Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
-3.166% -0.404%
-3.085% 1.167%
-2.848% -9.042%
1.543% -8.457%
4.468% -0.128%
-1.862% -7.165%
-1.676% 19.749%
-0.973% 10.949%
-2.180% 6.962%
20.192% -0.787%
1.918% -6.421%
-4.578% -0.265%
16.829% -16.695%
4.472% 11.274%
2.192% 4.234%
-2.099% -20.337%
-6.081% 0.382%
6.762% 19.716%
-6.972% 4.783%
6.163% -7.281%
-5.929% -4.905%
11.081% 10.604%
-0.226% -9.702%
1.335% -3.764%
0.933% -3.088%
-3.378% -4.213%
1.818% 12.825%
3.235% 17.895%
3.316% -0.770%
0.771% 11.324%
9.210% 12.853%
6.501% 8.578%
-5.817% 6.041%
2.396% -10.547%
0.949% 10.026%
2.106% -4.158%
5.998% -2.806%
0.469% -6.841%
2.447% 0.809%
11.806% 13.798%
-5.574% -3.175%
-6.603% -22.425%
-1.401% 10.435%
6.651% -3.120%
2.826% 20.447%
9.108% -13.066%
0.076% 1.181%
-2.029% -12.229%
-9.778% 27.401%
1.640% 3.901%
-5.374% -5.045%
7.798% -7.746%
0.318% 4.189%
4.767% -12.511%
1.293% -14.711% Rendimiento mensual 1.76%
-7.139% -22.427% Rendimiento anual 23.3%
-2.059% 20.685%
12.561% 8.122% Desviación mensual 7.58%
-2.090% -8.601% Desviación anual 26.3%
0.000% 0.000%
Ratio rendimiento riesgo 0.89
1.14 6.89
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
Riesgo
10.000%
5.000%
0.000%
-5.000%
-10.000%
0.000%
-5.000%
-10.000%
ndimiento y riesgo
Apple
Tesla
Precio Mercado 25
Ayuda a los
inversionistas a
conocer el precio
de ejecución
Ayuda a los
inversionistas a
conocer el precio
de ejecución
STOP BUY ORDER
25 Precio Mercado
Compra al margen
Supuesto: Tendencia hacia arriba del precio del activo financiero
80 Segundo Momento
Venta de activo financiero
30 Ganancia
50 Vendo Caro, Compro barato
Primer Momento
Compra de activo financiero
50
Primer Momento
Compra de activo financiero
Se hace con
financiamiento, se paga
una tasa de interes, Hay 20
que mantener los Segundo Momento
margenes de Venta de activo financiero
mantenimiento y margen
inicial
Venta al margen
Supuesto: Tendencia a la baja del precio del activo financiero
Primer Momento 50
Venta de activo financiero
Ganancia 20 30
Vendo Caro, Compro barato Segundo Momento
Compra de activo financiero
Se hace con financiamiento, se paga una tasa d
Hay que mantener los margenes de mantenim
70
Segundo Momento
Compra de activo financiero
-20 Perdida
50 Vendo barato, compro caro
Primer Momento
Venta de activo financiero
tivo financiero
anciamiento, se paga una tasa de interes
ener los margenes de mantenimiento y margen inicial
tivo financiero
compro caro
Venta al Corto
Escenarios A
Número acciones 100
DATOS Margen de Mantenimiento 30%
Margen Inicial 50%
