LOI DE WEIBULL

 1 
 t    t     t  


f (t )    exp     F (t )  1  exp   
            
  


 t   
R (t )  exp    
    
 
 1
f (t )   t   
 (t )    
R (t )    

 1
MTBF  E (T )    1      A
  x
x    t x 1e t dt
0
2
 2   1 
 T   1     1     B
     

"E(t )"=" (1+" 1/" " ) = 

 A
 
 t   
 exp    
    
 

x 1
e t dt
 Exercice :Un échantillon complet de données issues des essais de validation d’un produit sur
9 composants conduit aux résultats suivants: 205 h; 312h; 402h; 495h; 570h; 671h; 801h;
940h; 1150 h. Trouvez le modèle de la loi de Weibull à deux paramètres par la méthode du tab

t RANG TBF ln(t-ϒ) F(i) Rt) ln(ln(1/R(t))

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
sais de validation d’un produit sur
402h; 495h; 570h; 671h; 801h;
x paramètres par la méthode du tableur excel

β
η (h)
ϒ(calculé) (h)
R^2
MTBF
ln(ln(1/R(t)
λ(t)
MTBF  E (T ) 

 2
 T   1 
 
"E(t )"=" (1+"
1/" " ) =   A

MTBF
 1

ln(1/R(t)))=β.(ln(t-ϒ)-ln(η))

 1
MTBF  E (T )    1      A
 

2
 2    1 
 T   1     1     B
      
(1+"
 A
 Exercice 1 :
Le dépouillement des différents fichiers historiques concernant des tubes à rayons X d’un équi
dans des conditions identiques a permis de constater 21 avaries.
Les TBF en heures ont été relevés et classés par ordre croissant : 570, 600, 640, 670, 700, 730,
1150, 1220, 1280, 1380, 1570.
Estimer la fonction de répartition.
Tracer les couples de points (TBF, F(t)) sur Excel avec les changements de variable qui s’impose
Déterminer par calcul la valeur de ϒ.
Effectuer alors la translation des points afin d’obtenir une droite.
En déduire les paramètres β et η.
Déterminer enfin la MTBF.
Sachant qu’un arrêt de cette équipement engendre un manque à gagner de 25.000 dhs et un c
de ce dernier coute 1500 dhs, calculer une période optimale de la maintenance préventive sys
équipement de radiologie.

*
7

t RANG TBF ln(t-ϒ) F(i) Rt) ln(ln(1/R(t))

510 1 570 4.176692147 4.55% 95.45% -3.06787261524
520 2 600 4.555454487 9.09% 90.91% -2.35061865551
530 3 640 4.906385197 13.64% 86.36% -1.92002379137
540 4 670 5.10685409 18.18% 81.82% -1.60609004549
550 5 700 5.273768441 22.73% 77.27% -1.35545828057
560 6 730 5.416766802 27.27% 72.73% -1.14427808574
570 7 770 5.580295665 31.82% 68.18% -0.9597405191
580 8 800 5.687483667 36.36% 63.64% -0.79410601176
590 9 830 5.784286583 40.91% 59.09% -0.64227709351
600 10 870 5.9003082 45.45% 54.55% -0.50065121972
610 11 900 5.979265414 50.00% 50.00% -0.36651292058
620 12 930 6.052442024 54.55% 45.45% -0.23767695094
630 13 960 6.120627013 59.09% 40.91% -0.11225324266
640 14 1000 6.204860726 63.64% 36.36% 0.01153413704
650 15 1050 6.301060967 68.18% 31.82% 0.13552017994
660 16 1100 6.388813458 72.73% 27.27% 0.26181256164
670 17 1150 6.469482832 77.27% 22.73% 0.39312564978
680 18 1220 6.572492297 81.82% 18.18% 0.53341735333
690 19 1280 6.653056546 86.36% 13.64% 0.68935508198
700 20 1380 6.774395289 90.91% 9.09% 0.87459138292
710 21 1570 6.970870904 95.45% 4.55% 1.12850839756
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nant des tubes à rayons X d’un équipement de radiologie de même type et fonctionnant
aries.
sant : 570, 600, 640, 670, 700, 730, 770, 800, 830, 870, 900, 930, 960, 1000, 1050, 1100,

angements de variable qui s’impose pour cette loi.

β
droite.
η (h)
nque à gagner de 25.000 dhs et un changement systématique de l’huile de refroidissement ϒ(calculé) (h)
le de la maintenance préventive systématique qu’on envisagerait à adopter pour cet
R^2
MTBF
ln(ln(1/R(t)
λ(t)
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 1.46
496
505
99.9072%

ln(1/R(t)))=β.(ln(t-ϒ)-ln(η))

 1
MTBF  E (T )    1      A
 

2
 2   1 
T   1     1     B
     
(1+"
 A
β 1.46 lim (C(t)
η (h) 496.00 MTBF
ϒ(calculé) 504.85 #DIV/0! Toptimal
MTBF MIN C(t)

