Semana Periodo T Demanda Mt Pronostico Error

1 92
2 127
3 117
4 88
5 114
6 99
7 122
8 96
9 84
10 64
11 117
12 127
13 92
14 80
15 105
16 121
17 99
18 120
19 50
20 190
21 0 117 105.37
22 1 99 104.42 105.37 6.37
23 2 128 106.53 104.42 -23.58
24 3 119 106.79 106.53 -12.47
25 4 113 107.53 106.79 -6.21
26 5 72 104.89 107.53 35.53
27 6 85 104.32 104.89 19.89
28 7 105 105.42 104.32 -0.68
29 8 109 107.79 105.42 -3.58
30 9 96 106.68 107.79 11.79
31 10 98 105.16 106.68 8.68
32 11 109 106.05 105.16 -3.84
33 12 85 106.32 106.05 21.05
34 13 103 106.21 106.32 3.32
35 14 124 106.37 106.21 -17.79
36 15 114 107.16 106.37 -7.63
37 16 97 105.95 107.16 10.16
38 17 89 108.00 105.95 16.95
39 18 144 105.58 108.00 -36.00
40 19 94 104.37 105.58 11.58
41 20 105 104.68 104.37 -0.63
42 21 113 103.89 104.68 -8.32
43 22 96 102.68 103.89 7.89
44 23 125 103.32 102.68 -22.32
45 24 118 105.74 103.32 -14.68
46 25 97 106.37 105.74 8.74
47 26 135 107.95 106.37 -28.63
48 27 147 109.95 107.95 -39.05
49 28 110 110.68 109.95 -0.05
50 29 103 110.95 110.68 7.68
110.95
Error absoluto Error cuadratico APE APE' INV.MAX

200
180
160
140
6.37 40.56 -6.4% -6.0% 120
23.58 555.97 18.4% 22.6% 100 f(x) = 0.229003601440576 x + 1
12.47 155.59 10.5% 11.7% 80
6.21 38.57 5.5% 5.8%
60
35.53 1262.12 -49.3% -33.0%
40
19.89 395.80 -23.4% -19.0%
0.68 0.47 0.7% 0.7% 20

3.58 12.81 3.3% 3.4% 0

0 10 20
11.79 138.99 -12.3% -10.9%
8.68 75.42 -8.9% -8.1% Column C
3.84 14.76 3.5% 3.7%
21.05 443.21 -24.8% -19.9%
3.32 10.99 -3.2% -3.1%
17.79 316.47 14.3% 16.7%
7.63 58.24 6.7% 7.2%
10.16 103.18 -10.5% -9.5%
16.95 287.21 -19.0% -16.0%
36.00 1296.00 25.0% 33.3%
11.58 134.07 -12.3% -11.0%
0.63 0.40 0.6% 0.6%
8.32 69.15 7.4% 7.9%
7.89 62.33 -8.2% -7.6%
22.32 497.99 17.9% 21.7%
14.68 215.63 12.4% 14.2%
8.74 76.33 -9.0% -8.3%
28.63 819.77 21.2% 26.9%
39.05 1525.11 26.6% 36.2%
0.05 0.00 0.0% 0.0%
7.68 59.05 -7.5% -6.9%

298.83 -0.72% 1.84%

 DEMANDA
200
180
160
140
120
100 f(x) = 0.229003601440576 x + 101.220408163265

80
60
40
20
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Column C Column D Linear (Column D)

N ECM
6 369.73
7 347.74
8 329.94
9 324.15
10 340.10
11 336.16
12 312.35
13 319.12
14 321.31
15 323.95
16 311.79
17 312.11
18 313.20
19 298.83
20 308.86