28 7,542.90 278.85
50 2/20/2019 7,859.71 7,767.81 91.90 7,597.60 262.11
51 2/21/2019 8,141.92 7,852.12 289.80 7,748.44 393.48
52 2/22/2019 8,194.23 8,085.48 108.75 7,904.76 289.47
53 2/23/2019 8,265.45 8,183.77 81.68 8,067.72 197.73
54 2/24/2019 8,286.60 8,251.21 35.39 8,192.78 93.82
55 2/25/2019 8,521.97 8,282.37 239.60 8,248.31 273.66
56 2/26/2019 8,214.68 8,474.90 -260.22 8,327.33 -112.65
57 2/27/2019 8,280.23 8,276.14 4.09 8,389.90 -109.67
58 2/28/2019 8,229.88 8,267.12 -37.24 8,319.98 -90.10
59 3/1/2019 8,201.45 8,239.95 -38.50 8,250.50 -49.05
60 3/2/2019 8,145.77 8,207.14 -61.37 8,239.30 -93.53
61 3/3/2019 7,992.13 8,156.91 -164.78 8,198.84 -206.71
62 3/4/2019 8,069.86 8,022.86 47.00 8,131.75 -61.89
63 3/5/2019 8,285.06 8,054.31 230.75 8,053.77 231.29
64 3/6/2019 8,240.38 8,242.02 -1.64 8,089.58 150.80
65 3/7/2019 8,277.15 8,249.32 27.83 8,211.56 65.59
66 3/8/2019 8,300.41 8,269.80 30.61 8,261.14 39.27
67 3/9/2019 8,298.92 8,295.76 3.16 8,270.77 28.15
68 3/10/2019 8,197.94 8,299.22 -101.28 8,293.13 -95.19
69 3/11/2019 8,221.33 8,218.14 3.19 8,279.17 -57.84
70 3/12/2019 8,203.41 8,216.65 -13.24 8,232.91 -29.50
71 3/13/2019 8,351.10 8,206.99 144.11 8,210.73 140.37
72 3/14/2019 8,402.36 8,321.56 80.80 8,238.32 164.04
73 3/15/2019 8,257.61 8,392.11 -134.50 8,317.05 -59.43
74 3/16/2019 8,337.65 8,286.56 51.09 8,358.03 -20.38
75 3/17/2019 8,328.90 8,321.64 7.26 8,317.04 11.86
76 3/18/2019 8,484.99 8,330.65 154.34 8,311.89 173.10
77 3/19/2019 8,515.66 8,453.77 61.89 8,362.74 152.92
78 3/20/2019 8,440.04 8,509.53 -69.49 8,444.30 -4.26
79 3/21/2019 8,306.35 8,455.16 -148.81 8,491.34 -184.98
80 3/22/2019 8,471.61 8,333.09 138.52 8,435.99 35.62
81 3/23/2019 8,502.99 8,438.56 64.43 8,379.51 123.48
82 3/24/2019 8,480.09 8,496.71 -16.62 8,428.31 51.78
83 3/25/2019 8,454.25 8,484.67 -30.42 8,489.00 -34.75
84 3/26/2019 8,582.68 8,459.42 123.26 8,481.79 100.89
85 3/27/2019 8,531.57 8,556.99 -25.42 8,487.69 43.88
86 3/28/2019 8,588.36 8,541.79 46.57 8,533.93 54.43
87 3/29/2019 8,560.63 8,577.00 -16.37 8,558.26 2.37
88 3/30/2019 8,491.22 8,566.18 -74.96 8,565.78 -74.56
89 3/31/2019 8,604.60 8,505.10 99.50 8,555.07 49.53
90 4/1/2019 8,726.73 8,581.92 144.81 8,534.72 192.01
91 4/2/2019 8,679.25 8,702.30 -23.05 8,595.01 84.24
92 4/3/2019 8,647.82 8,688.75 -40.93 8,680.60 -32.77
93 4/4/2019 8,713.14 8,654.11 59.03 8,687.21 25.93
94 4/5/2019 8,678.97 8,700.08 -21.11 8,670.31 8.66
95 4/6/2019 8,493.39 8,685.80 -192.41 8,686.71 -193.32
96 4/7/2019 8,491.36 8,530.51 -39.15 8,652.11 -160.74
97 4/8/2019 8,516.43 8,491.77 24.66 8,548.66 -32.23
98 4/9/2019 8,594.02 8,511.42 82.60 8,496.98 97.04
99 4/10/2019 8,601.38 8,578.50 22.88 8,524.43 76.95
100 4/11/2019 8,781.35 8,599.91 181.44 8,572.22 209.14
101 4/12/2019 8,793.12 8,745.36 47.76 8,635.17 157.95
102 4/13/2019 8,711.18 8,790.77 -79.59 8,729.71 -18.53
103 4/14/2019 8,850.26 8,727.57 122.69 8,773.20 77.06
104 4/15/2019 8,897.81 8,822.44 75.37 8,763.58 134.23
105 4/16/2019 8,922.95 8,888.30 34.65 8,818.05 104.90
106 4/17/2019 9,038.98 8,917.92 121.06 8,888.57 150.41
107 4/18/2019 9,041.30 9,015.77 25.53 8,938.61 102.69
108 4/19/2019 9,062.79 9,040.84 21.95 9,004.64 58.16