MTBF(ti) MTBF(T)
∫129_0^𝑡𝑖▒ 〖𝑅 (𝑡).𝑑𝑡∫129_0^𝑇▒
〗
〖𝑅 (𝑡).𝑑𝑡 〗
T (t-ϒ)/η R F Colonne1 Colonne2
510 0.010383044 99.88% 0.12% 0.00 0.00
520 0.030544334 99.40% 0.60% 9.96 9.96
530 0.050705625 98.74% 1.26% 9.91 19.87
540 0.070866915 97.95% 2.05% 9.83 29.70
550 0.091028205 97.05% 2.95% 9.75 39.45
560 0.111189496 96.07% 3.93% 9.66 49.11
570 0.131350786 95.01% 4.99% 9.55 58.66
580 0.151512076 93.89% 6.11% 9.44 68.11
590 0.171673367 92.70% 7.30% 9.33 77.44
600 0.191834657 91.47% 8.53% 9.21 86.65
610 0.211995947 90.20% 9.80% 9.08 95.73
620 0.232157238 88.88% 11.12% 8.95 104.69
630 0.252318528 87.54% 12.46% 8.82 113.51
640 0.272479818 86.16% 13.84% 8.68 122.19
650 0.292641109 84.75% 15.25% 8.55 130.74
660 0.312802399 83.33% 16.67% 8.40 139.14
670 0.332963689 81.89% 18.11% 8.26 147.40
680 0.353124979 80.43% 19.57% 8.12 155.52
690 0.37328627 78.96% 21.04% 7.97 163.49
700 0.39344756 77.48% 22.52% 7.82 171.31
710 0.41360885 75.99% 24.01% 7.67 178.98
720 0.433770141 74.50% 25.50% 7.52 186.51
730 0.453931431 73.01% 26.99% 7.38 193.88
740 0.474092721 71.52% 28.48% 7.23 201.11
750 0.494254012 70.02% 29.98% 7.08 208.19
760 0.514415302 68.54% 31.46% 6.93 215.11
770 0.534576592 67.05% 32.95% 6.78 221.89
780 0.554737883 65.58% 34.42% 6.63 228.53
790 0.574899173 64.11% 35.89% 6.48 235.01
800 0.595060463 62.65% 37.35% 6.34 241.35
810 0.615221754 61.20% 38.80% 6.19 247.54
 820 0.635383044 59.77% 40.23% 6.05 253.59
830 0.655544334 58.34% 41.66% 5.91 259.49
840 0.675705625 56.93% 43.07% 5.76 265.26
850 0.695866915 55.54% 44.46% 5.62 270.88
860 0.716028205 54.16% 45.84% 5.49 276.37
870 0.736189496 52.80% 47.20% 5.35 281.72
880 0.756350786 51.46% 48.54% 5.21 286.93
28.48% 890 0.776512076 50.13% 49.87% 5.08 292.01
900 0.796673367 48.83% 51.17% 4.95 296.96
910 0.816834657 47.54% 52.46% 4.82 301.77
920 0.836995947 46.27% 53.73% 4.69 306.47
930 0.857157238 45.02% 54.98% 4.56 311.03
940 0.877318528 43.80% 56.20% 4.44 315.47
950 0.897479818 42.59% 57.41% 4.32 319.79
960 0.917641109 41.41% 58.59% 4.20 323.99
970 0.937802399 40.24% 59.76% 4.08 328.07
980 0.957963689 39.10% 60.90% 3.97 332.04
990 0.978124979 37.98% 62.02% 3.85 335.89
1000 0.99828627 36.88% 63.12% 3.74 339.64
1010 1.01844756 35.80% 64.20% 3.63 343.27
1020 1.03860885 34.75% 65.25% 3.53 346.80
1030 1.058770141 33.72% 66.28% 3.42 350.22
1040 1.078931431 32.70% 67.30% 3.32 353.54
1050 1.099092721 31.71% 68.29% 3.22 356.76
1060 1.119254012 30.75% 69.25% 3.12 359.89
1070 1.139415302 29.80% 70.20% 3.03 362.91
1080 1.159576592 28.88% 71.12% 2.93 365.85
1090 1.179737883 27.98% 72.02% 2.84 368.69
1100 1.199899173 27.09% 72.91% 2.75 371.44
1110 1.220060463 26.23% 73.77% 2.67 374.11
1120 1.240221754 25.40% 74.60% 2.58 376.69
1130 1.260383044 24.58% 75.42% 2.50 379.19
1140 1.280544334 23.78% 76.22% 2.42 381.61
1150 1.300705625 23.00% 77.00% 2.34 383.95
1160 1.320866915 22.25% 77.75% 2.26 386.21
1170 1.341028205 21.51% 78.49% 2.19 388.40
1180 1.361189496 20.79% 79.21% 2.11 390.51
1190 1.381350786 20.09% 79.91% 2.04 392.56
1200 1.401512076 19.41% 80.59% 1.98 394.53
1210 1.421673367 18.75% 81.25% 1.91 396.44
1220 1.441834657 18.11% 81.89% 1.84 398.28
1230 1.461995947 17.48% 82.52% 1.78 400.06
1240 1.482157238 16.88% 83.12% 1.72 401.78
1250 1.502318528 16.29% 83.71% 1.66 403.44
1260 1.522479818 15.71% 84.29% 1.60 405.04
1270 1.542641109 15.16% 84.84% 1.54 406.58
1280 1.562802399 14.62% 85.38% 1.49 408.07
1290 1.582963689 14.10% 85.90% 1.44 409.51
1300 1.603124979 13.59% 86.41% 1.38 410.89
1310 1.62328627 13.10% 86.90% 1.33 412.23
1320 1.64344756 12.62% 87.38% 1.29 413.51
1330 1.66360885 12.16% 87.84% 1.24 414.75
1340 1.683770141 11.71% 88.29% 1.19 415.94
1350 1.703931431 11.28% 88.72% 1.15 417.09
1360 1.724092721 10.86% 89.14% 1.11 418.20
1370 1.744254012 10.45% 89.55% 1.07 419.27
1380 1.764415302 10.06% 89.94% 1.03 420.29
1390 1.784576592 9.68% 90.32% 0.99 421.28
1400 1.804737883 9.31% 90.69% 0.95 422.23
1410 1.824899173 8.96% 91.04% 0.91 423.14
1420 1.845060463 8.61% 91.39% 0.88 424.02
1430 1.865221754 8.28% 91.72% 0.84 424.86
1440 1.885383044 7.96% 92.04% 0.81 425.68
1450 1.905544334 7.65% 92.35% 0.78 426.46
1460 1.925705625 7.35% 92.65% 0.75 427.21
1470 1.945866915 7.06% 92.94% 0.72 427.93
1480 1.966028205 6.78% 93.22% 0.69 428.62
1490 1.986189496 6.51% 93.49% 0.66 429.28
1500 2.006350786 6.25% 93.75% 0.64 429.92
1510 2.026512076 6.00% 94.00% 0.61 430.54
1520 2.046673367 5.76% 94.24% 0.59 431.12
1530 2.066834657 5.53% 94.47% 0.56 431.69
1540 2.086995947 5.30% 94.70% 0.54 432.23
1550 2.107157238 5.09% 94.91% 0.52 432.75
1560 2.127318528 4.88% 95.12% 0.50 433.25
1570 2.147479818 4.68% 95.32% 0.48 433.73
1580 2.167641109 4.48% 95.52% 0.46 434.18
1590 2.187802399 4.30% 95.70% 0.44 434.62
1600 2.207963689 4.12% 95.88% 0.42 435.04
1610 2.228124979 3.95% 96.05% 0.40 435.45
1620 2.24828627 3.78% 96.22% 0.39 435.83
1630 2.26844756 3.62% 96.38% 0.37 436.20
1640 2.28860885 3.47% 96.53% 0.35 436.56
1650 2.308770141 3.32% 96.68% 0.34 436.90
1660 2.328931431 3.18% 96.82% 0.33 437.22
1670 2.349092721 3.04% 96.96% 0.31 437.53
1680 2.369254012 2.91% 97.09% 0.30 437.83
1690 2.389415302 2.79% 97.21% 0.28 438.12
1700 2.409576592 2.67% 97.33% 0.27 438.39
1710 2.429737883 2.55% 97.45% 0.26 438.65
1720 2.449899173 2.44% 97.56% 0.25 438.90
1730 2.470060463 2.33% 97.67% 0.24 439.14
1740 2.490221754 2.23% 97.77% 0.23 439.37
1750 2.510383044 2.13% 97.87% 0.22 439.58
1760 2.530544334 2.04% 97.96% 0.21 439.79
1770 2.550705625 1.95% 98.05% 0.20 439.99
