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x_(t) 78 60 66 84 96 75 102
t_(i) 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
x_(t) 81 87 99 104 95 92 98
t Ventes Moyennes M
1 78
2 60 Chart Tit
3 66 64.5
110
4 84 70.875
5 96 84.5625 105
Chart Title
= 0.479449744232739
R² = 0.762504709915865
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
t_(i) 1 2 3 4 5 6
Chart Title
x_(t) 78 60
120
66 84 96 75
t_(i) 10 11 12 13 14 15
x_(t) 81 87
100 99 104 95 92
T1 T2 80 T3 T4
Année1 78 60 66 84
60
Année2 96 75 102 87
Année3 72 81
40 87 99
Année4 104 95 92 98
20
Année5 105 96
0
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5
T1 112.8 122.1
T2 123.6 132.4
T3 130.3 138.8
T4 115.2 123.4
y = 2,2744x + 115,21
160
155
R² = 0.983251590156005
145
140
135
130
125
120
115
110
120
115
110
0 2 4
III IV
130.3 115.2
138.8 123.4
152.5 135.6
157.1 140.5
Année 3 Année 4
134.1 138.2
145.4 150.3
152.5 157.1
135.6 140.5
CA = Trend * Saison
Moyenne Mobile 4 =Trend Saisonnier Coefficients saisonniers brutes
97%
103%
121.6375 1.07121570239441 107%
123.9 0.929782082324455 93%
126.0625 0.968567178978681 100%
128.15 1.03316426063207 100%
130.675 1.06217715706906
133.8 0.922272047832586
137.1375 0.977850697292863
140.375 1.03579697239537
142.4125 1.07083296761169
143.5375 0.944700862144039
144.725 0.954914493003973
145.9125 1.03006939090208
R² = 0.983251590156005
2 4 6 8 10 12
Cofficients Saisonniers CVS =CA/saison
97% 116.649129586
103% 119.663717081
107% 122.008808303
93% 123.585620748
97% 126.266478036
1.03289453992002 128.183463929
1.06795568133499 129.96794008
0.932147278163693 132.382513891
0.967002500581304 138.675959906
1.03289453992002 140.769453589
1.06795568133499 142.796187768
0.932147278163693 145.470574422
0.967002500581304 142.915866212
1.03289453992002 145.513403538
1.06795568133499 147.103482612
0.932147278163693 150.727254471
Chart Title
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5
115.2
Chart Title
123.4 160
150
140
135.6 130
120
140.5 110
100
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
130
120
110
100
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Chart Title
12 14 16 18