109 4/20/2019 8,980.00 9,058.49 -78.49 9,044.90 -64.90
110 4/21/2019 9,054.89 8,996.56 58.33 9,039.79 15.10
111 4/22/2019 9,183.22 9,039.91 143.31 9,019.81 163.41
112 4/23/2019 9,196.55 9,157.55 39.00 9,058.09 138.46
113 4/24/2019 9,117.12 9,193.88 -76.76 9,147.39 -30.27
114 4/25/2019 9,318.96 9,133.01 185.95 9,176.67 142.29
115 4/26/2019 9,323.02 9,278.59 44.43 9,181.32 141.70
116 4/27/2019 9,293.80 9,322.21 -28.41 9,259.22 34.58
117 4/28/2019 9,179.53 9,299.64 -120.11 9,315.96 -136.43
118 4/29/2019 9,200.75 9,202.38 -1.63 9,279.71 -78.96
119 4/30/2019 9,072.95 9,196.51 -123.56 9,218.06 -145.10
120 5/1/2019 9,109.85 9,098.51 11.34 9,168.82 -58.97
121 5/2/2019 9,011.53 9,102.47 -90.94 9,118.67 -107.14
122 5/3/2019 9,079.04 9,031.19 47.85 9,079.12 -0.08
123 5/4/2019 8,989.05 9,065.54 -76.49 9,054.53 -65.48
124 5/5/2019 8,985.44 9,007.05 -21.61 9,040.79 -55.35
125 5/6/2019 9,040.95 8,986.16 54.79 9,015.32 25.63
126 5/7/2019 9,142.84 9,029.85 112.99 8,997.63 145.22
127 5/8/2019 9,070.21 9,122.46 -52.25 9,044.68 25.53
128 5/9/2019 9,216.79 9,084.74 132.05 9,097.75 119.04
129 5/10/2019 9,223.09 9,187.47 35.62 9,121.31 101.78
130 5/11/2019 9,156.21 9,221.83 -65.62 9,174.08 -17.87
131 5/12/2019 9,036.04 9,169.59 -133.55 9,207.82 -171.78
132 5/13/2019 9,119.59 9,060.07 59.52 9,152.24 -32.65
133 5/14/2019 9,177.15 9,102.88 74.27 9,088.80 88.35
134 5/15/2019 9,128.97 9,165.64 -36.67 9,106.04 22.93
135 5/16/2019 9,094.59 9,138.61 -44.02 9,150.25 -55.66
136 5/17/2019 9,050.82 9,101.47 -50.65 9,136.55 -85.73
137 5/18/2019 9,188.15 9,059.57 128.58 9,096.15 92.00
138 5/19/2019 9,096.69 9,160.68 -63.99 9,091.42 5.27
139 5/20/2019 9,158.45 9,114.98 43.47 9,128.66 29.79
140 5/21/2019 9,194.24 9,146.10 48.14 9,136.48 57.76
141 5/22/2019 9,112.51 9,187.08 -74.57 9,147.08 -34.57
142 5/23/2019 9,284.57 9,128.86 155.71 9,167.16 117.41
143 5/24/2019 9,266.51 9,250.16 16.35 9,171.44 95.07
144 5/25/2019 9,204.46 9,270.12 -65.66 9,229.34 -24.88
145 5/26/2019 9,200.05 9,216.87 -16.82 9,259.52 -59.47
146 5/27/2019 9,233.80 9,200.93 32.87 9,222.19 11.61
147 5/28/2019 9,153.97 9,227.05 -73.08 9,208.12 -54.15
148 5/29/2019 9,186.04 9,169.94 16.10 9,207.71 -21.67
149 5/30/2019 9,036.32 9,179.63 -143.31 9,184.33 -148.01
150 5/31/2019 9,061.74 9,066.26 -4.52 9,146.48 -84.74
151 6/1/2019 9,126.45 9,056.66 69.79 9,086.32 40.13
152 6/2/2019 9,191.09 9,113.51 77.58 9,067.06 124.03
153 6/3/2019 9,217.35 9,178.16 39.19 9,119.97 97.39
154 6/4/2019 9,310.06 9,212.10 97.96 9,176.95 133.11
155 6/5/2019 9,271.76 9,291.52 -19.76 9,228.01 43.75
156 6/6/2019 9,310.56 9,279.42 31.14 9,274.59 35.97
157 6/7/2019 9,321.69 9,302.80 18.89 9,291.01 30.68
158 6/8/2019 9,412.45 9,319.46 92.99 9,301.15 111.30
159 6/9/2019 9,428.90 9,394.30 34.60 9,336.50 92.40
160 6/10/2019 9,397.51 9,425.61 -28.10 9,388.51 9.00
161 6/11/2019 9,423.68 9,403.79 19.89 9,417.69 5.99
162 6/12/2019 9,348.87 9,418.45 -69.58 9,412.16 -63.29
163 6/13/2019 9,317.64 9,363.83 -46.19 9,400.87 -83.23
164 6/14/2019 9,340.45 9,323.89 16.56 9,365.07 -24.62
165 6/15/2019 9,333.79 9,335.89 -2.10 9,331.57 2.22
166 6/16/2019 9,374.21 9,335.12 39.09 9,332.28 41.93
167 6/17/2019 9,415.82 9,366.13 49.69 9,343.87 71.95
168 6/18/2019 9,523.27 9,407.50 115.77 9,370.41 152.86