1780 2.570866915 1.86% 98.14% 0.19 440.18
1790 2.591028205 1.78% 98.22% 0.18 440.36
1800 2.611189496 1.70% 98.30% 0.17 440.54
1810 2.631350786 1.62% 98.38% 0.17 440.70
1820 2.651512076 1.55% 98.45% 0.16 440.86
1830 2.671673367 1.48% 98.52% 0.15 441.01
1840 2.691834657 1.41% 98.59% 0.14 441.16
1850 2.711995947 1.34% 98.66% 0.14 441.29
1860 2.732157238 1.28% 98.72% 0.13 441.42
1870 2.752318528 1.22% 98.78% 0.13 441.55
1880 2.772479818 1.17% 98.83% 0.12 441.67
1890 2.792641109 1.11% 98.89% 0.11 441.78
1900 2.812802399 1.06% 98.94% 0.11 441.89
1910 2.832963689 1.01% 98.99% 0.10 441.99
1920 2.853124979 0.96% 99.04% 0.10 442.09
1930 2.87328627 0.92% 99.08% 0.09 442.19
1940 2.89344756 0.88% 99.12% 0.09 442.28
1950 2.91360885 0.83% 99.17% 0.09 442.36
1960 2.933770141 0.79% 99.21% 0.08 442.44
1970 2.953931431 0.76% 99.24% 0.08 442.52
1980 2.974092721 0.72% 99.28% 0.07 442.60
1990 2.994254012 0.69% 99.31% 0.07 442.67
2000 3.014415302 0.65% 99.35% 0.07 442.73
2010 3.034576592 0.62% 99.38% 0.06 442.80
2020 3.054737883 0.59% 99.41% 0.06 442.86
2030 3.074899173 0.56% 99.44% 0.06 442.91
2040 3.095060463 0.54% 99.46% 0.05 442.97
2050 3.115221754 0.51% 99.49% 0.05 443.02
2060 3.135383044 0.48% 99.52% 0.05 443.07
2070 3.155544334 0.46% 99.54% 0.05 443.12
2080 3.175705625 0.44% 99.56% 0.04 443.16
2090 3.195866915 0.42% 99.58% 0.04 443.21
2100 3.216028205 0.40% 99.60% 0.04 443.25
2110 3.236189496 0.38% 99.62% 0.04 443.29
2120 3.256350786 0.36% 99.64% 0.04 443.32
2130 3.276512076 0.34% 99.66% 0.03 443.36
2140 3.296673367 0.32% 99.68% 0.03 443.39
2150 3.316834657 0.31% 99.69% 0.03 443.42
2160 3.336995947 0.29% 99.71% 0.03 443.45
2170 3.357157238 0.28% 99.72% 0.03 443.48
2180 3.377318528 0.26% 99.74% 0.03 443.51
2190 3.397479818 0.25% 99.75% 0.03 443.53
2200 3.417641109 0.24% 99.76% 0.02 443.56
2210 3.437802399 0.22% 99.78% 0.02 443.58
2220 3.457963689 0.21% 99.79% 0.02 443.60
2230 3.478124979 0.20% 99.80% 0.02 443.62
2240 3.49828627 0.19% 99.81% 0.02 443.64
2250 3.51844756 0.18% 99.82% 0.02 443.66
2260 3.53860885 0.17% 99.83% 0.02 443.68
2270 3.558770141 0.16% 99.84% 0.02 443.70
2280 3.578931431 0.16% 99.84% 0.02 443.71
2290 3.599092721 0.15% 99.85% 0.02 443.73
2300 3.619254012 0.14% 99.86% 0.01 443.74
2310 3.639415302 0.13% 99.87% 0.01 443.75
2320 3.659576592 0.13% 99.87% 0.01 443.77
2330 3.679737883 0.12% 99.88% 0.01 443.78
2340 3.699899173 0.11% 99.89% 0.01 443.79
2350 3.720060463 0.11% 99.89% 0.01 443.80
2360 3.740221754 0.10% 99.90% 0.01 443.81
2370 3.760383044 0.10% 99.90% 0.01 443.82
2380 3.780544334 0.09% 99.91% 0.01 443.83
2390 3.800705625 0.09% 99.91% 0.01 443.84
2400 3.820866915 0.08% 99.92% 0.01 443.85
2410 3.841028205 0.08% 99.92% 0.01 443.86
2420 3.861189496 0.07% 99.93% 0.01 443.86
2430 3.881350786 0.07% 99.93% 0.01 443.87
2440 3.901512076 0.06% 99.94% 0.01 443.88
2450 3.921673367 0.06% 99.94% 0.01 443.88
2460 3.941834657 0.06% 99.94% 0.01 443.89
2470 3.961995947 0.05% 99.95% 0.01 443.90
2480 3.982157238 0.05% 99.95% 0.01 443.90
2490 4.002318528 0.05% 99.95% 0.01 443.91
2500 4.022479818 0.05% 99.95% 0.00 443.91
2510 4.042641109 0.04% 99.96% 0.00 443.92
2520 4.062802399 0.04% 99.96% 0.00 443.92
2530 4.082963689 0.04% 99.96% 0.00 443.92
2540 4.103124979 0.04% 99.96% 0.00 443.93
2550 4.12328627 0.03% 99.97% 0.00 443.93
2560 4.14344756 0.03% 99.97% 0.00 443.93
2570 4.16360885 0.03% 99.97% 0.00 443.94
2580 4.183770141 0.03% 99.97% 0.00 443.94
2590 4.203931431 0.03% 99.97% 0.00 443.94
2600 4.224092721 0.03% 99.97% 0.00 443.95
2610 4.244254012 0.02% 99.98% 0.00 443.95
2620 4.264415302 0.02% 99.98% 0.00 443.95
2630 4.284576592 0.02% 99.98% 0.00 443.95
2640 4.304737883 0.02% 99.98% 0.00 443.96
2650 4.324899173 0.02% 99.98% 0.00 443.96
2660 4.345060463 0.02% 99.98% 0.00 443.96
2670 4.365221754 0.02% 99.98% 0.00 443.96
2680 4.385383044 0.02% 99.98% 0.00 443.96
2690 4.405544334 0.02% 99.98% 0.00 443.96
2700 4.425705625 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.97
2710 4.445866915 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.97
2720 4.466028205 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.97
2730 4.486189496 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.97
2740 4.506350786 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.97
2750 4.526512076 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.97
2760 4.546673367 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.97
2770 4.566834657 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.97
2780 4.586995947 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.98
2790 4.607157238 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.98
2800 4.627318528 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.98
2810 4.647479818 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.98
2820 4.667641109 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.98
2830 4.687802399 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.98
2840 4.707963689 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.98
2850 4.728124979 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.98
2860 4.74828627 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.98
2870 4.76844756 0.01% 99.99% 0.00 443.98
2880 4.78860885 0.00% 100.00% 0.00 443.98
2890 4.808770141 0.00% 100.00% 0.00 443.98
2900 4.828931431 0.00% 100.00% 0.00 443.98
2910 4.849092721 0.00% 100.00% 0.00 443.98
2920 4.869254012 0.00% 100.00% 0.00 443.98
2930 4.889415302 0.00% 100.00% 0.00 443.98
4860
4880
4900
4920
4940
4960
4980
5000
 calcul intermediaire de T