1 Precio Venta 50
2 Venta de acciones (Venta corta) Pv*Q 5,000
1°ro Venta
3 Margel Inicial 50% 2,500
4 Colateral Real 7,500
2do Compra 5 Precio Compra 50
6 Compra de acciones Pc*Q 5,000
7 Capital Propio 2,500
sobremarginada
sobremarginada
Precio límite = Po * (1+ margen inicial)
B C (1+ margen mantenimiento)
50* (1+50%)
(1+30%)
sobremarginada Submarginada
1,500 3,500
3,000 -3,000
4,500 10,500
sobremarginada Submarginada
antenimiento)
Datos
capital propio 40,000 usd
margen inicial 50%
margen de mantenimiento 40%
TEA de Financiamiento 12%
Compra al margen
capital propio 40,000 50%
deuda 40,000 50%
Inversión total 80,000 100
Número de acciones 21,621.62
Deuda 40,000
TEA 12%
Tasa a 120 dias o Semestral 3.85%
Intereses pagados 1,540 usd
Colateral real:
Número de acciones 21,621
Colateral real 82,160 usd
Control 1
=deuda/(1-margen de mantenimiento) 66,667 usd
15,493.13
Control 2
=deuda/(1-margen inicial) 80,000.00
2,159.80
cuenta sobremarginada
- 79,997.70
- 1,540
Datos a)
# acciones 100 b)
Precio inicial (venta) 34
Intereses
Tasa a 6 meses 4.88% d)
Interés pagado 66.4
Colateral mínimo
P * Q * (1+ mg mantenimiento) 3,900
1,540 sobremarginada Colateral Real > Mínimo
Colateral requerido
P * Q * (1+ mg inicial) 4,800
640 sobremarginada Colateral Real > Colateral Requerido
GRAMON PACASMAYO
Fondo 450,000
Peso 60% Peso
Rentabilidad Rentabilidad
Intereses Intereses
Plazo de tenencia 147 días Plazo de tenencia
Tasa a 147 días 3.2% Tasa a 147 días
Intereses pagados 4,641 Intereses pagados
Portafolio
Operación Retorno Peso
compra al margen 24% 60%
venta en corto -60.6% 40%
6.25
7.50
40%
180,000 65%
96,923 35%
276,923 100%
44,307
276,919
332,303
147 días
1.6%
1,565
- 56,948.48
180,000
-60.6%
- 32,171.72
PREGUNTA 2
Precio Estimado
Acción Pesos Precio Inicial #accs inicial
Final o Venta
3
inicial Al 28/09/14
Dividendos en
Dividendos
Monto Real Acciones Nuevo # accs Monto Final
Efectivo
Liberadas
499,988.48 1,493 556,615.36
499,975.70 155 6,393 1,871 525,777.75
499,983.00 1 17,986 180 573,033.95
499,993.69 23 29,556 10,345 557,130.60
1,999,940.87 13,889 2,212,557.66
a 253 días
Date JNJ FDX S&P Index
10/1/2014 93.99 159.78 2018.05
11/1/2014 94.40 170.06 2067.56
12/1/2014 91.79 165.75 2058.90
1/1/2015 87.90 161.59 1994.99
2/1/2015 89.98 169.11 2104.50
3/1/2015 88.92 158.09 2067.89
4/1/2015 87.68 162.22 2085.51
5/1/2015 88.51 165.71 2107.39
6/1/2015 86.77 163.01 2063.11
7/1/2015 89.22 164.21 2103.84
8/1/2015 83.67 144.27 1972.18
9/1/2015 83.75 137.92 1920.03
10/1/2015 90.64 149.74 2079.36
11/1/2015 90.83 152.13 2080.41