169 6/19/2019 9,568.46 9,501.78 66.68 9,424.83 143.63
170 6/20/2019 9,587.90 9,559.42 28.48 9,500.07 87.83
171 6/21/2019 9,503.34 9,584.01 -80.67 9,558.79 -55.45
172 6/22/2019 9,586.29 9,520.25 66.04 9,565.16 21.13
173 6/23/2019 9,507.20 9,569.70 -62.50 9,545.30 -38.10
174 6/24/2019 9,420.46 9,523.02 -102.56 9,545.59 -125.13
175 6/25/2019 9,459.76 9,437.81 21.95 9,513.58 -53.82
176 6/26/2019 9,471.55 9,451.90 19.65 9,454.34 17.21
177 6/27/2019 9,448.81 9,469.19 -20.38 9,450.33 -1.52
178 6/28/2019 9,567.34 9,453.36 113.98 9,463.47 103.88
179 6/29/2019 9,545.65 9,543.63 2.02 9,479.34 66.31
180 6/30/2019 9,659.13 9,549.99 109.14 9,527.44 131.69
181 7/1/2019 9,644.82 9,636.43 8.39 9,574.85 69.97
182 7/2/2019 9,535.41 9,647.68 -112.27 9,622.22 -86.81
183 7/3/2019 9,576.04 9,557.29 18.75 9,627.23 -51.19
184 7/4/2019 9,425.51 9,567.91 -142.40 9,576.36 -150.85
185 7/5/2019 9,343.96 9,455.62 -111.66 9,533.75 -189.79
186 7/6/2019 9,313.08 9,360.27 -47.19 9,454.36 -141.28
187 7/7/2019 9,380.24 9,319.26 60.98 9,362.25 17.99
188 7/8/2019 9,275.06 9,366.81 -91.75 9,335.78 -60.72
189 7/9/2019 9,469.20 9,296.10 173.10 9,339.06 130.14
190 7/10/2019 9,487.80 9,430.37 57.43 9,345.44 142.36
191 7/11/2019 9,572.31 9,484.08 88.23 9,414.68 157.63
192 7/12/2019 9,594.98 9,555.41 39.57 9,499.12 95.86
193 7/13/2019 9,654.61 9,590.45 64.16 9,551.49 103.12
194 7/14/2019 9,630.90 9,642.68 -11.78 9,600.11 30.80
195 7/15/2019 9,680.01 9,635.64 44.37 9,631.98 48.03
196 7/16/2019 9,674.68 9,670.19 4.49 9,647.84 26.84
197 7/17/2019 9,764.38 9,675.75 88.63 9,664.21 100.17
198 7/18/2019 9,812.98 9,746.44 66.54 9,694.22 118.76
199 7/19/2019 9,803.05 9,803.26 -0.21 9,747.19 55.86
200 7/20/2019 9,791.72 9,805.04 -13.32 9,796.41 -4.69
201 7/21/2019 9,721.79 9,793.99 -72.20 9,803.76 -81.97
202 7/22/2019 9,777.94 9,735.78 42.16 9,781.13 -3.19
203 7/23/2019 9,747.64 9,766.71 -19.07 9,754.00 -6.36
204 7/24/2019 9,598.24 9,753.70 -155.46 9,755.04 -156.80
205 7/25/2019 9,613.13 9,628.12 -14.99 9,726.85 -113.72
206 7/26/2019 9,582.46 9,610.15 -27.69 9,646.04 -63.58
207 7/27/2019 9,608.16 9,588.59 19.57 9,602.53 5.63
208 7/28/2019 9,748.31 9,603.02 145.29 9,596.80 151.51
209 7/29/2019 9,774.53 9,720.28 54.25 9,628.48 146.05
210 7/30/2019 9,786.61 9,769.29 17.32 9,711.51 75.10
211 7/31/2019 9,801.12 9,784.19 16.93 9,769.08 32.04
212 8/1/2019 9,858.46 9,798.22 60.24 9,785.89 72.57
213 8/2/2019 9,838.83 9,846.99 -8.16 9,808.24 30.59
214 8/3/2019 9,820.83 9,842.76 -21.93 9,837.33 -16.50
215 8/4/2019 9,856.97 9,824.43 32.54 9,841.12 15.85
216 8/5/2019 9,809.79 9,849.74 -39.95 9,833.46 -23.67
217 8/6/2019 9,756.53 9,819.23 -62.70 9,836.69 -80.16
218 8/7/2019 9,737.79 9,767.18 -29.39 9,813.29 -75.50
219 8/8/2019 9,848.83 9,741.54 107.29 9,768.76 80.07
220 8/9/2019 9,837.94 9,826.62 11.32 9,765.62 72.32
221 8/10/2019 9,768.68 9,840.12 -71.44 9,813.34 -44.66
222 8/11/2019 9,710.83 9,782.53 -71.70 9,827.36 -116.53
223 8/12/2019 9,624.16 9,722.40 -98.24 9,777.89 -153.73
224 8/13/2019 9,690.46 9,641.49 48.97 9,710.85 -20.39
225 8/14/2019 9,619.42 9,677.20 -57.78 9,663.42 -44.00
226 8/15/2019 9,628.53 9,633.63 -5.10 9,656.36 -27.83