N LIGNE MIN

Cp

Cf

 t   
0.00 Cr
R (t )  exp    
    
 

𝐶_𝑓 .(1−𝑅("T
CP Cf ct dCt/dt "Ct" ("T0"
〖𝑅 ("T0" ) 〗 _
)=

∫129_(ti−1)
((𝑅1+𝑅2))/
alcul intermediaire de T

 1
   
 f (t )   t   
 (t )    

   R (t )    

𝐶_𝑓 .(1−𝑅("T0" )") + " 𝐶_𝑝 ". "

〖𝑅 ("T0" ) 〗∫2_0
_ ^"T0"
▒𝑅(𝑡)𝑑𝑡

29_(ti−1)^𝑡𝑖▒ 〖𝑅 (𝑡).𝑑𝑡 〗 =
1+𝑅2))/2*(T2-T1)
 Exercice 2 :
On dispose d’un échographe dont on désire faire l’étude par Weibull. P
1806, 1574, 1374, 1374, 1198.
Déterminer les paramètres de la loi.
De quelle loi peut alors se rapprocher cette loi de Weibull ?
Quel est alors la partie concernée de la courbe en baignoire ?
Calculer la MTBF de l’équipement.
Déterminer la fiabilité au bout de 500 heures.

t RANG TBF ln(t-ϒ) F(i)

1000 1 77 4.343805422 4.76%

1000 2 158 5.062595033 9.52%

2500 3 244 5.497168225 14.29%

4000 4 335 5.814130532 19.05%

5500 5 432 6.068425588 23.81%

7000 6 535 6.282266747 28.57%
8500 7 646 6.470799504 33.33%
10000 8 766 6.64118217 38.10%
11500 9 897 6.799055862 42.86%
13000 10 1040 6.946975992 47.62%
14500 11 1198 7.088408779 52.38%
16000 12 1374 7.225481473 57.14%
17500 13 1374 7.225481473 61.90%
19000 14 1574 7.361375429 66.67%
20500 15 1806 7.498869734 71.43%
22000 16 2079 7.639642288 76.19%
23500 17 2414 7.789040402 80.95%
25000 18 2846 7.953669779 85.71%
26500 19 3454 8.147288259 90.48%
28000 20 4494 8.410498453 95.24%
29500 0.00%
31000 0.00%
32500 12 0.00%
34000 0.00%
10
35500 0.00%
37000 8 0.00%

6
Axis Title 4 Column
Linear (
 12

10

8
38500 0.00%
6
40000 0.00%
Axis Title
41500 4 0.00% Column
43000 0.00% Linear (
2
44500 0.00%
46000 0 0.00%
47500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0.00% 00 00
0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00
49000 2 4 6 8 0.00%
10 12
50500 0.00%
Axis Title
52000 0.00%
53500 Err:502 0.00%
55000 Err:502 0.00%
56500 Err:502 0.00%
58000 Err:502 0.00%
59500 Err:502 0.00%
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100000 Err:502 0.00%
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254500 Err:502 0.00%
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n désire faire l’étude par Weibull. Pour cela on dispose de TBF suivants : 432, 335, 244, 158, 77, 535, 646, 766, 897, 4494, 3454, 2846, 2

.
er cette loi de Weibull ?
e la courbe en baignoire ?

00 heures.

Rt) ln(ln(1/R(t)) (t-ϒ)/η λ(t) R(t)

95.24% -3.02022654034 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! β

90.48% -2.3017508555 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! η (h)
85.71% -1.86982471449 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! ϒ(calculé) (h)
80.95% -1.55443331853 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! R^2
76.19% -1.30219693546 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! MTBF
71.43% -1.08923963963 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
66.67% -0.90272045572 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!  1
f (t )   t   
61.90% -0.73485898697 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!  (t )    
57.14% -0.58050482369 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! R (t )    
52.38% -0.43598540263 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
47.62% -0.29849048045 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
42.86% -0.16570298099 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
38.10% -0.03554335106 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
33.33% 0.09404782762 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
28.57% 0.22535148683 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
23.81% 0.36122375012 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 1.5
19.05% 0.50574960853 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 1 f(x) = 1.02809268556272 x − 7
14.29% 0.66572981058 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! R² = 0.998759641327226
0.5
9.52% 0.8550003728 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
4.76% 1.11334405396 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 4 4.5 5 5.5 6
-0.5
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100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -1
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -1.5
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-2
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-2.5

-3
Column K
Linear (Column K) -3.5
 -1

-1.5

-2

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100.00% Column KErr:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Linear (Column
Err:502K) #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -3.5
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0 0 0 0 0 0
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100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
100.00% Err:502 #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
766, 897, 4494, 3454, 2846, 2414, 1040, 2079,

