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CONTOH APLIKASI EXEL ANALISIS TREND

Y = a + bX
PDRB PERTANIAN
Y
TREND PDBR PERTANIAN
TAHUN PDRB Pertanian X X² XY TREND
2003 167.611,00 -7 49 - 1.173.277,00 94.485,48 450.000,00
2004 165.039,00 -6 36 - 990.234,00 110.020,51
400.000,00
2005 150.564,00 -5 25 - 752.820,00 125.555,55
2006 150.540,00 -4 16 - 602.160,00 141.090,58 350.000,00
2007 149.811,00 -3 9 - 449.433,00 156.625,61
300.000,00
2008 136.556,00 -2 4 - 273.112,00 172.160,64
2009 162.607,00 -1 1 - 162.607,00 187.695,67 250.000,00
2010 141.103,00 0 0 - 203.230,71
200.000,00
2011 217.545,00 1 1 217.545,00 218.765,74
2012 411.957,00 2 4 823.914,00 234.300,77 150.000,00
2013 393.199,00 3 9 1.179.597,00 249.835,80
2014 312.421,00 4 16 1.249.684,00 265.370,83 100.000,00
2015 350.516,00 5 25 1.752.580,00 280.905,87 50.000,00
2016 288.039,00 6 36 1.728.234,00 296.440,90
2017 257.414,00 7 49 1.801.898,00 311.975,93 -

2007
2003
2004
2005
2006

2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
JUMLAH 3.454.922,00 0 280 4.349.809,00 3.048.460,59

a = ∑Y/17 203.230,71 Peramalan


b = ∑XY/∑X² 15.535,03 X=8 8 2018 327.510,96
x=9 9 2019 343.046,00
X = 10 10 2020 358.581,03
TAHUN PDRB Industri X X² XY TREND
2009 931.812,53 -6 36 - 5.590.875,18 934.541,15
PDRB INDUSTRI PENGOLAHAN
2010 990.648,84 -5 25 - 4.953.244,20 1.000.194,59
TREND PDRB INDUSTRI PENGOLAHAN
2011 1.054.401,77 -4 16 - 4.217.607,08 1.065.848,03
2012 1.124.464,64 -3 9 - 3.373.393,92 1.131.501,47 1.600.000,00
2013 1.192.789,80 -2 4 - 2.385.579,60 1.197.154,92
2014 1.262.684,50 -1 1 - 1.262.684,50 1.262.808,36 1.400.000,00
2015 1.331.376,10 0 0 - 1.328.461,80
2016 1.405.563,51 1 1 1.405.563,51 1.394.115,24 1.200.000,00
2017 1.482.299,58 2 4 2.964.599,16 1.459.768,68
2018 1.563.441,82 3 9 4.690.325,46 1.525.422,13 1.000.000,00
2019 1.649.895,64 4 16 6.599.582,56 1.591.075,57
2020 1.611.507,78 5 25 8.057.538,90 1.656.729,01
800.000,00
2021 1.669.116,89 6 36 10.014.701,34 1.722.382,45
JUMLAH 17.270.003,40 0 182 11.948.926,45 17.270.003,40
600.000,00

Peramalan
a = ∑Y/13 1.328.461,80 X=7 7 2022 1.656.729,01 400.000,00
b = ∑XY/∑X² 65.653,44 x=8 8 2023 1.722.382,45
X=9 9 2024 1.788.035,89 200.000,00

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