227 8/16/2019 9,747.79 9,626.71 121.08 9,642.55 105.24
228 8/17/2019 9,763.94 9,723.94 40.00 9,649.65 114.29
229 8/18/2019 9,779.57 9,760.71 18.86 9,715.24 64.33
230 8/19/2019 9,782.46 9,776.44 6.02 9,762.22 20.24
231 8/20/2019 9,899.05 9,781.88 117.17 9,775.46 123.59
232 8/21/2019 9,853.64 9,875.73 -22.09 9,804.91 48.73
233 8/22/2019 9,873.42 9,862.72 10.70 9,854.99 18.43
234 8/23/2019 9,930.82 9,869.46 61.36 9,871.22 59.60
235 8/24/2019 9,862.68 9,919.34 -56.66 9,878.97 -16.29
236 8/25/2019 9,965.27 9,876.31 88.96 9,899.97 65.30
237 8/26/2019 9,923.42 9,944.75 -21.33 9,903.64 19.78
238 8/27/2019 9,921.86 9,931.79 -9.93 9,926.12 -4.26
239 8/28/2019 10,008.20 9,922.17 86.03 9,935.66 72.54
240 8/29/2019 10,042.20 9,990.93 51.27 9,939.60 102.60
241 8/30/2019 10,022.80 10,035.40 -12.60 9,989.10 33.70
242 8/31/2019 10,129.60 10,026.68 102.92 10,028.12 101.48
243 9/1/2019 10,145.30 10,108.24 37.06 10,049.98 95.32
244 9/2/2019 10,248.10 10,142.16 105.94 10,100.70 147.40
245 9/3/2019 10,278.20 10,227.54 50.66 10,161.15 117.05
246 9/4/2019 10,338.00 10,272.18 65.82 10,223.28 114.72
247 9/5/2019 10,341.30 10,326.04 15.26 10,281.13 60.17
248 9/6/2019 10,305.20 10,340.64 -35.44 10,320.72 -15.52
249 9/7/2019 10,324.70 10,312.42 12.28 10,333.09 -8.39
250 9/8/2019 10,450.00 10,320.80 129.20 10,319.93 130.07
251 9/9/2019 10,425.00 10,424.94 0.06 10,343.91 81.09
252 9/10/2019 10,453.90 10,430.00 23.90 10,407.41 46.49
253 9/11/2019 10,409.90 10,448.12 -38.22 10,438.28 -28.38
254 9/12/2019 10,544.10 10,418.70 125.40 10,436.43 107.67
255 9/13/2019 10,538.70 10,517.26 21.44 10,449.94 88.76
256 9/14/2019 10,529.00 10,539.78 -10.78 10,502.76 26.24
257 9/15/2019 10,592.40 10,530.94 61.46 10,538.38 54.02
258 9/16/2019 10,458.90 10,579.72 -120.82 10,544.59 -85.69
259 9/17/2019 10,485.20 10,485.60 -0.40 10,546.68 -61.48
260 9/18/2019 10,427.20 10,479.94 -52.74 10,504.21 -77.01
261 9/19/2019 10,538.40 10,438.80 99.60 10,465.71 72.69
262 9/20/2019 10,553.90 10,516.16 37.74 10,466.84 87.06
263 9/21/2019 10,600.50 10,550.80 49.70 10,508.14 92.36
264 9/22/2019 10,528.70 10,591.18 -62.48 10,558.57 -29.87
265 9/23/2019 10,623.60 10,543.06 80.54 10,572.16 51.44
266 9/24/2019 10,623.20 10,604.62 18.58 10,569.22 53.98
267 9/25/2019 10,568.30 10,623.28 -54.98 10,595.05 -26.75
268 9/26/2019 10,702.50 10,579.28 123.22 10,612.34 90.16
269 9/27/2019 10,609.90 10,675.66 -65.76 10,611.61 -1.71
270 9/28/2019 10,468.40 10,628.42 -160.02 10,643.72 -175.32
271 9/29/2019 10,510.30 10,496.70 13.60 10,609.38 -99.08
272 9/30/2019 10,488.10 10,501.92 -13.82 10,519.23 -31.13
273 10/1/2019 10,499.20 10,492.54 6.66 10,493.29 5.91
274 10/2/2019 10,505.20 10,496.98 8.22 10,496.98 8.22
275 10/3/2019 10,470.70 10,504.00 -33.30 10,497.07 -26.37
276 10/4/2019 10,495.60 10,477.60 18.00 10,496.50 -0.90
277 10/5/2019 10,593.00 10,490.62 102.38 10,486.03 106.97
278 10/6/2019 10,579.00 10,573.52 5.48 10,507.61 71.39
279 10/7/2019 10,613.90 10,581.80 32.10 10,560.98 52.92
280 10/8/2019 10,737.70 10,606.92 130.78 10,590.18 147.52
281 10/9/2019 10,694.10 10,712.94 -18.84 10,628.19 65.91
282 10/10/2019 10,627.90 10,702.82 -74.92 10,691.84 -63.94
283 10/11/2019 10,641.14 -10641.14 10,693.94 -10693.94
 WMA(2)
12,000.00