1.03

(calculé) (h)
99.9%

 1
(t )   t   
  
(t )    

ln(ln(1/R(t))

f(x) = 1.02809268556272 x − 7.52826375672404

R² = 0.998759641327226

4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 9

ln(ln(1/R(t))
Linear (ln(ln(1/R(t)))
 Exercice 3 :
Le service qualité désire étudier ses pompes installées sur des CEC et com
suivis durant 5 ans :

N° de la pompe 3 2 8 5 9 Durée de vie en heures de fonctionnement 3300

Vérifier que la durée de vie suit une loi de Weibüll dont on déterminera les
Donner la durée de vie moyenne d’une pompe.
Donner la probabilité que la durée de vie soit supérieure à 10000 heures d

β
η (h)
ϒ(calculé)
R^2
MTBF

t RANG TBF ln(t-ϒ) F(i)

1 1670 5.039970758 12.96%
2 2250 6.599143021 31.48%
3 3300 7.486874209 50.00%
4 5600 8.314946154 68.52%
5 7720 8.733024553 87.04%
6 Err:502 105.56%
7 Err:502 124.07%
8 Err:502 142.59%
9 Err:502 161.11%
10 Err:502 179.63%
11 Err:502 198.15%
12 Err:502 216.67%
13 Err:502 235.19%
14 Err:502 253.70%
15 Err:502 272.22%
16 Err:502 290.74%
17 Err:502 309.26%
18 Err:502 327.78%
19 Err:502 346.30%
20 Err:502 364.81%
21 Err:502 383.33%
22 Err:502 401.85%
23 Err:502 420.37%
24 Err:502 438.89%
25 Err:502 457.41%
26 Err:502 475.93%
27 Err:502 494.44%
28 Err:502 512.96%
29 Err:502 531.48%
30 Err:502 550.00%
31 Err:502 568.52%
32 Err:502 587.04%
33 Err:502 605.56%
34 Err:502 624.07%
35 Err:502 642.59%
36 Err:502 661.11%
37 Err:502 679.63%
38 Err:502 698.15%
39 Err:502 716.67%
40 Err:502 735.19%
41 Err:502 753.70%
42 Err:502 772.22%
43 Err:502 790.74%
44 Err:502 809.26%
45 Err:502 827.78%
46 Err:502 846.30%
47 Err:502 864.81%
48 Err:502 883.33%
49 Err:502 901.85%
50 Err:502 920.37%
51 Err:502 938.89%
52 Err:502 957.41%
53 Err:502 975.93%
54 Err:502 994.44%
55 Err:502 1012.96%
56 Err:502 1031.48%
57 Err:502 1050.00%
58 Err:502 1068.52%
59 Err:502 1087.04%
60 Err:502 1105.56%
61 Err:502 1124.07%
62 Err:502 1142.59%
63 Err:502 1161.11%
 64 Err:502 1179.63%
65 Err:502 1198.15%
66 Err:502 1216.67%
67 Err:502 1235.19%
68 Err:502 1253.70%
69 Err:502 1272.22%
70 Err:502 1290.74%
71 Err:502 1309.26%
72 Err:502 1327.78%
73 Err:502 1346.30%
74 Err:502 1364.81%
75 Err:502 1383.33%
76 Err:502 1401.85%
77 Err:502 1420.37%
78 Err:502 1438.89%
79 Err:502 1457.41%
80 Err:502 1475.93%
81 Err:502 1494.44%
82 Err:502 1512.96%
83 Err:502 1531.48%
84 Err:502 1550.00%
85 Err:502 1568.52%
86 Err:502 1587.04%
87 Err:502 1605.56%
88 Err:502 1624.07%
89 Err:502 1642.59%
90 Err:502 1661.11%
91 Err:502 1679.63%
92 Err:502 1698.15%
93 Err:502 1716.67%
94 Err:502 1735.19%
95 Err:502 1753.70%
96 Err:502 1772.22%
97 Err:502 1790.74%
98 Err:502 1809.26%
99 Err:502 1827.78%
100 Err:502 1846.30%
101 Err:502 1864.81%
102 Err:502 1883.33%
103 Err:502 1901.85%
104 Err:502 1920.37%
105 Err:502 1938.89%
106 Err:502 1957.41%
107 Err:502 1975.93%
108 Err:502 1994.44%
109 Err:502 2012.96%
110 Err:502 2031.48%
111 Err:502 2050.00%
112 Err:502 2068.52%
113 Err:502 2087.04%
114 Err:502 2105.56%
115 Err:502 2124.07%
116 Err:502 2142.59%
117 Err:502 2161.11%
118 Err:502 2179.63%
119 Err:502 2198.15%
120 Err:502 2216.67%
121 Err:502 2235.19%
122 Err:502 2253.70%
123 Err:502 2272.22%
124 Err:502 2290.74%
125 Err:502 2309.26%
126 Err:502 2327.78%
127 Err:502 2346.30%
128 Err:502 2364.81%
129 Err:502 2383.33%
130 Err:502 2401.85%
131 Err:502 2420.37%
132 Err:502 2438.89%
133 Err:502 2457.41%
134 Err:502 2475.93%
135 Err:502 2494.44%
136 Err:502 2512.96%
137 Err:502 2531.48%
138 Err:502 2550.00%
139 Err:502 2568.52%
140 Err:502 2587.04%
141 Err:502 2605.56%
142 Err:502 2624.07%
143 Err:502 2642.59%
144 Err:502 2661.11%
145 Err:502 2679.63%
146 Err:502 2698.15%
147 Err:502 2716.67%
148 Err:502 2735.19%
149 Err:502 2753.70%
150 Err:502 2772.22%
151 Err:502 2790.74%
152 Err:502 2809.26%
153 Err:502 2827.78%
154 Err:502 2846.30%
155 Err:502 2864.81%
156 Err:502 2883.33%
157 Err:502 2901.85%
158 Err:502 2920.37%
159 Err:502 2938.89%
160 Err:502 2957.41%
161 Err:502 2975.93%
162 Err:502 2994.44%
163 Err:502 3012.96%
164 Err:502 3031.48%
165 Err:502 3050.00%
166 Err:502 3068.52%
167 Err:502 3087.04%
168 Err:502 3105.56%
169 Err:502 3124.07%
170 Err:502 3142.59%
171 Err:502 3161.11%
172 Err:502 3179.63%
173 Err:502 3198.15%
174 Err:502 3216.67%
175 Err:502 3235.19%
176 Err:502 3253.70%
177 Err:502 3272.22%
178 Err:502 3290.74%
179 Err:502 3309.26%
180 Err:502 3327.78%
181 Err:502 3346.30%
182 Err:502 3364.81%
183 Err:502 3383.33%
184 Err:502 3401.85%
185 Err:502 3420.37%
186 Err:502 3438.89%
187 Err:502 3457.41%
188 Err:502 3475.93%
189 Err:502 3494.44%
190 Err:502 3512.96%
191 Err:502 3531.48%
192 Err:502 3550.00%
193 Err:502 3568.52%
194 Err:502 3587.04%
195 Err:502 3605.56%
196 Err:502 3624.07%
197 Err:502 3642.59%
198 Err:502 3661.11%
199 Err:502 3679.63%
200 Err:502 3698.15%
201 Err:502 3716.67%
202 Err:502 3735.19%
203 Err:502 3753.70%