12/1/2015 92.84 142.96 2043.94
1/1/2016 94.39 127.72 1940.24
2/1/2016 95.09 131.57 1932.23
3/1/2016 98.50 156.40 2059.74
4/1/2016 102.03 158.98 2065.30
5/1/2016 102.58 158.85 2096.95
6/1/2016 111.21 146.15 2098.86
7/1/2016 114.81 156.28 2173.60
8/1/2016 109.41 159.20 2170.95
9/1/2016 109.03 168.62 2168.27
10/1/2016 107.05 168.68 2126.15
11/1/2016 102.72 185.47 2198.81
12/1/2016 107.07 180.17 2238.83
1/1/2017 105.24 183.36 2278.87
2/1/2017 113.57 187.11 2363.64
3/1/2017 116.51 189.22 2362.72
4/1/2017 115.50 184.32 2384.20
5/1/2017 119.97 188.34 2411.80
6/1/2017 124.57 211.16 2423.41
7/1/2017 124.98 202.61 2470.30
8/1/2017 124.65 208.79 2471.65
9/1/2017 123.20 219.70 2519.36
10/1/2017 132.11 220.44 2575.26
11/1/2017 132.04 225.95 2584.84
12/1/2017 133.22 243.60 2673.61
1/1/2018 131.76 256.77 2823.81
2/1/2018 123.84 241.05 2713.83
3/1/2018 122.97 234.89 2640.87
4/1/2018 121.38 242.33 2648.05
5/1/2018 114.78 244.21 2705.27
6/1/2018 117.30 222.59 2718.37
7/1/2018 128.10 241.66 2816.29
8/1/2018 130.20 239.77 2901.52
9/1/2018 134.46 236.67 2913.98
10/1/2018 136.23 217.14 2711.74
11/1/2018 142.95 225.68 2760.17
12/1/2018 126.38 158.99 2506.85
1/1/2019 130.33 175.52 2704.10
2/1/2019 133.81 178.91 2784.49
3/1/2019 137.81 179.32 2834.40
4/1/2019 139.20 187.98 2945.83
5/1/2019 129.29 153.08 2752.06
6/1/2019 138.24 162.91 2941.76
7/1/2019 129.25 169.86 2980.38
8/1/2019 127.41 157.98 2926.46
9/1/2019 131.74 145.09 2991.78
betas
CAPM =
Rf
Rm
Rm
Rendimiento acción
Rendimiento acción
Rendimientos USA PERU
JNJ FDX S&P Index IGBVL
0.4% 6.4% 2.5%
-2.8% -2.5% -0.4%
-4.2% -2.5% -3.1%
2.4% 4.7% 5.5%
-1.2% -6.5% -1.7%
-1.4% 2.6% 0.9%
0.9% 2.2% 1.0%
-2.0% -1.6% -2.1%
2.8% 0.7% 2.0%
-6.2% -12.1% -6.3%
0.1% -4.4% -2.6%
8.2% 8.6% 8.3%
0.2% 1.6% 0.1%
2.2% -6.0% -1.8%
1.7% -10.7% -5.1%
0.7% 3.0% -0.4%
3.6% 18.9% 6.6%
3.6% 1.6% 0.3%
0.5% -0.1% 1.5%
8.4% -8.0% 0.1%
3.2% 6.9% 3.6%
-4.7% 1.9% -0.1%
-0.4% 5.9% -0.1%
-1.8% 0.0% -1.9%
-4.0% 10.0% 3.4%
4.2% -2.9% 1.8%
-1.7% 1.8% 1.8%
7.9% 2.0% 3.7%
2.6% 1.1% 0.0%
-0.9% -2.6% 0.9%
3.9% 2.2% 1.2%
3.8% 12.1% 0.5%
0.3% -4.1% 1.9%
-0.3% 3.1% 0.1%
-1.2% 5.2% 1.9%
7.2% 0.3% 2.2%
-0.1% 2.5% 0.4%
0.9% 7.8% 3.4%
-1.1% 5.4% 5.6%
-6.0% -6.1% -3.9%
-0.7% -2.6% -2.7%
-1.3% 3.2% 0.3%
-5.4% 0.8% 2.2%
2.2% -8.9% 0.5%
9.2% 8.6% 3.6%
1.6% -0.8% 3.0%
3.3% -1.3% 0.4%
1.3% -8.3% -6.9%
4.9% 3.9% 1.8%
-11.6% -29.6% -9.2%
3.1% 10.4% 7.9%
2.7% 1.9% 3.0%
3.0% 0.2% 1.8%
1.0% 4.8% 3.9%
-7.1% -18.6% -6.6%
6.9% 6.4% 6.9%
-6.5% 4.3% 1.3%
-1.4% -7.0% -1.8%
3.4% -8.2% 2.2%
JNJ FDX
0.6897 1.7254
7.21%
vs.