10,000.00

8,000.00

6,000.00

4,000.00

2,000.00

0.00
12/16/2018 2/4/2019 3/26/2019 5/15/2019 7/4/2019 8/23/2019 10/12/2019 12/1/2019

WMA WMA(2)
 WMA(2)
12,000.00

10,000.00

8,000.00

6,000.00

4,000.00

2,000.00

0.00
12/16/2018 2/4/2019 3/26/2019 5/15/2019 7/4/2019 8/23/2019 10/12/2019 12/1/2019

WMA WMA(3)
𝐹_𝑡 =𝐹_(𝑡−1)+𝛼(𝐷_(𝑡−1)−𝐹_(𝑡−1) )

SUAVIZACION
EXPONENCIAL
t DIA PRECIO(t) Alfa
MAD 0.00
PRONOSTICO ERROR
1 1/2/2019 8,607.52
2 1/3/2019 8,601.69
3 1/4/2019 8,773.57
4 1/5/2019 8,740.59
5 1/6/2019 8,595.31
6 1/7/2019 8,776.18
7 1/8/2019 8,784.89
8 1/9/2019 8,785.98
9 1/10/2019 8,842.62
10 1/11/2019 8,723.18
11 1/12/2019 8,697.87
12 1/13/2019 8,586.74
13 1/14/2019 8,442.90
14 1/15/2019 8,318.73
15 1/16/2019 8,369.47
16 1/17/2019 8,131.01
17 1/18/2019 7,989.56
18 1/19/2019 8,088.84
19 1/20/2019 8,110.71
20 1/21/2019 7,945.13
21 1/22/2019 8,053.81
22 1/23/2019 8,109.82
23 1/24/2019 8,013.29
24 1/25/2019 7,985.18
25 1/26/2019 7,929.30
26 1/27/2019 7,864.23
27 1/28/2019 7,920.11
28 1/29/2019 7,843.11
29 1/30/2019 7,758.17
30 1/31/2019 7,749.87
31 2/1/2019 7,908.80
32 2/2/2019 8,041.15
33 2/3/2019 8,000.60
34 2/4/2019 7,914.96
35 2/5/2019 8,018.11
36 2/6/2019 7,858.24
37 2/7/2019 7,909.50
38 2/8/2019 7,806.98
39 2/9/2019 7,884.99
40 2/10/2019 7,891.08
41 2/11/2019 7,837.86
42 2/12/2019 7,704.87
43 2/13/2019 7,775.60
44 2/14/2019 7,673.99
45 2/15/2019 7,740.03
46 2/16/2019 7,568.18
47 2/17/2019 7,524.06
48 2/18/2019 7,552.07
 49 2/19/2019 7,821.75
50 2/20/2019 7,859.71
51 2/21/2019 8,141.92
52 2/22/2019 8,194.23
53 2/23/2019 8,265.45
54 2/24/2019 8,286.60
55 2/25/2019 8,521.97
56 2/26/2019 8,214.68
57 2/27/2019 8,280.23
58 2/28/2019 8,229.88
59 3/1/2019 8,201.45
60 3/2/2019 8,145.77
61 3/3/2019 7,992.13
62 3/4/2019 8,069.86
63 3/5/2019 8,285.06
64 3/6/2019 8,240.38
65 3/7/2019 8,277.15
66 3/8/2019 8,300.41
67 3/9/2019 8,298.92
68 3/10/2019 8,197.94
69 3/11/2019 8,221.33
70 3/12/2019 8,203.41
71 3/13/2019 8,351.10
72 3/14/2019 8,402.36
73 3/15/2019 8,257.61
74 3/16/2019 8,337.65
75 3/17/2019 8,328.90
76 3/18/2019 8,484.99
77 3/19/2019 8,515.66
78 3/20/2019 8,440.04
79 3/21/2019 8,306.35
80 3/22/2019 8,471.61
81 3/23/2019 8,502.99
82 3/24/2019 8,480.09
83 3/25/2019 8,454.25
84 3/26/2019 8,582.68
85 3/27/2019 8,531.57
86 3/28/2019 8,588.36
87 3/29/2019 8,560.63
88 3/30/2019 8,491.22
89 3/31/2019 8,604.60
90 4/1/2019 8,726.73
91 4/2/2019 8,679.25
92 4/3/2019 8,647.82
93 4/4/2019 8,713.14
94 4/5/2019 8,678.97
95 4/6/2019 8,493.39
96 4/7/2019 8,491.36
97 4/8/2019 8,516.43
98 4/9/2019 8,594.02
99 4/10/2019 8,601.38
100 4/11/2019 8,781.35
101 4/12/2019 8,793.12
102 4/13/2019 8,711.18
103 4/14/2019 8,850.26
104 4/15/2019 8,897.81
105 4/16/2019 8,922.95
106 4/17/2019 9,038.98
107 4/18/2019 9,041.30
108 4/19/2019 9,062.79
109 4/20/2019 8,980.00
110 4/21/2019 9,054.89
111 4/22/2019 9,183.22
112 4/23/2019 9,196.55
113 4/24/2019 9,117.12
114 4/25/2019 9,318.96
115 4/26/2019 9,323.02
116 4/27/2019 9,293.80
117 4/28/2019 9,179.53
118 4/29/2019 9,200.75
119 4/30/2019 9,072.95
120 5/1/2019 9,109.85
121 5/2/2019 9,011.53
122 5/3/2019 9,079.04
123 5/4/2019 8,989.05
124 5/5/2019 8,985.44
125 5/6/2019 9,040.95
126 5/7/2019 9,142.84
127 5/8/2019 9,070.21
128 5/9/2019 9,216.79
129 5/10/2019 9,223.09
130 5/11/2019 9,156.21
131 5/12/2019 9,036.04
132 5/13/2019 9,119.59
133 5/14/2019 9,177.15
134 5/15/2019 9,128.97
135 5/16/2019 9,094.59
136 5/17/2019 9,050.82