204 Err:502 3772.22%
205 Err:502 3790.74%
206 Err:502 3809.26%
207 Err:502 3827.78%
208 Err:502 3846.30%
209 Err:502 3864.81%
210 Err:502 3883.33%
211 Err:502 3901.85%
212 Err:502 3920.37%
213 Err:502 3938.89%
214 Err:502 3957.41%
215 Err:502 3975.93%
216 Err:502 3994.44%
217 Err:502 4012.96%
218 Err:502 4031.48%
219 Err:502 4050.00%
220 Err:502 4068.52%
221 Err:502 4087.04%
222 Err:502 4105.56%
223 Err:502 4124.07%
224 Err:502 4142.59%
225 Err:502 4161.11%
226 Err:502 4179.63%
227 Err:502 4198.15%
228 Err:502 4216.67%
229 Err:502 4235.19%
230 Err:502 4253.70%
231 Err:502 4272.22%
232 Err:502 4290.74%
233 Err:502 4309.26%
234 Err:502 4327.78%
235 Err:502 4346.30%
236 Err:502 4364.81%
237 Err:502 4383.33%
238 Err:502 4401.85%
239 Err:502 4420.37%
240 Err:502 4438.89%
241 Err:502 4457.41%
242 Err:502 4475.93%
243 Err:502 4494.44%
244 Err:502 4512.96%
245 Err:502 4531.48%
246 Err:502 4550.00%
247 Err:502 4568.52%
248 Err:502 4587.04%
249 Err:502 4605.56%
250 Err:502 4624.07%
251 Err:502 4642.59%
252 Err:502 4661.11%
253 Err:502 4679.63%
254 Err:502 4698.15%
255 Err:502 4716.67%
256 Err:502 4735.19%
257 Err:502 4753.70%
258 Err:502 4772.22%
259 Err:502 4790.74%
260 Err:502 4809.26%
261 Err:502 4827.78%
262 Err:502 4846.30%
263 Err:502 4864.81%
264 Err:502 4883.33%
265 Err:502 4901.85%
266 Err:502 4920.37%
267 Err:502 4938.89%
268 Err:502 4957.41%
269 Err:502 4975.93%
270 Err:502 4994.44%
271 Err:502 5012.96%
272 Err:502 5031.48%
273 Err:502 5050.00%
274 Err:502 5068.52%
275 Err:502 5087.04%
276 Err:502 5105.56%
277 Err:502 5124.07%
278 Err:502 5142.59%
279 Err:502 5161.11%
280 Err:502 5179.63%
281 Err:502 5198.15%
282 Err:502 5216.67%
283 Err:502 5235.19%
284 Err:502 5253.70%
285 Err:502 5272.22%
286 Err:502 5290.74%
287 Err:502 5309.26%
288 Err:502 5327.78%
289 Err:502 5346.30%
290 Err:502 5364.81%
291 Err:502 5383.33%
292 Err:502 5401.85%
293 Err:502 5420.37%
294 Err:502 5438.89%
295 Err:502 5457.41%
296 Err:502 5475.93%
297 Err:502 5494.44%
298 Err:502 5512.96%
299 Err:502 5531.48%
300 Err:502 5550.00%
301 Err:502 5568.52%
302 Err:502 5587.04%
303 Err:502 5605.56%
304 Err:502 5624.07%
305 Err:502 5642.59%
306 Err:502 5661.11%
307 Err:502 5679.63%
308 Err:502 5698.15%
309 Err:502 5716.67%
310 Err:502 5735.19%
311 Err:502 5753.70%
312 Err:502 5772.22%
313 Err:502 5790.74%
314 Err:502 5809.26%
315 Err:502 5827.78%
316 Err:502 5846.30%
317 Err:502 5864.81%
318 Err:502 5883.33%
319 Err:502 5901.85%
320 Err:502 5920.37%
321 Err:502 5938.89%
322 Err:502 5957.41%
323 Err:502 5975.93%
324 Err:502 5994.44%
325 Err:502 6012.96%
326 Err:502 6031.48%
327 Err:502 6050.00%
328 Err:502 6068.52%
329 Err:502 6087.04%
330 Err:502 6105.56%
331 Err:502 6124.07%
332 Err:502 6142.59%
333 Err:502 6161.11%
334 Err:502 6179.63%
335 Err:502 6198.15%
336 Err:502 6216.67%
337 Err:502 6235.19%
338 Err:502 6253.70%
339 Err:502 6272.22%
340 Err:502 6290.74%
341 Err:502 6309.26%
342 Err:502 6327.78%
343 Err:502 6346.30%
344 Err:502 6364.81%
345 Err:502 6383.33%
346 Err:502 6401.85%
347 Err:502 6420.37%
348 Err:502 6438.89%
349 Err:502 6457.41%
350 Err:502 6475.93%
351 Err:502 6494.44%
352 Err:502 6512.96%
353 Err:502 6531.48%
354 Err:502 6550.00%
355 Err:502 6568.52%
356 Err:502 6587.04%
357 Err:502 6605.56%
358 Err:502 6624.07%
359 Err:502 6642.59%
360 Err:502 6661.11%
361 Err:502 6679.63%
362 Err:502 6698.15%
363 Err:502 6716.67%
364 Err:502 6735.19%
365 Err:502 6753.70%
366 Err:502 6772.22%
367 Err:502 6790.74%
368 Err:502 6809.26%
369 Err:502 6827.78%
370 Err:502 6846.30%
371 Err:502 6864.81%
372 Err:502 6883.33%
373 Err:502 6901.85%
374 Err:502 6920.37%
375 Err:502 6938.89%
376 Err:502 6957.41%
377 Err:502 6975.93%
378 Err:502 6994.44%
379 Err:502 7012.96%
380 Err:502 7031.48%
381 Err:502 7050.00%
382 Err:502 7068.52%
383 Err:502 7087.04%
384 Err:502 7105.56%
385 Err:502 7124.07%
386 Err:502 7142.59%
387 Err:502 7161.11%
388 Err:502 7179.63%
389 Err:502 7198.15%
390 Err:502 7216.67%
391 Err:502 7235.19%
392 Err:502 7253.70%
393 Err:502 7272.22%
394 Err:502 7290.74%
395 Err:502 7309.26%
396 Err:502 7327.78%
397 Err:502 7346.30%
398 Err:502 7364.81%
399 Err:502 7383.33%
400 Err:502 7401.85%
401 Err:502 7420.37%
402 Err:502 7438.89%
403 Err:502 7457.41%
404 Err:502 7475.93%
405 Err:502 7494.44%
406 Err:502 7512.96%
407 Err:502 7531.48%
408 Err:502 7550.00%
409 Err:502 7568.52%
410 Err:502 7587.04%
411 Err:502 7605.56%
412 Err:502 7624.07%
413 Err:502 7642.59%
414 Err:502 7661.11%
415 Err:502 7679.63%
416 Err:502 7698.15%
417 Err:502 7716.67%
418 Err:502 7735.19%
419 Err:502 7753.70%
420 Err:502 7772.22%
421 Err:502 7790.74%
422 Err:502 7809.26%
423 Err:502 7827.78%
424 Err:502 7846.30%
425 Err:502 7864.81%
426 Err:502 7883.33%
427 Err:502 7901.85%
428 Err:502 7920.37%
429 Err:502 7938.89%
430 Err:502 7957.41%
431 Err:502 7975.93%
432 Err:502 7994.44%
433 Err:502 8012.96%