0.7% mensual
8.17% anual
RENDIMIENTOS
ACCIÓN CITI ACCIÓN HAL
imiento S&P Rendimiento CITI Rendimiento HAL
- 0.00 0.02
0.05 - 0.03
0.05 0.06
0.11 - 0.02
- 0.08 - 0.00
0.09 0.08
- 0.07 0.06
0.00 0.00
0.01 0.10
0.08 - 0.01
- 0.02 - 0.04
- 0.09 - 0.03
0.03 0.16
- 0.02 0.03
0.01 0.07
- 0.01 0.02
- 0.01 0.10
0.04 - 0.03
0.06 - 0.02
0.00 - 0.05
0.03 - 0.15
0.01 - 0.23
0.00 - 0.07
- 0.13 0.02
0.12 0.07
- 0.02 0.02
0.03 0.12
0.01 - 0.07
0.02 - 0.05
0.06 - 0.03
- 0.09 - 0.06
- 0.07 - 0.10
0.07 0.09
0.02 0.04
- 0.04 - 0.15
- 0.18 - 0.07
- 0.09 0.02
0.07 0.11
0.11 0.16
0.01 0.02
- 0.09 0.07
0.03 - 0.04
0.09 - 0.01
- 0.01 0.04
0.04 0.02
0.15 0.15
0.05 0.02
- 0.06 0.05
0.07 - 0.05
0.00 - 0.08
- 0.01 - 0.07
0.02 - 0.02
0.10 - 0.05
0.02 - 0.01
- 0.01 - 0.08
0.07 0.18
0.01 - 0.07
0.03 - 0.02
- 0.01 0.17
0.05 0.10
- 0.04 - 0.14
- 0.11 0.01
0.01 0.13
- 0.02 - 0.06
0.00 - 0.09
0.07 - 0.06
- 0.01 - 0.06
Rendim promedio
1.0%
MENSUAL
Rendimiento anual 13.06%
CAPM = Rf + beta *
CAPM = 3% + 0.945 *
americano de 10 años
( 13.06% - 3% )
FERREYC1 PE Equity CORAREC1 PE Equity CPACASC1 PE Equity ALICORC1 PE Equity
Date PX_LAST PX_LAST PX_LAST PX_LAST
Jan-13 1.96 1.03 6.91 8.81
Feb-13 2.21 1.05 6.98 9.00
Mar-13 2.12 0.99 7.44 9.65
Apr-13 1.81 0.93 7.34 9.90
May-13 1.61 0.82 6.89 9.28
Jun-13 1.66 0.84 7.05 9.35
Jul-13 1.54 0.80 6.94 8.61
Aug-13 1.71 0.85 6.84 9.54
Sep-13 1.69 0.85 6.64 8.90
Oct-13 1.69 0.97 6.57 8.65
Nov-13 1.66 0.90 5.80 8.65
Dec-13 1.80 0.91 6.30 9.10
Jan-14 1.66 0.88 5.42 8.65
Feb-14 1.57 0.81 5.26 8.67
Mar-14 1.41 0.78 4.86 8.00
Apr-14 1.57 0.77 5.11 8.50
May-14 1.74 0.86 4.86 8.50
Jun-14 1.77 0.81 4.69 8.22
Jul-14 1.70 0.76 4.94 8.35
Aug-14 1.72 0.73 5.26 7.82
Sep-14 1.66 0.74 5.14 8.00
Oct-14 1.55 0.74 5.26 7.75
Nov-14 1.60 0.74 5.04 7.44
Dec-14 1.62 0.77 5.26 7.11
Jan-15 1.50 0.69 5.07 6.95
Feb-15 1.44 0.62 5.06 5.85
Mar-15 1.41 0.60 4.66 6.00
Apr-15 1.37 0.59 4.95 6.05
May-15 1.43 0.52 4.91 5.71
Jun-15 1.42 0.54 5.06 6.00
Jul-15 1.37 0.49 4.91 5.30
Aug-15 1.29 0.49 4.04 4.65
Sep-15 1.26 0.45 3.82 5.08
Oct-15 1.40 0.41 4.26 5.58
Nov-15 1.28 0.40 4.34 5.71
Dec-15 1.35 0.48 4.96 5.80
Jan-16 1.22 0.39 4.46 5.10
Feb-16 1.30 0.45 4.56 5.47
Mar-16 1.47 0.62 5.16 6.00
Apr-16 1.72 0.74 5.90 6.23
May-16 1.70 0.70 5.95 6.50
Jun-16 1.56 0.70 5.82 6.45