137 5/18/2019 9,188.15
138 5/19/2019 9,096.69
139 5/20/2019 9,158.45
140 5/21/2019 9,194.24
141 5/22/2019 9,112.51
142 5/23/2019 9,284.57
143 5/24/2019 9,266.51
144 5/25/2019 9,204.46
145 5/26/2019 9,200.05
146 5/27/2019 9,233.80
147 5/28/2019 9,153.97
148 5/29/2019 9,186.04
149 5/30/2019 9,036.32
150 5/31/2019 9,061.74
151 6/1/2019 9,126.45
152 6/2/2019 9,191.09
153 6/3/2019 9,217.35
154 6/4/2019 9,310.06
155 6/5/2019 9,271.76
156 6/6/2019 9,310.56
157 6/7/2019 9,321.69
158 6/8/2019 9,412.45
159 6/9/2019 9,428.90
160 6/10/2019 9,397.51
161 6/11/2019 9,423.68
162 6/12/2019 9,348.87
163 6/13/2019 9,317.64
164 6/14/2019 9,340.45
165 6/15/2019 9,333.79
166 6/16/2019 9,374.21
167 6/17/2019 9,415.82
168 6/18/2019 9,523.27
169 6/19/2019 9,568.46
170 6/20/2019 9,587.90
171 6/21/2019 9,503.34
172 6/22/2019 9,586.29
173 6/23/2019 9,507.20
174 6/24/2019 9,420.46
175 6/25/2019 9,459.76
176 6/26/2019 9,471.55
177 6/27/2019 9,448.81
178 6/28/2019 9,567.34
179 6/29/2019 9,545.65
180 6/30/2019 9,659.13
181 7/1/2019 9,644.82
182 7/2/2019 9,535.41
183 7/3/2019 9,576.04
184 7/4/2019 9,425.51
185 7/5/2019 9,343.96
186 7/6/2019 9,313.08
187 7/7/2019 9,380.24
188 7/8/2019 9,275.06
189 7/9/2019 9,469.20
190 7/10/2019 9,487.80
191 7/11/2019 9,572.31
192 7/12/2019 9,594.98
193 7/13/2019 9,654.61
194 7/14/2019 9,630.90
195 7/15/2019 9,680.01
196 7/16/2019 9,674.68
197 7/17/2019 9,764.38
198 7/18/2019 9,812.98
199 7/19/2019 9,803.05
200 7/20/2019 9,791.72
201 7/21/2019 9,721.79
202 7/22/2019 9,777.94
203 7/23/2019 9,747.64
204 7/24/2019 9,598.24
205 7/25/2019 9,613.13
206 7/26/2019 9,582.46
207 7/27/2019 9,608.16
208 7/28/2019 9,748.31
209 7/29/2019 9,774.53
210 7/30/2019 9,786.61
211 7/31/2019 9,801.12
212 8/1/2019 9,858.46
213 8/2/2019 9,838.83
214 8/3/2019 9,820.83
215 8/4/2019 9,856.97
216 8/5/2019 9,809.79
217 8/6/2019 9,756.53
218 8/7/2019 9,737.79
219 8/8/2019 9,848.83
220 8/9/2019 9,837.94
221 8/10/2019 9,768.68
222 8/11/2019 9,710.83
223 8/12/2019 9,624.16
224 8/13/2019 9,690.46
225 8/14/2019 9,619.42
226 8/15/2019 9,628.53
227 8/16/2019 9,747.79
228 8/17/2019 9,763.94
229 8/18/2019 9,779.57
230 8/19/2019 9,782.46
231 8/20/2019 9,899.05
232 8/21/2019 9,853.64
233 8/22/2019 9,873.42
234 8/23/2019 9,930.82
235 8/24/2019 9,862.68
236 8/25/2019 9,965.27
237 8/26/2019 9,923.42
238 8/27/2019 9,921.86
239 8/28/2019 10,008.20
240 8/29/2019 10,042.20
241 8/30/2019 10,022.80
242 8/31/2019 10,129.60
243 9/1/2019 10,145.30
244 9/2/2019 10,248.10
245 9/3/2019 10,278.20
246 9/4/2019 10,338.00
247 9/5/2019 10,341.30
248 9/6/2019 10,305.20
249 9/7/2019 10,324.70
250 9/8/2019 10,450.00
251 9/9/2019 10,425.00
252 9/10/2019 10,453.90
253 9/11/2019 10,409.90
254 9/12/2019 10,544.10
255 9/13/2019 10,538.70
256 9/14/2019 10,529.00
257 9/15/2019 10,592.40
258 9/16/2019 10,458.90
259 9/17/2019 10,485.20
260 9/18/2019 10,427.20
261 9/19/2019 10,538.40
262 9/20/2019 10,553.90
263 9/21/2019 10,600.50
264 9/22/2019 10,528.70
265 9/23/2019 10,623.60
266 9/24/2019 10,623.20
267 9/25/2019 10,568.30
268 9/26/2019 10,702.50
269 9/27/2019 10,609.90
270 9/28/2019 10,468.40
271 9/29/2019 10,510.30
272 9/30/2019 10,488.10
273 10/1/2019 10,499.20
274 10/2/2019 10,505.20
275 10/3/2019 10,470.70
276 10/4/2019 10,495.60
277 10/5/2019 10,593.00
278 10/6/2019 10,579.00
279 10/7/2019 10,613.90
280 10/8/2019 10,737.70
281 10/9/2019 10,694.10
282 10/10/2019 10,627.90
283 10/11/2019
 SES
12,000.00