434 Err:502 8031.48%
435 Err:502 8050.00%
436 Err:502 8068.52%
437 Err:502 8087.04%
438 Err:502 8105.56%
439 Err:502 8124.07%
440 Err:502 8142.59%
441 Err:502 8161.11%
442 Err:502 8179.63%
443 Err:502 8198.15%
444 Err:502 8216.67%
445 Err:502 8235.19%
446 Err:502 8253.70%
447 Err:502 8272.22%
448 Err:502 8290.74%
449 Err:502 8309.26%
450 Err:502 8327.78%
451 Err:502 8346.30%
452 Err:502 8364.81%
453 Err:502 8383.33%
454 Err:502 8401.85%
455 Err:502 8420.37%
456 Err:502 8438.89%
457 Err:502 8457.41%
458 Err:502 8475.93%
459 Err:502 8494.44%
460 Err:502 8512.96%
461 Err:502 8531.48%
462 Err:502 8550.00%
463 Err:502 8568.52%
464 Err:502 8587.04%
465 Err:502 8605.56%
466 Err:502 8624.07%
467 Err:502 8642.59%
468 Err:502 8661.11%
469 Err:502 8679.63%
470 Err:502 8698.15%
471 Err:502 8716.67%
472 Err:502 8735.19%
473 Err:502 8753.70%
474 Err:502 8772.22%
475 Err:502 8790.74%
476 Err:502 8809.26%
477 Err:502 8827.78%
478 Err:502 8846.30%
479 Err:502 8864.81%
480 Err:502 8883.33%
481 Err:502 8901.85%
482 Err:502 8920.37%
483 Err:502 8938.89%
484 Err:502 8957.41%
485 Err:502 8975.93%
486 Err:502 8994.44%
487 Err:502 9012.96%
488 Err:502 9031.48%
489 Err:502 9050.00%
490 Err:502 9068.52%
491 Err:502 9087.04%
492 Err:502 9105.56%
493 Err:502 9124.07%
494 Err:502 9142.59%
495 Err:502 9161.11%
496 Err:502 9179.63%
497 Err:502 9198.15%
498 Err:502 9216.67%
499 Err:502 9235.19%
500 Err:502 9253.70%
501 Err:502 9272.22%
502 Err:502 9290.74%
503 Err:502 9309.26%
504 Err:502 9327.78%
505 Err:502 9346.30%
506 Err:502 9364.81%
507 Err:502 9383.33%
508 Err:502 9401.85%
509 Err:502 9420.37%
510 Err:502 9438.89%
511 Err:502 9457.41%
512 Err:502 9475.93%
513 Err:502 9494.44%
514 Err:502 9512.96%
515 Err:502 9531.48%
516 Err:502 9550.00%
517 Err:502 9568.52%
518 Err:502 9587.04%
519 Err:502 9605.56%
520 Err:502 9624.07%
521 Err:502 9642.59%
522 Err:502 9661.11%
523 Err:502 9679.63%
524 Err:502 9698.15%
525 Err:502 9716.67%
526 Err:502 9735.19%
527 Err:502 9753.70%
528 Err:502 9772.22%
529 Err:502 9790.74%
530 Err:502 9809.26%
531 Err:502 9827.78%
532 Err:502 9846.30%
533 Err:502 9864.81%
534 Err:502 9883.33%
535 Err:502 9901.85%
536 Err:502 9920.37%
537 Err:502 9938.89%
538 Err:502 9957.41%
539 Err:502 9975.93%
540 Err:502 9994.44%
541 Err:502 10012.96%
542 Err:502 10031.48%
543 Err:502 10050.00%
544 Err:502 10068.52%
545 Err:502 10087.04%
546 Err:502 10105.56%
547 Err:502 10124.07%
548 Err:502 10142.59%
549 Err:502 10161.11%
550 Err:502 10179.63%
551 Err:502 10198.15%
552 Err:502 10216.67%
553 Err:502 10235.19%
554 Err:502 10253.70%
555 Err:502 10272.22%
556 Err:502 10290.74%
557 Err:502 10309.26%
558 Err:502 10327.78%
559 Err:502 10346.30%
560 Err:502 10364.81%
561 Err:502 10383.33%
562 Err:502 10401.85%
563 Err:502 10420.37%
564 Err:502 10438.89%
565 Err:502 10457.41%
566 Err:502 10475.93%
567 Err:502 10494.44%
568 Err:502 10512.96%
569 Err:502 10531.48%
570 Err:502 10550.00%
571 Err:502 10568.52%
572 Err:502 10587.04%
573 Err:502 10605.56%
574 Err:502 10624.07%
575 Err:502 10642.59%
576 Err:502 10661.11%
577 Err:502 10679.63%
578 Err:502 10698.15%
579 Err:502 10716.67%
580 Err:502 10735.19%
581 Err:502 10753.70%
582 Err:502 10772.22%
583 Err:502 10790.74%
584 Err:502 10809.26%
585 Err:502 10827.78%
586 Err:502 10846.30%
587 Err:502 10864.81%
588 Err:502 10883.33%
589 Err:502 10901.85%
590 Err:502 10920.37%
591 Err:502 10938.89%
592 Err:502 10957.41%
593 Err:502 10975.93%
594 Err:502 10994.44%
595 Err:502 11012.96%
596 Err:502 11031.48%
597 Err:502 11050.00%
598 Err:502 11068.52%
599 Err:502 11087.04%
600 Err:502 11105.56%
601 Err:502 11124.07%
602 Err:502 11142.59%
603 Err:502 11161.11%
604 Err:502 11179.63%
605 Err:502 11198.15%
606 Err:502 11216.67%
607 Err:502 11235.19%
608 Err:502 11253.70%
609 Err:502 11272.22%
610 Err:502 11290.74%
611 Err:502 11309.26%
612 Err:502 11327.78%
613 Err:502 11346.30%
614 Err:502 11364.81%
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616 Err:502 11401.85%
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620 Err:502 11475.93%
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648 Err:502 11994.44%
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736 Err:502 13624.07%
737 Err:502 13642.59%
738 Err:502 13661.11%
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741 Err:502 13716.67%
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746 Err:502 13809.26%
747 Err:502 13827.78%
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750 Err:502 13883.33%
751 Err:502 13901.85%
752 Err:502 13920.37%
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756 Err:502 13994.44%
757 Err:502 14012.96%
758 Err:502 14031.48%
759 Err:502 14050.00%
760 Err:502 14068.52%
761 Err:502 14087.04%
pompes installées sur des CEC et comptabilise les défaillances issues d’expériences observées sur 5 POMPES qui ont pu être