Jul-16 1.63 0.74 6.10 7.50
Aug-16 1.63 0.70 6.58 7.50
Sep-16 1.65 0.69 6.38 7.33
Oct-16 1.67 0.65 6.45 7.80
Nov-16 1.71 0.52 6.25 7.34
Dec-16 1.69 0.60 6.25 7.30
Jan-17 1.80 0.60 6.25 7.51
Feb-17 1.86 0.59 6.00 7.69
Mar-17 2.04 0.70 7.30 7.70
Apr-17 1.87 0.69 7.00 7.70
May-17 1.96 0.72 7.40 7.92
Jun-17 1.81 0.72 7.50 8.14
Jul-17 1.80 0.74 7.65 8.31
Aug-17 1.92 0.66 8.00 8.75
Sep-17 2.13 0.71 8.40 9.27
Oct-17 2.54 0.82 8.50 10.15
Nov-17 2.60 0.87 8.34 10.25
Dec-17 2.55 0.83 8.15 10.60
Jan-18 2.59 0.96 8.35 11.16
Feb-18 2.53 0.90 7.90 11.00
Mar-18 2.54 0.88 8.05 11.25
Apr-18 2.63 0.96 8.15 11.95
May-18 2.66 0.99 7.85 11.60
Jun-18 2.35 0.98 7.82 11.05
Jul-18 2.36 0.99 7.60 11.74
Aug-18 2.30 0.95 7.00 10.90
1er
Rendimientos
FERREYC1 PE Equity CORAREC1 PE Equity CPACASC1 PE Equity
0.13 0.02 0.01
- 0.04 - 0.06 0.07
- 0.15 - 0.06 - 0.01
- 0.11 - 0.12 - 0.06
0.03 0.02 0.02
- 0.08 - 0.05 - 0.02
0.11 0.06 - 0.01
- 0.01 - - 0.03
- 0.14 - 0.01
- 0.02 - 0.07 - 0.12
0.08 0.01 0.09
- 0.08 - 0.03 - 0.14
- 0.06 - 0.08 - 0.03
- 0.10 - 0.04 - 0.08
0.11 - 0.01 0.05
0.11 0.12 - 0.05
0.02 - 0.06 - 0.03
- 0.04 - 0.06 0.05
0.01 - 0.04 0.06
- 0.03 0.01 - 0.02
- 0.07 - 0.02
0.03 - - 0.04
0.01 0.04 0.04
- 0.07 - 0.10 - 0.04
- 0.04 - 0.10 - 0.00
- 0.02 - 0.03 - 0.08
- 0.03 - 0.02 0.06
0.04 - 0.12 - 0.01
- 0.01 0.04 0.03
- 0.04 - 0.09 - 0.03
- 0.06 - - 0.18
- 0.02 - 0.08 - 0.05
0.11 - 0.09 0.12
- 0.09 - 0.04 0.02
0.05 0.22 0.14
- 0.10 - 0.19 - 0.10
0.07 0.15 0.02
0.13 0.38 0.13
0.17 0.19 0.14
- 0.01 - 0.05 0.01
- 0.08 - - 0.02
0.04 0.06 0.05
- - 0.05 0.08
0.01 - 0.01 - 0.03
0.01 - 0.06 0.01
0.02 - 0.20 - 0.03
- 0.01 0.15 -
0.07 - -
0.03 - 0.02 - 0.04
0.10 0.19 0.22
- 0.08 - 0.01 - 0.04
0.05 0.04 0.06
- 0.08 - 0.01
- 0.01 0.03 0.02
0.07 - 0.11 0.05
0.11 0.08 0.05
0.19 0.15 0.01
0.02 0.06 - 0.02
- 0.02 - 0.05 - 0.02
0.02 0.16 0.02
- 0.02 - 0.06 - 0.05
0.00 - 0.02 0.02
0.04 0.09 0.01
0.01 0.03 - 0.04
- 0.12 - 0.01 - 0.00
0.00 0.01 - 0.03
- 0.03 - 0.04 - 0.08
Pesos 30% 0% 0%
ALICORC1 PE Equity
70% 100%
0.5%
6.1%
CORAREC1 PE Equity CPACASC1 PE Equity ALICORC1 PE Equity
0.538224835241039 0.520685170543188 0.510586278340635
1 0.481217723032097 0.409296973696817
0.481217723032097 1 0.459141468496921
0.409296973696817 0.459141468496921 1
mensual
anual
mensual
anual