10,000.00

8,000.00

6,000.00

4,000.00

2,000.00

0.00
12/16/2018 2/4/2019 3/26/2019 5/15/2019 7/4/2019 8/23/2019 10/12/2019 12/1/2019

REAL SES
𝐹_𝑡 = 〖𝐹𝐼𝑇〗 _(𝑡−1) +  (𝐷_(𝑡−1) " – "
〖𝐹𝐼𝑇〗
𝑇_𝑡 = 𝑇_(𝑡−1) + )(𝐹_𝑡 - 〖𝐹𝐼
_(𝑡−1)
𝑇〗 _(𝑡−1) ) METODO DE HOLT
(𝐷𝑇) ̂_𝑡 = 𝐷 ̂_𝑡 +
𝑇_𝑡
Alfa
t DIA PRECIO(t)
Beta
MAD 0.00
F T FIT ERROR
1 1/2/2019 8,607.52 8,607.52 -5.83
2 1/3/2019 8,601.69
3 1/4/2019 8,773.57
4 1/5/2019 8,740.59
5 1/6/2019 8,595.31
6 1/7/2019 8,776.18
7 1/8/2019 8,784.89
8 1/9/2019 8,785.98
9 1/10/2019 8,842.62
10 1/11/2019 8,723.18
11 1/12/2019 8,697.87
12 1/13/2019 8,586.74
13 1/14/2019 8,442.90
14 1/15/2019 8,318.73
15 1/16/2019 8,369.47
16 1/17/2019 8,131.01
17 1/18/2019 7,989.56
18 1/19/2019 8,088.84
19 1/20/2019 8,110.71
20 1/21/2019 7,945.13
21 1/22/2019 8,053.81
22 1/23/2019 8,109.82
23 1/24/2019 8,013.29
24 1/25/2019 7,985.18
25 1/26/2019 7,929.30
26 1/27/2019 7,864.23
27 1/28/2019 7,920.11
28 1/29/2019 7,843.11
29 1/30/2019 7,758.17
30 1/31/2019 7,749.87
31 2/1/2019 7,908.80
32 2/2/2019 8,041.15
33 2/3/2019 8,000.60
34 2/4/2019 7,914.96
35 2/5/2019 8,018.11
36 2/6/2019 7,858.24
37 2/7/2019 7,909.50
38 2/8/2019 7,806.98
39 2/9/2019 7,884.99
40 2/10/2019 7,891.08
41 2/11/2019 7,837.86
42 2/12/2019 7,704.87
43 2/13/2019 7,775.60
44 2/14/2019 7,673.99
45 2/15/2019 7,740.03
46 2/16/2019 7,568.18
 47 2/17/2019 7,524.06
48 2/18/2019 7,552.07
49 2/19/2019 7,821.75
50 2/20/2019 7,859.71
51 2/21/2019 8,141.92
52 2/22/2019 8,194.23
53 2/23/2019 8,265.45
54 2/24/2019 8,286.60
55 2/25/2019 8,521.97
56 2/26/2019 8,214.68
57 2/27/2019 8,280.23
58 2/28/2019 8,229.88
59 3/1/2019 8,201.45
60 3/2/2019 8,145.77
61 3/3/2019 7,992.13
62 3/4/2019 8,069.86
63 3/5/2019 8,285.06
64 3/6/2019 8,240.38
65 3/7/2019 8,277.15
66 3/8/2019 8,300.41
67 3/9/2019 8,298.92
68 3/10/2019 8,197.94
69 3/11/2019 8,221.33
70 3/12/2019 8,203.41
71 3/13/2019 8,351.10
72 3/14/2019 8,402.36
73 3/15/2019 8,257.61
74 3/16/2019 8,337.65
75 3/17/2019 8,328.90
76 3/18/2019 8,484.99
77 3/19/2019 8,515.66
78 3/20/2019 8,440.04
79 3/21/2019 8,306.35
80 3/22/2019 8,471.61
81 3/23/2019 8,502.99
82 3/24/2019 8,480.09
83 3/25/2019 8,454.25
84 3/26/2019 8,582.68
85 3/27/2019 8,531.57
86 3/28/2019 8,588.36
87 3/29/2019 8,560.63
88 3/30/2019 8,491.22
89 3/31/2019 8,604.60
90 4/1/2019 8,726.73
91 4/2/2019 8,679.25
92 4/3/2019 8,647.82
93 4/4/2019 8,713.14
94 4/5/2019 8,678.97
95 4/6/2019 8,493.39
96 4/7/2019 8,491.36
97 4/8/2019 8,516.43
98 4/9/2019 8,594.02
99 4/10/2019 8,601.38
100 4/11/2019 8,781.35
101 4/12/2019 8,793.12
102 4/13/2019 8,711.18
103 4/14/2019 8,850.26
104 4/15/2019 8,897.81
105 4/16/2019 8,922.95
106 4/17/2019 9,038.98
107 4/18/2019 9,041.30
108 4/19/2019 9,062.79
109 4/20/2019 8,980.00
110 4/21/2019 9,054.89
111 4/22/2019 9,183.22
112 4/23/2019 9,196.55
113 4/24/2019 9,117.12
114 4/25/2019 9,318.96
115 4/26/2019 9,323.02
116 4/27/2019 9,293.80
117 4/28/2019 9,179.53
118 4/29/2019 9,200.75
119 4/30/2019 9,072.95
120 5/1/2019 9,109.85
121 5/2/2019 9,011.53
122 5/3/2019 9,079.04
123 5/4/2019 8,989.05
124 5/5/2019 8,985.44
125 5/6/2019 9,040.95
126 5/7/2019 9,142.84
127 5/8/2019 9,070.21
128 5/9/2019 9,216.79
129 5/10/2019 9,223.09
130 5/11/2019 9,156.21
131 5/12/2019 9,036.04
132 5/13/2019 9,119.59
133 5/14/2019 9,177.15
134 5/15/2019 9,128.97
135 5/16/2019 9,094.59
136 5/17/2019 9,050.82
137 5/18/2019 9,188.15
138 5/19/2019 9,096.69
139 5/20/2019 9,158.45
140 5/21/2019 9,194.24
141 5/22/2019 9,112.51