ie en heures de fonctionnement 3300 1670 2250 7720 5600

loi de Weibüll dont on déterminera les paramètres.

une pompe.
e vie soit supérieure à 10000 heures de fonctionnement.

ln(ln(1/R(t))
0.700 1
2796.68 0.5
1515.53 0
4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 9 ln(ln(1/R(t))
98.93% -0.5

-1

-1.5

-2
Rt) ln(ln(1/R(t)) λ(t)
87.04% -1.97445869438 -2.5
68.52% -0.97268614121
50.00% -0.36651292058
31.48% 0.14476739634
12.96% 0.71445548626
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MPES qui ont pu être

N° de la
3 2 8 5 9
pompe

Durée de vie
en heures de
3300 1670 2250 7720 5600
fonctionneme
nt

9 ln(ln(1/R(t))
 Exercice 4 :
Le service de maintenance préconise, pour les armoires de cont
période de ces interventions sera déterminée à partir d'un histo
β 1.964 Les neuf premiers temps de bon fonctionnement (en jours) de c
122 ; 144 ; 173.
η (h) 107.155 Soit T la variable aléatoire qui, à toute armoire de contrôle, asso
Déduire des informations précédentes les résultats ci-dessous :
ϒ(calculé) (h) 0 Les paramètres de la loi de Weibüll qui correspond au comporte
Les courbes de :R(t),F(t) et λ (t) ,conclure ;
R^2 99% 2. Déterminer, par le calcul, la périodicité d'intervention préven

MTBF 13.7241

t RANG TBF ln(t-ϒ) F(i)

110 1 31 3.433987204 7.45%
120 2 42 3.737669618 18.09%
130 3 67 4.204692619 28.72%
140 4 77 4.343805422 39.36%
150 5 89 4.48863637 50.00%
160 6 95 4.553876892 60.64%
170 7 122 4.804021045 71.28%
180 8 144 4.9698133 81.91%
190 9 173 5.153291594 92.55%

Chart Title
1.5

1
f(x) = 1.96364743442884 x − 9.17862938178953
0.5 R² = 0.98713765699873

0
3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5
-0.5

-1

-1.5

-2

-2.5

-3
-0.5

-1

-1.5

-2

-2.5

-3
e, pour les armoires de contrôle, des interventions préventives (par changement de certains éléments électroniques). La
éterminée à partir d'un historique de pannes d'une armoire de contrôle choisie au hasard.
ctionnement (en jours) de cette armoire de contrôle sont les suivants (rangés en ordre croissant) : 31 ; 42 ; 67 ; 77 ; 89 ; 95 ;

te armoire de contrôle, associe son temps de bon fonctionnement. On cherche à ajuster la loi de T à une loi de Weibull.
es les résultats ci-dessous :
qui correspond au comportement de ces armoires ;
clure ;
dicité d'intervention préventives basée sur une fiabilité de 80%.

R(t) ln(ln(1/R(t)) λ(t) (t-ϒ)/η

92.55% -2.55894081794 0.018793958 1.026551081
81.91% -1.61199437532 0.020437751 1.119873907
71.28% -1.08292942159 0.022076566 1.213196733
60.64% -0.69266027025 0.023710799 1.306519558
50.00% -0.36651292058 0.025340792 1.399842384
39.36% -0.07001817948 0.026966836 1.493165209
28.72% 0.22110781362 0.028589187 1.586488035
18.09% 0.53654099407 0.03020807 1.67981086
7.45% 0.95450502846 0.031823686 1.773133686

Courbe de λ(t)
0.035

0.03

0.025

0.02

0.015

0.01

0.005

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
 0.02

0.015

0.01

0.005

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
électroniques). La
42 ; 67 ; 77 ; 89 ; 95 ;

e loi de Weibull.

Courbe de R(t)
100.00%
90.00%
80.00%
70.00%
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

La courbe de fiabilite est decroissante et cela due au pourcentage de deffaillance qui augmente

Courbe de F(t)
100.00%
90.00%
80.00%
70.00%
60.00%
 Courbe de F(t)
100.00%
90.00%
80.00%
70.00%
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10