142 5/23/2019 9,284.57
143 5/24/2019 9,266.51
144 5/25/2019 9,204.46
145 5/26/2019 9,200.05
146 5/27/2019 9,233.80
147 5/28/2019 9,153.97
148 5/29/2019 9,186.04
149 5/30/2019 9,036.32
150 5/31/2019 9,061.74
151 6/1/2019 9,126.45
152 6/2/2019 9,191.09
153 6/3/2019 9,217.35
154 6/4/2019 9,310.06
155 6/5/2019 9,271.76
156 6/6/2019 9,310.56
157 6/7/2019 9,321.69
158 6/8/2019 9,412.45
159 6/9/2019 9,428.90
160 6/10/2019 9,397.51
161 6/11/2019 9,423.68
162 6/12/2019 9,348.87
163 6/13/2019 9,317.64
164 6/14/2019 9,340.45
165 6/15/2019 9,333.79
166 6/16/2019 9,374.21
167 6/17/2019 9,415.82
168 6/18/2019 9,523.27
169 6/19/2019 9,568.46
170 6/20/2019 9,587.90
171 6/21/2019 9,503.34
172 6/22/2019 9,586.29
173 6/23/2019 9,507.20
174 6/24/2019 9,420.46
175 6/25/2019 9,459.76
176 6/26/2019 9,471.55
177 6/27/2019 9,448.81
178 6/28/2019 9,567.34
179 6/29/2019 9,545.65
180 6/30/2019 9,659.13
181 7/1/2019 9,644.82
182 7/2/2019 9,535.41
183 7/3/2019 9,576.04
184 7/4/2019 9,425.51
185 7/5/2019 9,343.96
186 7/6/2019 9,313.08
187 7/7/2019 9,380.24
188 7/8/2019 9,275.06
189 7/9/2019 9,469.20
190 7/10/2019 9,487.80
191 7/11/2019 9,572.31
192 7/12/2019 9,594.98
193 7/13/2019 9,654.61
194 7/14/2019 9,630.90
195 7/15/2019 9,680.01
196 7/16/2019 9,674.68
197 7/17/2019 9,764.38
198 7/18/2019 9,812.98
199 7/19/2019 9,803.05
200 7/20/2019 9,791.72
201 7/21/2019 9,721.79
202 7/22/2019 9,777.94
203 7/23/2019 9,747.64
204 7/24/2019 9,598.24
205 7/25/2019 9,613.13
206 7/26/2019 9,582.46
207 7/27/2019 9,608.16
208 7/28/2019 9,748.31
209 7/29/2019 9,774.53
210 7/30/2019 9,786.61
211 7/31/2019 9,801.12
212 8/1/2019 9,858.46
213 8/2/2019 9,838.83
214 8/3/2019 9,820.83
215 8/4/2019 9,856.97
216 8/5/2019 9,809.79
217 8/6/2019 9,756.53
218 8/7/2019 9,737.79
219 8/8/2019 9,848.83
220 8/9/2019 9,837.94
221 8/10/2019 9,768.68
222 8/11/2019 9,710.83
223 8/12/2019 9,624.16
224 8/13/2019 9,690.46
225 8/14/2019 9,619.42
226 8/15/2019 9,628.53
227 8/16/2019 9,747.79
228 8/17/2019 9,763.94
229 8/18/2019 9,779.57
230 8/19/2019 9,782.46
231 8/20/2019 9,899.05
232 8/21/2019 9,853.64
233 8/22/2019 9,873.42
234 8/23/2019 9,930.82
235 8/24/2019 9,862.68
236 8/25/2019 9,965.27
237 8/26/2019 9,923.42
238 8/27/2019 9,921.86
239 8/28/2019 10,008.20
240 8/29/2019 10,042.20
241 8/30/2019 10,022.80
242 8/31/2019 10,129.60
243 9/1/2019 10,145.30
244 9/2/2019 10,248.10
245 9/3/2019 10,278.20
246 9/4/2019 10,338.00
247 9/5/2019 10,341.30
248 9/6/2019 10,305.20
249 9/7/2019 10,324.70
250 9/8/2019 10,450.00
251 9/9/2019 10,425.00
252 9/10/2019 10,453.90
253 9/11/2019 10,409.90
254 9/12/2019 10,544.10
255 9/13/2019 10,538.70
256 9/14/2019 10,529.00
257 9/15/2019 10,592.40
258 9/16/2019 10,458.90
259 9/17/2019 10,485.20
260 9/18/2019 10,427.20
261 9/19/2019 10,538.40
262 9/20/2019 10,553.90
263 9/21/2019 10,600.50
264 9/22/2019 10,528.70
265 9/23/2019 10,623.60
266 9/24/2019 10,623.20
267 9/25/2019 10,568.30
268 9/26/2019 10,702.50
269 9/27/2019 10,609.90
270 9/28/2019 10,468.40
271 9/29/2019 10,510.30
272 9/30/2019 10,488.10
273 10/1/2019 10,499.20
274 10/2/2019 10,505.20
275 10/3/2019 10,470.70
276 10/4/2019 10,495.60
277 10/5/2019 10,593.00
278 10/6/2019 10,579.00
279 10/7/2019 10,613.90
280 10/8/2019 10,737.70
281 10/9/2019 10,694.10
282 10/10/2019 10,627.90
283 10/11/2019
𝑡 = 𝐷 ̂_𝑡 +
 HOLT(OPT)
12,000.00

10,000.00

8,000.00

6,000.00

4,000.00

2,000.00

0.00
12/16/2018 2/4/2019 3/26/2019 5/15/2019 7/4/2019 8/23/2019 10/12/2019 12/1/2019

REAL HOLT